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AFC South Player Analysis
Matt Wilson, FantasySharks.com, Staff Writer

Tennessee Titans (vs Houston Texans)

QB Zach Mettenberger: In his first four regular-season starts, Mettenberger has averaged 271.5 passing yards, 1.8 touchdown passes and 1.0 interception per game, but the rookie has benefited from plus matchups and junk-time production. Despite drawing a favorable road matchup against a Houston Texans defense that allowed an average of 296.33 passing yards and 1.67 touchdown passes per game, Mettenberger should be regarded as a risky QB2 play. ( 218 yds pass with 1 TD and 1 Int; 12 yds rush )

QB Jake Locker: Zach Mettenberger's veteran backup hasn't taken a snap since Week 5. As long as Mettenberger is playing competently, Locker will stand on the sideline and hold a clipboard. ( 65 yds pass; 7 yds rush )

QB Charlie Whitehurst: ( 10 yds pass; 1 yd rush )

RB Shonn Greene: The Titans' goal-line back has averaged just 4.33 combo touches per game since Week 10. ( 18 yds rush; 1 catch for 3 yds )

RB Bishop Sankey: Since Week 10, the struggling Sankey (neck stinger) has scored just once and has averaged only 3.5 yards per carry. In addition, he has relinquished goal-line duties to Shonn Greene, and Dexter McCluster continues to steal touches in the passing game. Despite a favorable matchup versus a Houston Texans defense that yielded 126.67 rushing yards per game and two rushing scores to opposing running backs during the last month, Sankey is a weak all-around play. ( 39 yds rush; 1 catch for 11 yds )

RB Dexter McCluster: Operating as Tennessee's passing-down back, McCluster has touched the ball an average of only two times per outing in the last two weeks. FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: McCluster (concussion) is listed as PROBABLE for Week 13. ( 5 yds rush; 2 catches for 20 yds )

RB Leon Washington: ( 2 yds rush; 1 catch for 7 yds )

WR Kendall Wright: Coming off a dud Week 12 outing, Wright should rebound against a Houston Texans defense that surrendered the second-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts during the last month. Consider him a decent play. ( 1 yd rush; 6 catches for 68 yds )

WR Nate Washington: Washington will go up against a Houston Texans defense that yielded the second-most fantasy points to enemy wideouts during the last month, but Tennessee's No. 3 receiver has been inconsistent from week to week with rookie Zach Mettenberger under center. Although the matchup is obviously favorable, Washington shouldn't be trusted as a fantasy starter. ( 4 catches for 57 yds )

WR Justin Hunter: Even though the talented second-year pro has shown some chemistry with rookie Zach Mettenberger, Hunter remains a boom-or-bust play. He scored against the Houston Texans back in Week 8, and you have to like Hunter's chances to hit pay dirt again versus a Texans defense that yielded the second-most fantasy points to enemy wideouts during the last month. Consider him a dicey play. ( 3 catches for 49 yds )

WR Derek Hagan: ( 1 catch for 8 yds )

WR Kris Durham: ( 2 catches for 16 yds )

TE Delanie Walker: He has developed some chemistry with rookie Zach Mettenberger. However, fantasy owners should dial down their expectations a bit for Walker against a Houston Texans defense that yielded the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the tight end position during the last four weeks. ( 4 catches for 58 yds and 1 TD )

TE Chase Coffman: ( 1 catch for 5 yds )

PK Ryan Succop: Consider Succop a weak play versus a Houston Texans defense that surrendered the seventh-fewest fantasy points to enemy kickers during the last four weeks. Tennessee will be playing from behind all afternoon and won't be able to settle for many trey attempts, which obviously will hold down Succop's scoring. ( 2 XPs, 1 FG )

Def Tennessee Titans: Consider Tennessee a weak starting option against a low-scoring-but-proficient Houston Texans offense. During the last month, the Titans allowed 26 points per game, amassed 2.67 sacks per contest and compiled 1.0 takeaway per outing. Since Week 9, the Texans scored only 15 points per game. They also yielded 1.67 sacks per contest and committed just 1.0 turnover per game ( 3 sacks, 1 INT )



