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2010 QB Strength of Schedule

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Welcome to Brew Crew Corner. Most of us have drafted, are in the middle of drafts or will be drafting in the near future. We are just weeks away from the start of the season and every bit of information we can get will help us get prepared. This week we will take a look at strength of schedule as it relates to the quarterback position in the first month of the season. Every quarterback situation is different, but it is good to know which quarterbacks will have a better chance at starting the season hot and which quarterbacks will struggle out of the gate.

There are a number of strategies you can use when looking at the pass strength of schedule (SOS) for the quarterback position.

Here are my six strategies:

Strategy #1: Always start your stud quarterback. Seems pretty simple, you draft a quarterback early in a draft, so use him.

Strategy #2: If you don’t have a stud, draft two quarterbacks that you can play matchups with. For instance, you have Matt Ryan and Alex Smith as your quarterbacks. You could play Alex Smith week 1 against the Seattle Seahawks and week 3 against the Kansas City Chiefs while starting Matt Ryan week 2 against the Arizona Cardinals and week 4 against the San Francisco 49ers.

Strategy #3: Trade the hot quarterback to a needy owner. Kyle Orton has the fourth-easiest pass SOS to start the season. If he plays well you can trade him to an owner that needs a quarterback before Orton’s schedule becomes difficult.

Strategy #4: Trade for a struggling quarterback that will play better. Joe Flacco’s SOS will be difficult at the start of the season as he will face the New York Jets, Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers early. If he struggles to put up big fantasy points, you could swing a trade for him and reap the benefits when he does start to light it up.

Strategy #5: A quarterback with a hot hand early can boost a receiver’s value. Jason Campbell has the fifth-easiest SOS. Let’s say for example, this schedule allows Darrius Heyward-Bey to put up some good fantasy stats. You can trade him before Campbell’s schedule changes.

Strategy #6: Look for frustrated owners for trades. It’s after week 4 and Brandon Marshall has struggled against the Buffalo Bills, New York Jets and New England Patriots. This is a prime time to make a play for Marshall while the owner is looking to dig himself out of a 1-3 hole.

Strategy #7: Monitor the waiver wire. If you play in a smaller league where quarterbacks will still be available on the waiver, keep an eye out for injuries, struggles or hot streaks.  If Josh Freeman plays top-notch in the first three weeks, you can pick him up to replace your QB2 or use him for trade bait. Another scenario is your next opponent losses Flacco and will be looking for Marc Bulger to replace him. If you grab him first then he will have to find another option to start against you when you play. It’s playing defense to help your offense.

This chart below list the SOS for each quarterback as well as the teams they face for the first four weeks of the season.

Rank

Player

Team

Week 1

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

SOS avg.

1

Alex Smith

SF

@SEA

NO

@KC

@ATL

27

2

Brett Favre

MIN

@NO

MIA

DET

Bye

27

3

Philip Rivers

SD

@KC

JAX

@SEA

ARI

26

4

Kyle Orton

DEN

@JAX

SEA

IND

@TEN

26

5

Jason Campbell

OAK

@TEN

STL

@ARI

HOU

24

6

Matt Ryan

ATL

@PIT

ARI

@NO

SF

22

7

Donovan McNabb

WAS

DAL

HOU

@STL

@PHI

20

8

Matt Cassel

KC

SD

@CLE

SF

Bye

20

9

Kevin Kolb

PHI

GB

@DET

@JAX

WAS

19

10

Ben Roethlisberger

PIT

ATL

@TEN

@TB

BAL

19

11

Drew Brees

NO

MIN

@SF

ATL

CAR

18

12

Jay Cutler

CHI

DET

@DAL

GB

@NYG

18

13

Matt Leinart

ARI

@STL

@ATL

OAK

@SD

18

14

Sam Bradford

STL

ARI

@OAK

WAS

SEA

17

15

Peyton Manning

IND

@HOU

NYG

@DEN

@JAX

16

16

Eli Manning

NYG

CAR

@IND

TEN

CHI

16

17

Aaron Rodgers

GB

@PHI

BUF

@CHI

DET

16

18

Josh Freeman

TB

CLE

@CAR

PIT

Bye

16

19

Matt Hasselbeck

SEA

SF

@DEN

SD

@STL

15

20

Tony Romo

DAL

@WAS

CHI

@HOU

Bye

14

21

Matthew Stafford

DET

@CHI

PHI

@MIN

@GB

14

22

Matt Moore

CAR

@NYG

TB

CIN

@NO

14

23

Matt Schaub

HOU

IND

@WAS

DAL

@OAK

13

24

Joe Flacco

BAL

@NYJ

@CIN

CLE

@PIT

13

25

Carson Palmer

CIN

@NE

BAL

@CAR

@CLE

13

26

Mark Sanchez

NYJ

BAL

NE

@MIA

@BUF

12

27

Jake Delhomme

CLE

@TB

KC

@BAL

CIN

12

28

David Garrard

JAX

DEN

@SD

PHI

IND

11

29

Trent Edwards

BUF

MIA

@GB

@NE

NYJ

11

30

Vince Young

TEN

OAK

PIT

@NYG

DEN

10

31

Tom Brady

NE

CIN

@NYJ

BUF

@MIA

9

32

Chad Henne

MIA

@BUF

@MIN

NYJ

NE

9

Plan your quarterback strategy accordingly. Next week we will look at the runningback SOS for the start of the season.

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