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AFC South Player Analysis
Matt Wilson, FantasySharks.com, Staff Writer

Tennessee Titans (vs Philadelphia Eagles)

QB Zach Mettenberger: The rookie sixth-round pick draws a matchup that is more challenging than it looks on paper. Since Week 8, the Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed an average of 301.3 passing yards and 2.3 touchdown passes per game. However, the Eagles usually play much better at Lincoln Financial Field. While the Titans have done a good job of protecting Mettenberger lately (seven sacks allowed in the last month), they haven't faced a pass rush as ferocious as Philadelphia's. Their 33 sacks currently ranks second in the NFL. Consider Mettenberger a low-end fantasy play. ( 213 yds pass with 1 TD and 1 Int; 14 yds rush )

QB Jake Locker: The fourth-year pro continues to back up Zach Mettenberger. Unless the rookie sixth-round pick suffers an injury or completely implodes on the field, don't expect to see Locker under center anytime soon. ( 71 yds pass with 1 TD; 8 yds rush )

RB Shonn Greene: With rookie Bishop Sankey operating as Tennessee's workhorse runner, Greene has touched the ball just eight times in the last month. The short-yardage and goal-line specialist is waiver-wire material. ( 20 yds rush; 1 catch for 3 yds )

RB Bishop Sankey: Although the rookie is operating as the team's workhorse runner, Sankey has averaged just 15 combo touches per contest. Consider Sankey a weak play against a Philadelphia Eagles defense that surrendered only 79.3 rushing yards per game and three rushing touchdowns to enemy running backs during the last four weeks. ( 45 yds rush; 1 catch for 11 yds )

RB Dexter McCluster: Tennessee's passing-down back has averaged just 2.5 combo touches per game during the last month. McCluster lacks fantasy appeal. ( 6 yds rush; 2 catches for 21 yds )

RB Leon Washington: ( 2 yds rush; 1 catch for 8 yds )

WR Kendall Wright: Since Week 8, the Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the fourth-most fantasy points to enemy receivers. However, Wright, who operates in the slot, is expected to draw shadow coverage from capable cornerback Brandon Boykin. Consider Wright a weak play as a flex option. ( 1 yd rush; 6 catches for 65 yds )

WR Nate Washington: The Titans' No. 3 receiver has averaged just three targets per game during rookie Zach Mettenberger's first three career starts. Washington lacks fantasy appeal. ( 3 catches for 51 yds )

WR Justin Hunter: The talented second-year pro continues to frustrate fantasy owners. During Zach Mettenberger's three starts, Hunter racked up just seven catches, 96 receiving yards and one touchdown on 16 targets. The Philadelphia Eagles have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to enemy wideouts during the last month, but there is no reason to trust Hunter in your starting lineup right now. FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE: Hunter (knee) took part in full Thursday and Friday practices. Even though he is listed as QUESTIONABLE for Week 12, Hunter is expected to play. ( 2 catches for 34 yds )

WR Derek Hagan: ( 1 catch for 9 yds )

WR Kris Durham: ( 2 catches for 17 yds )

TE Delanie Walker: FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE: Walker (concussion) has received medical clearance to play in Week 12. He participated in full Thursday and Friday practices, and is listed as PROBABLE. However, Walker draws a challenging matchup. The Philadelphia Eagles defense allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to enemy tight ends during the last month. Dial down your expectations for Walker. ( 4 catches for 44 yds )

TE Chase Coffman: ( 1 catch for 6 yds )

PK Ryan Succop: Consider Succop a weak play against a Philadelphia Eagles defense that gave up the ninth-fewest fantasy points to enemy kickers during the last month. The Titans will be playing from behind all afternoon and won't be able to settle for many trey attempts. ( 2 XPs, 1 FG )

Def Tennessee Titans: Even though the struggling Tennessee defense probably will rack up a couple of sacks and a turnover or two against a somewhat mistake prone Philadelphia Eagles offense, the Titans are still a weak overall play. Since Week 8, Tennessee allowed 26 points per game, amassed 3.67 sacks per contest and compiled one takeaway. In the last four weeks, the Eagles scored 27.5 points per game. They also allowed 2.0 sacks per contest and committed 2.8 turnovers per outing. ( 3 sacks, 1 INT )



