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IDP Studs and Duds - Week 13

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We’ve hit Week 13 of the 2012 NFL season, and that means this is it. The end of the line. The final stanza. This week brings with it the end of the regular season in many IDP leagues, meaning that for any number of fantasy owners this week’s game is a must-win if they want to advance to the playoffs.

Rather than go over last week’s recommendations (which, as usual, contained both hits and misses) I’m going to offer a little unsolicited advice. Even if you’ve been eliminated from postseason contention please be sure to make every effort to win this week just as you would any other. It’s not fair to your league mates to roll over and quit, as you could be throwing the competitive balance of the league out of whack or screwing a team out of a playoff spot.

Now that I’ve finished with my sermon it’s time for another week of IDP Studs and Duds, where I’ll point out some Individual Defensive Players who could be set to exceed expectations this week (Studs) and some that for whatever reason are riskier plays than usual (Duds).

That isn’t necessarily to say that every “Stud” is a must-start (it depends on your other options) or that every “Dud” should be glued to your bench (just that the odds of a letdown week are greater than usual).

Finally, before we get on with the show, if you have a specific IDP Start/Sit question you’d like my take on you can e-mail me at askgary@fantasysharks.com or post the question in the “ Kilroy Krystal Ball ” thread in the Fantasy Sharks IDP Forum. I can’t promise I’ll get to every question, but I’ll do the best I can.

STUDS

Jared Allen – DE, Minnesota Vikings (at GB): Allen has had an off season in 2012, with only seven sacks this year after tallying 22 in 2011, but the stage is set for the ninth-year veteran to rebound this week against a Green Bay Packers team giving up the second-most fantasy points per game to defensive lineman this year.

Derrick Morgan – DE, Tennessee Titans (vs. HOU): Despite only having 2.5 sacks on the season Morgan’s relatively high tackle numbers have kept him among the top 20 fantasy options at his position this year, and there’s little reason to think that won’t continue Sunday against the Houston Texans in a very favorable IDP matchup.

Muhammad Wilkerson – DE. New York Jets (vs. ARI): 3-4 defensive ends that are IDP relevant are more exception than norm, but Wilkerson has an excellent shot at bucking that trend this week against a terrible Arizona Cardinals offensive line that has allowed the most sacks in the NFL this season.

Vontaze Burfict – OLB, Cincinnati Bengals (at SD): A horrible spring led to Burfict going undrafted, but the youngster has been a pleasant surprise for the Cincinnati Bengals this season and faces a San Diego Chargers squad this week that has surrendered the third-most fantasy points to linebackers in 2012.

Bobby Wagner – MLB, Seattle Seahawks (at CHI): Wagner has averaged double-digit tackles over his past six games, and the former Utah State star should keep that hot streak going this week against the Chicago Bears, who are the friendliest IDP matchup for linebackers so far this year.

Demorrio Williams – ILB, San Diego Chargers (vs. CIN): IDP owners in a bind at the linebacker position this week should take a long look at Demorrio Williams, who will fill in for the injured Donald Butler Sunday in a fairly favorable fantasy matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Ronde Barber – FS, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at DEN): The 37-year-old has taken very well to a position switch in his 17th NFL season, and Barber’s solid 2012 campaign should continue this week against a Denver Broncos squad that has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to defensive backs this season.

Antoine Bethea – FS, Indianapolis Colts (at DET): Bethea was a relative disappointment last week with only six tackles in a favorable matchup with the Buffalo Bills, but the seventh-year veteran will have a chance to redeem himself this Sunday in an equally tasty IDP matchup with the Detroit Lions.

LaRon Landry – FS, New York Jets (vs. ARI): After being hampered by an Achilles injury for the better part of the past two seasons Landry appears to have returned to form, and this week the sixth-year pro draws a turnover-prone Arizona Cardinals club giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to defensive backs this year.



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