Rock And A Hard Place - Week 15
Dec 14, 2012
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Below, I’ll list the player, their week 15 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com.
The hope is that you don’t find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge the bullet. But hope won’t help you come Sunday.
Let’s move on to this week’s targets, keeping in mind that these aren’t every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you’re in some kind of roster emergency. With the majority of big name quarterbacks, including Robert Griffin III, expected to be active, we’ll skip the position, moving on to running backs and receivers.
Joique Bell @ARI – 38%. Last week, Arizona gave up 284 rushing yards to the Seattle Seahawks. Marshawn Lynch ran for 128 yards and three scores on just 11 carries. His backup ran 20 times for 108 yards. Granted, last week’s 58-0 drubbing was a unique situation, and I wouldn’t expect that kind of productivity again, but Bell and “lead-back” Mikel Leshoure have been splitting reps of late. Leshoure is still the goal line option, but Bell is more explosive and adds a pass-catching dynamic that Leshoure just doesn’t have. Our staff has projected him for 70 yards rushing, four catches for 35 yards, and a touchdown. I think those numbers are fairly realistic, and he’s available in way too many leagues.
Montell Owens @MIA – 10%. We didn’t know what to expect from Owens last week. But he served well in a lead role against the Jets, running for 91 yards on 14 carries, including a nice 32-yard score. There were some early week whispers that Rashad Jennings might return from a concussion this week, but he had yet to pass the necessary tests to return, meaning Owens is the default option in the Jaguars’ backfield. When our projections were posted, we estimated 65 total yards for Jennings and 55 for Owens. With Jennings all but ruled out, I like Owens to put up 80-100 yards, with a good chance to score.
Danario Alexander vs CAR – 54%. How is he available in almost half of leagues?! Right now, he is easily a top-25 fantasy receiver, and possibly higher, meaning he should not only be owned, but started in almost every league. Want further proof? Since week 10, in standard leagues, only Calvin Johnson and Dez Bryant have scored more than his 16.7 points per week. With a decent matchup in what could turn into a shootout with Carolina, I love Alexander, especially with teams covering him with just one defender so often. Our site projects him for six catches, 90 yards, and a touchdown. That’s what I would expect at a minimum.
Josh Gordon vs WAS – 50%. In his last two games, Gordon has been fantastic, especially considering he was chosen in the supplemental draft just five months ago. When he was chosen, the talking heads chastised the Browns for giving up too much, a third round pick in next year’s draft, for the young, raw talent. But he’s starting to make Browns executives look pretty good. He now has 42 catches for 732 yards and five touchdowns. In just his last two games, he’s caught 14 balls for 202 yards and a score, and now he gets a Redskins defense that has been one of the worst in the league against the pass. Like Alexander, he’s also projected for six catches, 90 yards, and a score, and I think he hits those marks.
T.Y. Hilton @HOU – 55%. I’m a big fan of Hilton. He will be extremely important to the Colts offense over the next few years, serving in a Mike Wallace capacity in Offensive Coordinator Bruce Arians’ offense. He has incredible speed, and the Colts try to get him the ball deep, over the middle, out of the backfield, and just about any other way they can. While Reggie Wayne will see more targets and help move the chains more often, Hilton eliminates safety help, meaning more open looks for his teammates. This week, he faces a Houston team that has struggled against the pass this season, including a 28-point beating on Monday night against the Patriots. The Texans have given up points to opposing receivers at an alarming rate over the last four weeks, and I like Hilton to beat our projected 5/75/1 stat line.
Good luck in week 15.
Drew Magyar is a FantasySharks.com staff writer and can be reached at email@example.com. “What Did We Learn” will be posted each Tuesday morning during the season, and “Rock and a Hard Place” will be posted each Friday morning.