Rock And A Hard Place - Week 11
Nov 16, 2012
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Four teams are on a bye in week 11: Minnesota, New York Giants, Seattle, and Tennessee. That means three top ten running backs and several solid receivers are out of lineups. Below, I’ll list the player, their week 11 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com.
DISCLAIMER: The hope is that you don’t find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge the bullet. But hope won’t help you come Sunday.
Let’s move on to this week’s targets, keeping in mind that these aren’t every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you’re in some kind of roster emergency, whether it be related to bye weeks or injuries.
Nick Foles @WAS – 15%. I know he’s a rookie, and I know it’s his first start, but he completed 22-of-32 passes last week against an underrated Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards, a score, and a pick in under three quarters. He now has a full week to prepare, a talented supporting cast, and a pass-happy offense. His offensive line still isn’t healthy, or good for that matter, but the Redskins are one of the worst pass defenses in the league. Fantasysharks.com projects 230 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. I think he blows past those numbers.
Sam Bradford vs NYJ – 43%. Bradford has shown some flashes of the talent that made him the top overall selection in the draft a few years ago. While the Rams would like to be a run-oriented team they usually need to turn to the pass before the first half ends. Bradford looked much better last week against a proven San Francisco defense, and I believe that the biggest reason is Danny Amendola. Using Steven Jackson effectively helps, Amendola is his possession guy and security blanket. With Darrelle Revis out, I’m not afraid of the Jets defense at all, and I’d have no problem starting Bradford if needed. He’ll easily top the 200 yards and score that we’ve projected.
Marcel Reece vs NO – 34%. With Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson out last week, Reece totaled 104 yards on 20 touches. He will start again and should receive a starter’s workload. The Raiders coaching staff doesn’t trust Taiwan Jones to hold onto the ball, so the speedier Jones will most likely see just a carry or two. Reece also faces the Saints historically poor defense and I think he outperforms the 95 total yards projected by the Fantasy Sharks staff.
Chris Ivory @OAK – 27%. While he is part of a very crowded backfield, it seems that the Saints coaching staff trusts Ivory. With the exception of Darren Sproles, who may also be returning shortly, Ivory always seems to break a big play. He also ends up getting goal line work. The Raiders run defense is almost as bad as the Saints run defense and I think Ivory can top the 60 combined yards and touchdown in our projections.
Danario Alexander @DEN – 15%. Alexander appears here for the second straight week. If you ended up grabbing him last week, and if you somehow started him, you were rewarded with a 5/134/1 stat line. It’s clear that he has a knack for making a play, and the more he does it, the more Philip Rivers will look his way. Against Denver this week, Champ Bailey will be the cornerback to watch. Assuming he matches up with the more established Malcom Floyd, if he even shadows an opposing receiver at all, I like Alexander to make plays once again. The Chargers will need to throw the ball a ton this week to have any chance at hanging with Peyton Manning and the Broncos. The 4-reception, 65-yard projection on our site is his minimum this week.
Riley Cooper @WAS – 0%. Cooper is an underrated weapon in a loaded Philadelphia receiving corps. He struggles to stay healthy, but when he is, he always makes a play or two that leaves fans wanting more. Last week, his one-handed goal line score was that play. Also, consider that this week’s starting quarterback, Nick Foles, has been working primarily with the second team offense with Cooper most of the year. With Jason Avant missing the game due to a hamstring injury, Cooper moves up into the third receiver role. He’s projected for two catches and 20 yards, and I like him to make a much bigger impact this week against a weak Washington secondary.
T.Y. Hilton @NE – 17%. Hilton has become a reliable target for Andrew Luck. He is really fast, and the Colts have taken to using him similar to how the Packers use Randall Cobb. He runs deep routes, he catches screens and picks up yards after the catch, and he has been running the ball on reverses a bit, as well. The Patriots are known for trying to take away whatever other teams do best, and in this case, the Colts throw the ball to Reggie Wayne. They’ll roll coverage to Wayne, meaning there won’t be safety help over the top to slow Hilton down. According to our site, Hilton is projected for a 5/50, and I think he tops those marks and gets in the end zone.
Good luck in week 11.
Drew Magyar is a FantasySharks.com staff writer and can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org. “What Did We Learn” will be posted each Tuesday morning during the season, and “Rock and a Hard Place” will be posted each Friday morning.