Indianapolis Colts (vs Washington Redskins)

QB Andrew Luck: Coming off his worst fantasy outing of the season, the must-play Luck will bounce back in spades against a Washington defense that allowed an average of 270.7 passing yards and 1.3 touchdown passes per game during the last four weeks. ( 308 yds pass with 3 TDs and 1 Int; 19 yds rush )

QB Matt Hasselbeck: ( 14 yds pass )

RB Trent Richardson: It looks like he will play second fiddle to Ahmad Bradshaw's replacement. Last week, Dan 'Boom' Herron out-touched Richardson (17 to 13) and outgained him in the combo yardage department (96 to 42). However, T-Rich operated as Indianapolis' goal-line back and probably will do so going forward. The Washington defense has yielded an average of 57.33 rushing yards and 1.33 rushing touchdowns per contest to opposing ball carriers during the last month. Consider Richardson a weak play. ( 43 yds rush; 3 catches for 25 yds )

RB Dan Herron: Last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars, 'Boom' played solidly overall while handling the 'Ahmad Bradshaw' third-down/change-of-pace duties in the Colts offense. Running with a nice burst and hitting the holes with authority, Herron demonstrated notably better rushing and receiving ability than Trent Richardson has all season. However, Herron doesn't get a second crack at Jacksonville this week. The Washington defense allowed an average of 57.33 rushing yards and 1.33 rushing touchdowns per game to enemy running backs during the last month. Consider Herron a weak play in this tough matchup. ( 32 yds rush; 2 catches for 20 yds )

RB Zurlon Tipton: ( 7 yds rush; 1 catch for 2 yds )

RB Ahmad Bradshaw: Bradshaw (broken leg) has been placed on season-ending injured reserve.

WR T.Y. Hilton: Andrew Luck's favorite receiver is a must-start as usual. The Washington defense ranked just 21st in fantasy points allowed to opposing wideouts during the last four weeks. ( 1 yd rush; 8 catches for 116 yds and 1 TD )

WR Reggie Wayne: You can blame the 36-year-old Wayne's inconsistency on his declining physical skills and Andrew Luck spreading his passes around. While the matchup against a Washington defense that ranked just 21st in fantasy points allowed to enemy receivers during the last month is obviously favorable, Wayne still looks like a dicey play. ( 5 catches for 58 yds )

WR Hakeem Nicks: The little-used Nicks has averaged just 3.8 targets per game during the last two months. He lacks value as long as T.Y. Hilton and Reggie Wayne are both healthy. ( 3 catches for 31 yds )

WR Donte Moncrief: Sadly, this intriguing talent remains buried on the depth chart. The rookie has been targeted an average of two times per game during the last month. ( 1 yd rush; 2 catches for 23 yds )

WR Josh Cribbs: ( 1 yd rush; )

TE Dwayne Allen: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Allen (ankle) has been ruled OUT for Week 13.

TE Coby Fleener: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Dwayne Allen (ankle) has been ruled OUT for Week 13, so Fleener will operate as Indianapolis' primary pass-catching tight end. The third-year pro flashed his trademark inconsistency last week with a dud 2-28-0 outing that included him short-arming a sure touchdown catch in the end zone. On paper, Fleener looks like a decent play versus a Washington defense that ranked 15th in fantasy points allowed to enemy tight ends during the last four weeks, but keep in mind that he doesn't always bring his 'A' game. ( 4 catches for 51 yds and 1 TD )

TE Jack Doyle: ( 2 catches for 17 yds )

PK Adam Vinatieri: Even though the Washington defense has allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing kickers during the last month, you wouldn't dare bench the guy who is second only to Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots) in kicker scoring. ( 2 XPs, 2 FGs )

