This week’s lines are from usatoday.com (as of Wednesday night).
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (o/u 38)
This Thursday night’s game features two of the league’s top defensive teams. The Seahawks rank second in the league in points allowed per game (15.5) while the 49ers defense ranks third (15.7).
The Seahawks are coming off a big win over the New England Patriots last week, defeating them 24-23. The defense put constant pressure on quarterback Tom Brady and forced him into throwing two interceptions. It was an impressive win for the Seahawks, but they have another big challenge this week facing the 49ers, who will try to redeem themselves after last week’s embarrassing loss to the New York Giants, 26-3. Alex Smith had a horrible game, as he was sacked four times and threw three interceptions.
The 49ers are a touchdown favorite over the Seahawks, but I see more value in taking the “under” in this game. Both defenses will be fired up. I expect this to be a low-scoring game with more opportunities for field goals as opposed to touchdowns.
The Seahawks have gone under the total in five out of their six games this season while the 49ers have gone under in three out of six games.
Gimme the under.
Please make sure to check back Friday for my four-star picks and my take on the rest of the NFL schedule.