Indianapolis Colts (vs Jacksonville Jaguars)

QB Andrew Luck: The highest-scoring quarterback in the fantasy football universe is a must-play as always. Even though he won't have the services of passing-down back Ahmad Bradshaw (broken leg) and likely won't have the services of Dwayne Allen (ankle), Luck should have few problems carving up a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that allowed an average of 227.67 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes per game during the last month. ( 278 yds pass with 2 TDs and 1 Int; 19 yds rush )

QB Matt Hasselbeck: ( 16 yds pass )

RB Trent Richardson: Since Ahmad Bradshaw (broken leg) has been lost for the season, Richardson is obviously first in line to handle the bulk of the rushing duties against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that gave up an average of 138.33 rushing yards and 1.0 rushing touchdowns per game during the last month. Despite the anticipated large workload and the favorable home matchup, fantasy owners should remain skeptical of Richardson's ability to produce. On the season, he has scored just twice and has averaged only 3.4 yards per carry. Consider Richardson a shaky fantasy play. FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE: Richardson (illness) took part in a full practice today. The Colts list him as PROBABLE for Week 12. ( 44 yds rush; 3 catches for 28 yds )

RB Ahmad Bradshaw: Bradshaw (broken leg) has been placed on season-ending injured reserve.

RB Dan Herron: With Ahmad Bradshaw (broken leg) lost for the rest of 2014, third-year pro 'Boom' Herron is expected to take on a larger role in the Colts offense as the backup to Trent Richardson. In limited action this season, Herron compiled 74 rushing yards on 22 carries (3.4 yards per carry) and two catches for nine yards. It wouldn't be a surprise to see the elusive 5-foot-10, 215-pound Herron touch the ball at least 10 times against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ceded 138.33 rushing yards and 1.0 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing running backs during the last month. Herron is obviously way too risky to start, but keep an eye on him. ( 33 yds rush; 2 catches for 20 yds )

WR T.Y. Hilton: Hilton is a must-start as always. Coming off his worst fantasy outing of the season, the Colts' top pass-catching threat should rebound nicely against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranked just 22nd in fantasy points allowed to enemy receivers during the last four weeks. ( 7 catches for 108 yds and 1 TD )

WR Reggie Wayne: Consider Wayne a weak play. The Jaguars have not been good this month against the pass, but the Colts won't need to play catch up in this one. ( 5 catches for 60 yds )

WR Hakeem Nicks: Nicks probably will see a few extra targets come his way since Dwayne Allen (ankle) isn't expected to play. However, the plodding, touchdown-dependent wideout shouldn't be trusted as a fantasy starter even against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranked 22nd in fantasy points ceded to enemy receivers during the last four weeks. ( 3 catches for 30 yds )

WR Donte Moncrief: After racking up an impressive 7-113-1 stat line back in Week 8, the rookie third-round selection has averaged a very disappointing one target per game in his last two contests played. Moncrief obviously lacks fantasy appeal. ( 1 yd rush; 2 catches for 20 yds )

WR Griff Whalen: ( 1 catch for 9 yds )

TE Dwayne Allen: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Allen (ankle) has been ruled OUT for Week 12. Coby Fleener will get the start.

TE Coby Fleener: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Dwayne Allen (ankle) has been ruled OUT for Week 12. Fleener will operate as the Colts' every-down tight end against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranked 17th in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends during the last month. Even though Fleener will commit a head-scratching drop every now and then, he should do more than enough to make a solid play as a fantasy TE1. Fleener hit pay dirt against the Jaguars back in Week 3. ( 3 catches for 49 yds and 1 TD )

TE Jack Doyle: ( 1 catch for 17 yds )

PK Adam Vinatieri: Vinatieri is a strong play against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to kickers during the last month. ( 3 XPs, 2 FGs )

Def Indianapolis Colts: If your league doesn't penalize too harshly for points allowed, Indianapolis is a strong play against a Jacksonville Jaguars offense that continues to hemorrhage sacks and turnovers. During the last month, the Colts yielded 39 points per game. They also averaged 1.0 sack and 1.67 takeaways per contest. Since Week 8, the Jaguars offense scored 17 points per outing, allowed 3.33 sacks per game and committed 2.33 turnovers per contest. ( 3 sacks, 1 INT, 1 Fumble )



