Rock and a Hard Place - Week 11
Nov 15, 2013
More articles from Drew Magyar
Only Dallas and St. Louis are on a bye this week. But this is crunch time. This is the time of the season when your margin for error is at its smallest. Let’s say you have Tony Romo . Or let’s even say you have Colin Kaepernick or Tom Brady . Romo is on a bye, and Kaepernick and Brady both have rough matchups this week. So what do you do?
If you need a solid performance, and your current roster isn’t cutting it. Look at your alternatives, and don’t be afraid to take a shot.
Below, I’ll list a player with some upside for this week, their Week 11 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com .
DISCLAIMER - The hope is that you don’t find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge the bullet. But hope won’t help you come Sunday.
Let’s move on to this week’s targets, keeping in mind that these aren’t every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you’re in some kind of roster emergency.
Case Keenum vs. Oakland – 43 percent. Keenum has been a pleasant surprise for the Houston Texans, coming on in relief of Matt Schaub , who clearly wasn’t getting it done. In three games, he’s thrown for 822 yards, seven touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. He’s fumbled twice, but that’s less of a worry. He’s been really good, targeting Andre Johnson often, and he gets an Oakland secondary that’s allowed a lot of points to opposing quarterbacks. We project 225 passing yards, two scores, and 20 rushing yards. I like those numbers, and I think 225 is his minimum on Sunday.
Mike Glennon vs. Atlanta – 16 percent. Glennon has been better than we thought he’d be since taking over for Josh Freeman . He’s thrown at least one touchdown in each game he’s played, and he faces a Falcons defense that has been just horrible this season. With Mike James now out, I think Glennon gets the passing game started earlier. We’ve projected 255 yards and two scores, and I think that’s very realistic.
Rashad Jennings at Houston – 45 percent. Jennings has filled in admirably for the oft-injured Darren McFadden . In the last two games, Jennings has run 35 times for 190 yards and a touchdown. The rushing threat posed by Terrelle Pryor has opened up running lanes, making Oakland’s running game more dangerous. I think Jennings can hit our projected 100 total yards and a score.
Chris Ogbonnaya at Cincinnati – 11 percent. Ogbonnaya is a better runner than Willis McGahee at this point in their careers, and he’s a better pass catcher as well. With Jason Campbell under center, Ogbonnaya’s receiving skills are more important, and the Browns want to give him a bigger role going forward given McGahee’s struggles. I like Ogbonnaya to match the 70 total yards we’ve projected.
Jarrett Boykin at New York Giants – 36 percent. When Aaron Rodgers went down, it seemed that Boykin and the rest of the Green Bay offense might be doomed. While they’re certainly better with No. 12 under center, Scott Tolzien at least moved the offense, and he seemed to have chemistry with Boykin. He gets a Giants defense that has been better as of late, but I still like his chances of having a nice day. We’ve projected 70 receiving yards and a touchdown, and I actually think his receiving total is higher, but the touchdown will be key to his value.
Rishard Matthews vs. San Diego – 14 percent. Matthews blew up on Monday night, catching 11 passes for 120 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He’s clearly catching the eye of Ryan Tannehill, but it’s difficult to know if that was a matchup thing with Tampa Bay or a sign of things to come. If he’s still available on your waiver wire, he’s worth an add for his upside. FantasySharks.com projects 70 yards and a score.
Timothy Wright vs. Atlanta – 22 percent. Wright has been good this season, especially with Mike Glennon at the helm. He’s become a trusted target for the rookie quarterback, and he’s a major threat in the red zone. While he had a tough game a few weeks back against Atlanta, I think he rebounds in a home game. He’s projected for just 30 receiving yards, and I think he has a big game this week.
Rob Housler at Jacksonville – 14 percent. Housler was a preseason sleeper for what we thought would be an improved Arizona offense with Carson Palmer's arrival. To be fair, it really has improved, but it was such a low bar, that their offense still stinks. This week, Housler gets a Jacksonville defense that has been one of the worst in the league against tight ends. I like Housler to surpass our site’s 30-yard projection.
Good luck in Week 11.
Drew Magyar is a fantasysharks.com staff writer and member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.