NFL Prospect Evaluations - Feb. 25
Feb 25, 2013
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Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee, 6-foot-4, 200 pounds
CONS: A step slow in 2012 a year removed from a major knee injury. Did it still bother him or was he playing ‘not to get hurt again?’ Watching the tape, I lean towards the latter. Several mental lapses struck him too, common amongst most of the players on the team, product of coaching?
DRAFT BRIEFING: Likely drafted after his teammate Cordarrelle Patterson, but he shouldn’t be. Patterson does the majority of his damage in the short and intermediate game whereas Hunter is more of a downfield threat. The supply of Patterson types is high in the NFL, it’s low in Hunter types. He is the more valuable commodity, but doesn’t seem valued that way. He may slip into late Round 1, but he is more likely a Day 2 pick.
2013 OUTLOOK: I’m optimistic. Situation will matter, but he has the game breaking ability to breakthrough quickly in the NFL. Definitely a name to back pocket draft day.
DYNASTY OUTLOOK: This is a what have you done for me lately business, and Hunter was not as dominant in 2012 as guys like Patterson, so his lofty early season ranking is being artificially pushed down. It should not be, there’s good reasons to explain Hunter’s step back last season and just as many reasons to expect him to bounce back. He may slip into Round 2 of your rookie draft, but he shouldn’t.
Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin, 5-foot-11, 210 pounds
CONS: Lacks ideal speed and does not have a special element about his game.
DRAFT BRIEFING: Undervalued. NFL personnel are looking for difference makers and game changers, not factoring in risk enough, and letting types like Ball slip. He returned to school because he was disappointed in his grade from the Draft Committee, reportedly third round, and unfortunately their grade likely did not change based on what happened in 2012.
2013 OUTLOOK: Target him. Again, situation dependent, but, if he gets slotted behind a back that doesn’t have the team’s full support, expect Ball to push him for carries early and often. He may not be a draft day pick up, but early season waiver wonder? Definite possibility.
DYNASTY OUTLOOK: Like the 2013 outlook, target him. All the talk in the Top 5 surrounds Cordarrelle Patterson, Eddie Lacy, Giovanni Bernard, Keenan Allen, etc. while types like Ball go largely ignored. Lots of time to correct that mistake. I’m not sure if he will warrant Top 5 consideration come May, but he is absolutely in the conversation right now. Many in the NFL treat lunch pail types as a dime a dozen, but someone will see through the trees and value Ball for what he really is.
Mike Glennon, QB, NC State, 6-foot-6, 235 pounds
CONS: Just about everything else. The longer he holds onto the ball (his first or second reads aren’t there), the worse the result. He is slow through his progressions and makes poor decisions under duress and when his initial reads aren’t there. Footwork appears to be one of the issues, tendency to go flat footed making life easier on pass rushers.
DRAFT BRIEFING: In 2012 he would have been an afterthought, but in this class full of question marks. Some team is going to fall in love with his size and say they can fix his issues. Can they? Who knows, but he is likely a Day 1 selection regardless.
2013 OUTLOOK: No way, no how. Even if he has a starting gig his ceiling is 2012 Brandon Weeden. A statue that earns his fantasy points based on volume of throws is desperation bye week/injury filler.
DYNASTY OUTLOOK: It depends how far he slips in your rookie draft. Day 1 picks are drafted there with the expectation that they will start, someday. I expect him to be drafted Day 1, so there is value in that. Is that third round? Fourth round? We’ll see. Not likely any earlier, but he is a fine depth option once you get to the point in the draft in which you’re mining through Day 3 running backs and wide receivers.