Rock And A Hard Place - Week 13
Nov 30, 2012
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Below, I’ll list the player, their week 13 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com.
DISCLAIMER: The hope is that you don’t find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge the bullet. But hope won’t help you come Sunday.
Let’s move on to this week’s targets, keeping in mind that these aren’t every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you’re in some kind of roster emergency, whether it be related to bye weeks or injuries.
Chad Henne @BUF – 18%. Henne has started two games this season. In those games, he has thrown for 615 yards, six touchdowns, and just one interception. He’s averaging over 300 yards and three scores. He now gets Buffalo’s awful pass defense, which has been one of the more generous defenses to opposing quarterbacks this season. I don’t really care that the game is on the road. Our fantasysharks.com projections project him for 265 yards passing, two scores, and two picks. I think those are his minimums this week.
Colin Kaepernick @STL – 39%. I am impressed with Kaepernick thus far. Maybe I drank the Harbaugh kool-aid, but he brings so much more to the table, especially as a fantasy quarterback. He can throw better than Smith, but he runs better and gets more carries near the goal line. We’ve projected him for 230 yards, a score, a pick, and 20 yards rushing. I think the passing numbers will be even better, and he’ll get at least 20 on the ground.
Ryan Lindley @ NYJ – 1%. Haha! Just kidding.
Joique Bell vs IND – 30%. Bell has come on late in the season, with solid games against Jacksonville and Houston. The Lions are starting to figure out their backfield, relying on Mikel Leshoure for early down work, and using Bell on third downs and when Leshoure needs a rest. This week, Leshoure has been slowed by an ankle injury. If he is limited in any way on Sunday, Bell will benefit from additional time. I like him to match our projection for him of 80 total yards and a score.
James Starks vs MIN – 16%. Starks was a playoff darling for the Packers a few seasons ago, but couldn’t get the job done last season. After missing the first half of this season due to injuries, Starks has regained the starting role, with a little help from an injured Cedric Benson and an ineffective Alex Green. I think Starks will be a bigger part of the running game this season, and while he’s a plodding runner, I like him to surpass the 30-yard projection we have, and I actually like him to score, although it’s merely a gut call.
Ryan Broyles vs IND – 16%. Broyles has been a pleasant surprise since passing Titus Young on the depth chart in Detroit. He has become a trusted target for Matthew Stafford, and with Calvin Johnson on the other side, teams will most likely leave a single corner to cover Broyles. Last week, he caught six balls for 126 yards, and I like him to keep that kind of production going against Indianapolis this week. The fantasysharks.com projection for Broyles is seven receptions, 70 yards, and a touchdown. I think those numbers are about right.
Brandon Stokley vs TB – 20%. It’s not very often that a third receiver is recommended. In this case, it’s Peyton Manning’s third receiver. He'll be facing Tampa Bay’s 32nd ranked pass defense and they allow more fantasy points to opposing receivers than any other team in the league. Stokley is a safety blanket for Manning, and he’s a red zone target. He’s caught at least four balls for 54 yards in each of his last three games, and this week, the fantasysharks.com staff has him projected for four catches, 50 yards, and a touchdown. I think the catches and yards are guaranteed, so it’ll come down to whether he scores or not.
Good luck in week 13.
Drew Magyar is a FantasySharks.com staff writer and can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org. “What Did We Learn” will be posted each Tuesday morning during the season, and “Rock and a Hard Place” will be posted each Friday morning.