Jacksonville Jaguars (vs Indianapolis Colts)

QB Blake Bortles: Despite drawing a very favorable matchup against an Indianapolis Colts defense that allowed a hefty average of 379.33 passing yards and 3.33 touchdown passes per game during the last month (Ben Roethlisberger torched the Colts for 522 passing yards and six scoring strikes back in Week 8, which has skewed the numbers), the inconsistent-and-turnover-prone rookie Bortles should not be trusted as anything more than a low-end fantasy play. ( 221 yds pass with 1 TD and 2 Ints; 16 yds rush )

QB Chad Henne: ( 68 yds pass; 2 yds rush )

RB Denard Robinson: Consider 'Shoelace' a strong fantasy RB1/RB2 play against an Indianapolis Colts defense that yielded an average of 133.67 rushing yards and 1.67 rushing touchdowns per contest during the last month. ( 75 yds rush and 1 TD; 3 catches for 17 yds )

RB Toby Gerhart: Operating as the backup to Denard Robinson during the last month, Gerhart averaged just 5.0 total touches and 27.67 total yards per game. The fifth-year pro lacks fantasy appeal as long as Robinson is healthy and starting. ( 22 yds rush; 2 catches for 17 yds )

RB Storm Johnson: The rookie seventh-round pick has been a healthy inactive three games in a row. ( 13 yds rush; 1 catch for 3 yds )

RB Jordan Todman: Jacksonville's third-string tailback touched the ball five or fewer times in each of his last three games played. ( 10 yds rush; 2 catches for 13 yds )

WR Cecil Shorts: Since Allen Robinson (broken foot) will miss the rest of 2014, look for the Jaguars to establish Shorts as the focal point of their passing attack. With inconsistent-and-turnover-prone rookie Blake Bortles slinging the rock to him, consider Shorts a decent fantasy WR2 play against an Indianapolis Colts defense that surrendered the most fantasy points to enemy receivers during the last month. He scored against the Colts back in Week 3. ( 7 catches for 79 yds )

WR Allen Robinson: Robinson (broken foot) has been placed on season-ending injured reserve.

WR Allen Hurns: Allen Robinson (broken foot) has been lost for the season, and the Jaguars will start Hurns (concussion) in his place - at least for now. Operating as a deep threat, the undrafted rookie free agent has been a boom-or-bust fantasy option that has produced far more 'bust' outings than 'boom' ones. Despite a favorable matchup versus an Indianapolis Colts defense that gave up the most fantasy points to opposing wideouts during the last four weeks, consider Hurns a shaky fantasy WR4 play. By the way, he suffered a concussion in Week 10, but Hurns is expected to receive the medical green light to play this week. ( 4 catches for 42 yds )

WR Ace Sanders: ( 4 catches for 33 yds )

WR Marqise Lee: The rookie second-round pick will operate as Jacksonville's slot receiver behind starters Cecil Shorts and Allen Hurns. Although Lee lacks fantasy appeal right now, he could inch up the depth chart if Hurns struggles. ( 1 catch for 13 yds )

WR Mike Brown: ( 2 catches for 19 yds )

TE Clay Harbor: With Marcedes Lewis back in the starting lineup, Harbor will return to his backup role. ( 3 catches for 21 yds )

TE Nic Jacobs: ( 1 catch for 4 yds )

TE Marcedes Lewis: He is expected to return to the starting lineup after missing eight games due to a high ankle sprain. However, Lewis could be on a snap count, which obviously makes him a very risky play. He offers only shaky fantasy TE2 value against an Indianapolis Colts defense that yielded the second-most fantasy points to enemy tight ends during the last month. ( 3 catches for 31 yds )

PK Josh Scobee: On the season, Scobee has scored more than seven points in just one game, and his 10 field goal attempts ranks just 26th (tie) in the NFL. ( 1 XP, 1 FG )

