Horrendous. The only thing worse than my Week 3 prop bets was the officiating by the referees on Sunday and Monday night. Luckily for all of us, the success of my picks are directly correlated to the quality of officials on any given weekend! Right now my prop bet credibility is at an all-time low. Here’s to Week 4, since you can’t get hurt falling out of a basement window.
Season prop bets: 20,000 Sand$
Week 4 prop bets: 1,500 Sand$
Last week gain/loss: -940 Sand$
Season gain/loss: -834Sand$
Week 3 Results:
300 Sand$ - Alex Smith (San Francisco) Total Completions UNDER 19.5 (-115) - (-300)
200 Sand$ - Chris Johnson (Tennessee) Total Rushing Yards on FIRST ATTEMPT UNDER 3.5 yards (-125) - (-200)
100 Sand$ - C.J. Spiller (Buffalo) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards OVER 125.5 (-115) - (-100)
200 Sand$ - Reggie Wayne (Indianapolis) Total Receiving Yards UNDER 80.5 (-115) - (-200)
200 Sand$ - Michael Vick (Philadelphia) WILL NOT Score a Rushing Touchdown (-160) and LeSean McCoy (Philadelphia) WILL Score a Touchdown (-140) - (-200)
100 Sand$ - Andre Johnson (Houston) Total Receiving Yards UNDER 80.5 (-115) and Andre Johnson (Houston) WILL NOT Score a Touchdown (-135) - (-100)
300 Sand$ - Stevan Ridley (New England) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 75.5 (-115) - (+260)
100 Sand$ - Jordy Nelson (Green Bay) Total Receptions OVER 5 (-130) and Jordy Nelson (Green Bay) WILL Score a Touchdown (+105) - (-100) Week 4 Player Prop Bets:
100 Sand$ - Brandon LaFell (Carolina) Total Receptions OVER 2.5 (-125)
We’ll start this week off nice and slow with a 100 Sand$ bet. LaFell is the No. 2 wide receiver in Carolina, and the Panthers will undoubtedly be playing from behind this week. 100 Sand$ - Tony Gonzalez (Atlanta) Total Receptions - OVER 5.5 (-115)
Gonzalez has been targeted more than nine times per game, with 22 of them coming in the last two. Carolina is ranked in the bottom third defending against opposing tight ends. 500 Sand$ - Nate Washington (Tennessee) Total Receptions OVER 3 (-115)
This is my largest bet of the year so far. Kenny Britt hasn’t practiced all week and will most likely be inactive on Sunday. Tennessee has thrown the ball 34 times per game and will need to rely on the pass this Sunday as well. Also, Houston defensive back Jonathan Joseph is listed as questionable.
400 Sand$ - Steven Jackson (St. Louis) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 66.5 (-115)
Jackson has rushed for 53, 58, and 28 yards in the first three games. I’d be shocked if he has his best game of the season against the Seattle Seahawks’ stout run defense. 300 Sand$ - Jamaal Charles (Kansas City) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 87.5 (-115)
Gut call of the week.
200 Sand$ - Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona) Total Receptions OVER 5.5 (-115) AND WILL Score a Touchdown (+115)
Miami is ranked 28th against the pass. Kevin Kolb looked pretty good last weekend and Fitzgerald bounced back to stud form after an abysmal Week 2. 300 Sand$ - Alex Smith (San Francisco) Total Completions UNDER 20.5 (-105)
I like this bet more than I did last week. This week we get an extra completion with better odds. 100 Sand$ - San Francisco Scores First (-140) AND New York Jets Total Points UNDER 18.5 (-115)
I like the Jets under 18.5 points and think the 49ers will get the first score … most likely a David Akers field goal.
Season Prop Bets:
5,000 Sand$ - New York Jets to win UNDER 8.5 games (-180)