Def Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis looks like a strong starting option against a sputtering Washington offense that is expected to start pop-gun armed Colt McCoy. During the last month, the Colts ceded 23 points per contest, compiled 2.33 sacks per game and notched 1.67 takeaways per outing. In the same time frame, Washington scored 15.33 points per game. They also allowed a whopping 5.33 sacks per outing and committed 1.67 turnovers per contest. ( 3 sacks, 1 INT, 1 Fumble )



Jacksonville Jaguars (vs New York Giants)

QB Blake Bortles: The rookie has gone two straight games without tossing a scoring strike, and Bortles has thrown only three touchdown passes in his last four contests. Despite drawing a favorable matchup versus a New York Giants defense that yielded an average of 248.5 passing yards and 2.3 touchdown tosses per outing, the inconsistent triggerman is a very risky low-end fantasy option. FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Bortles (wrist) took part in a full practice. He is listed as PROBABLE for Week 13. ( 228 yds pass with 1 TD and 1 Int; 16 yds rush )

QB Chad Henne: ( 66 yds pass; 2 yds rush )

RB Denard Robinson: Following a surprisingly poor outing last week, look for 'Shoelace' to rebound on his home field against a New York Giants defense that has allowed 144.3 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown per game to opposing running backs since Week 9. ( 66 yds rush and 1 TD; 3 catches for 20 yds )

RB Toby Gerhart: Gerhart continues to operate in a very limited backup role, averaging just 5.5 combo touches per game since Week 8. ( 22 yds rush; 2 catches for 17 yds )

RB Storm Johnson: ( 11 yds rush; 1 catch for 5 yds )

RB Jordan Todman: Jacksonville's third-string tailback has averaged just 3.3 total touches per contest during the last month. ( 9 yds rush; 2 catches for 12 yds )

WR Cecil Shorts: Blake Bortles' inconsistency has made the capable Shorts a more dicey fantasy option. Even though Jacksonville's No. 1 wideout draws a decent matchup against a New York Giants defense that ranked 18th in fantasy points allowed to enemy receivers during the last month, Shorts is a risky play. He likely will face shadow coverage from Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie for at least a good portion of the afternoon. FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Shorts (flu) is listed as PROBABLE for Week 13. ( 6 catches for 64 yds )

WR Allen Hurns: Despite drawing a good matchup versus a New York Giants defense that ranked 18th in fantasy points ceded to opposing wideouts during the last four weeks, Hurns is a boom-or-bust option and a very risky play for playoff hopeful fantasy owners. ( 4 catches for 51 yds )

WR Ace Sanders: ( 3 catches for 30 yds )

WR Marqise Lee: The rookie second-round pick is operating as the No. 3 receiver in Jacksonville's inconsistent passing attack. He could inch up the depth chart if Allen Hurns continues to struggle, but Lee lacks fantasy appeal right now. ( 2 catches for 15 yds )

WR Mike Brown: ( 2 catches for 21 yds )

TE Marcedes Lewis: He could make some noise against a New York Giants defense that yielded the fourth-most fantasy points to enemy tight ends during the last four weeks, but Blake Bortles' inconsistency makes it hard to trust Lewis as anything more than a run-of-the-mill fantasy TE2. ( 4 catches for 41 yds )

TE Nic Jacobs: ( 1 catch for 4 yds )

TE Clay Harbor: ( 3 catches for 30 yds )

PK Josh Scobee: Kicking for an offense that ranks dead last in the NFL in scoring, Scobee has averaged three points per game since Week 9. ( 1 XP, 1 FG )

Def Jacksonville Jaguars: Consider the Jaguars a streaming option in scoring systems that don't penalize heavily for points allowed. Jacksonville's underrated pass rush (the Jaguars rank third in the NFL in sacks) likely will cause some problems for Eli Manning and New York's shaky offensive line. During the last month, the Jaguars allowed 29 points per game. They also averaged 2.67 sacks and 2.0 takeaways per contest. In the same time frame, the Giants scored 19.8 points per outing while allowing 2.3 sacks and committing 2.3 turnovers per game. ( 3 sacks, 1 Fumble )