Def Jacksonville Jaguars: Consider Jacksonville a weak play versus a usually productive Indianapolis Colts offense that rarely makes mistakes. During the last month, Jacksonville allowed 30.33 points per game. The Jaguars also notched 2.0 sacks and 1.33 takeaways per outing. In the same time frame, the Colts scored 31.33 points per game. They also ceded only 1.33 sacks and 1.0 turnover per contest. ( 2 sacks )



Houston Texans (vs Cincinnati Bengals)

QB Ryan Mallett: Displaying his trademark powerful arm and a rock-solid command of Texans head coach Bill O'Brien's offense, Mallet played solidly overall in his first career NFL start last week. However, 'Big Tex' draws a more challenging matchup this week against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that allowed 223.8 passing yards per game and only three touchdown passes in the last month. Consider Mallet a weak play as a low-end fantasy quarterback. FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE: Mallett (chest) took part full practices all week. He is listed as PROBABLE for Week 12. ( 202 yds pass with 1 TD and 1 Int; 10 yds rush )

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick: If Ryan Mallett continues to play as solidly as he did against the Cleveland Browns last week, we won't be seeing Fitzpatrick take starting snaps anytime soon. ( 66 yds pass; 5 yds rush )

RB Arian Foster: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Foster (groin) missed Thursday and Friday practices. He is listed as QUESTIONABLE and will be a GAME-TIME DECISION. At this point, it would be a surprise if Foster suits up. We'll monitor him through Sunday morning and provide updates when they're warranted. ( 100 yds rush and 1 TD; 3 catches for 30 yds )

RB Alfred Blue: FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Arian Foster (groin) missed Thursday and Friday practices. He is listed as QUESTIONABLE and is considered a GAME-TIME DECISION. It's starting to look like Blue will get the start against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that yielded an average of 113.3 rushing yards and 1.5 rushing touchdowns per game during the last four weeks. We'll leave Blue's projections alone for now and provide an update when it's warranted. ( 47 yds rush; 1 catch for 9 yds )

RB Jonathan Grimes: Houston's third-string tailback piled up a career-high 54 rushing yards on 13 carries while backing up Alfred Blue last week. Arian Foster (groin) is tentatively expected to return, which obviously means that Grimes will slide back down the depth chart and off the fantasy radar. ( 13 yds rush; 1 catch for 3 yds )

WR Andre Johnson: Even though Ryan Mallett proved last week that he can get the ball to Johnson consistently, the big wideout looks like a weak play against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that yielded the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers during the last month. FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE: Johnson (non-injury) missed practice today. The Texans have listed him as PROBABLE for Week 12. No worries. ( 7 catches for 79 yds )

WR DeAndre Hopkins: This is not a good week to count on big production from the Ryan-Mallett-to-DeAndre-Hopkins connection. Mallett is more than capable of getting the ball to Hopkins, but the Cincinnati Bengals defense yielded the fifth-fewest fantasy points to enemy wideouts during the last month. ( 5 catches for 68 yds )

WR Damaris Johnson: ( 1 yd rush; 2 catches for 20 yds )

WR DeVier Posey: ( 1 catch for 7 yds )

WR Keshawn Martin: ( 1 catch for 9 yds )

TE Garrett Graham: Last week, Graham caught his first touchdown pass of the season, but he was targeted just two times during Houston's win over the Cleveland Browns. Will the Texans use Graham more with Ryan Mallett now under center? Fantasy owners should take a wait-and-see approach. Graham is a weak play as a fantasy TE3 against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that surrendered the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends during the last month. ( 3 catches for 32 yds )

TE C.J. Fiedorowicz: ( 1 catch for 3 yds )

TE Ryan Griffin: ( 1 catch for 6 yds )

PK Randy Bullock: Consider Bullock a low-end starting option versus a Cincinnati Bengals defense that ranked 18th in fantasy points allowed to enemy kickers during the last month. Bullock amassed double-digit scoring totals in three of his last four games. ( 2 XPs, 2 FGs )

Def Houston Texans: The Texans are a solid starting option at home against a Cincinnati Bengals offense that has been mistake prone on occasion. During the last month, Houston allowed 18 points per game while compiling 2.67 sacks and 2.67 takeaways per outing. Since Week 8, the Bengals scored 22.5 points per game. They also yielded 1.8 sacks and 2.0 turnovers per contest. ( 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 Fumble )



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