Houston Texans (vs Tennessee Titans)

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick: As of late Wednesday morning, the Texans had not officially named a replacement starter for the injured Ryan Mallett (chest). We're assuming that veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick will get the nod. Since Week 9, the Tennessee Titans defense has given up only 227.67 passing yards and 1.0 touchdown passes per game. Back in Week 8, Fitzpatrick passed for 227 yards and one touchdown against the Titans while operating in his familiar game-manager role. Consider him a weak play. ( 198 yds pass with 1 TD and 1 Int; 15 yds rush )

QB Tom Savage: The rookie fourth-round pick is expected to backup presumed starter Ryan Fitzpatrick. Even though the 6-foot-4, 228-pound Savage has an NFL-caliber arm and a nice all-around pocket passer skill set, he is regarded as a developmental project. As a fill-in starter, Savage would not deserve fantasy consideration. ( 18 yds pass )

QB Ryan Mallett: Mallett suffered a season-ending pectoral injury last week.

RB Arian Foster: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: The must-start Foster (groin) is listed as PROBABLE and is expected to play in Week 13. He draws a great matchup versus a Tennessee Titans defense that yielded 172.33 rushing yards and 1.67 rushing touchdowns per game during the last month. ( 108 yds rush and 1 TD; 4 catches for 32 yds )

RB Alfred Blue: FRIDAY UPDATE: Arian Foster (groin) is listed as PROBABLE and will play in Week 13, so Blue obviously will slide back into his No. 2 tailback role. The rookie has averaged just 7.4 combo touches per game when Foster is healthy and playing. ( 48 yds rush; 1 catch for 12 yds )

RB Jonathan Grimes: The Texans' third-string tailback doesn't receive enough touches to have standalone fantasy value. ( 15 yds rush; 1 catch for 8 yds )

WR Andre Johnson: Since Week 9, the Tennessee Titans have given up the seventh-fewest fantasy points to enemy receivers. Look for the Texans to attack the Titans soft front seven with a run-heavy game plan. Johnson will make a little noise, but don't expect a monster game from him. ( 7 catches for 71 yds )

WR DeAndre Hopkins: The Tennessee Titans have yielded the seventh-fewest fantasy points to enemy receivers during the last month, so look for Houston to attack a soft Titans front seven with a heavy dose of Arian Foster or Alfred Blue. While Hopkins will make a few plays, you shouldn't expect a big outing from him. ( 5 catches for 73 yds )

WR Damaris Johnson: ( 1 yd rush; 2 catches for 21 yds )

WR DeVier Posey: ( 1 catch for 7 yds )

WR Keshawn Martin: ( 1 catch for 9 yds )

TE Garrett Graham: He was slowly gaining fantasy relevance during Ryan Mallet's two starts, but you can forget about Graham with Ryan Fitzpatrick back under center. The fifth-year tight end amassed only 12 catches for 122 yards during Fitzpatrick's nine season-opening starts. Graham is not fantasy starter material. ( 3 catches for 34 yds )

TE C.J. Fiedorowicz: ( 1 catch for 3 yds )

TE Ryan Griffin: ( 1 catch for 7 yds )

PK Randy Bullock: Bullock is a strong play against a Tennessee Titans defense that surrendered the most points to enemy kickers during the last month. ( 2 XPs, 2 FGs )

Def Houston Texans: Houston is a strong play against what has been a mistake-prone Tennessee Titans offense led by rookie quarterback Zach Mettenberger. During the last month, the Texans allowed 20 points per game while racking up 2.0 sacks and 2.33 takeaways per contest. In the same time frame, the Titans scored 18.33 points per game. They also allowed 3.33 sacks per outing (Zach Mettenberger sometimes holds onto the ball too long when he drops back to throw) and committed 2.0 turnovers per contest. ( 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 Fumble )



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