Rock and a Hard Place - Week 6
Oct 11, 2013
More articles from Drew Magyar
This bye could not come soon enough for Atlanta. Between the disappointment of a 1-4 start, injuries mounting and defensive woes, Atlanta needs the next two weeks to regroup. Likewise, Miami started strong, but has since lost two straight.
But there are no bye weeks in fantasy.
So it’s time to scour the waiver wire in search of worthy additions to your squad. But are there really any guys available that can actually make a difference? Let’s take a look.
Below, I’ll list a player with some upside for this week, their Week 6 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com .
The hope is that you don’t find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge the bullet. But hope won’t help you come Sunday.
Let’s move on to this week’s targets, keeping in mind that these aren’t every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you’re in some kind of roster emergency.
Chad Henne at Denver – 8 percent. The 28-point spread isn’t a passive-aggressive Vegas joke. Jacksonville is going to get trounced. But because Denver has been scoring so much this season, their pass defense has actually been on the field quite a bit, and, as a result, they’ve given up their share of yardage through the air. Henne has a decent shot at putting up some numbers against Denver, but he’s also going to need some help from those around him. Justin Blackmon is back, but Cecil Shorts missed practice on Thursday with a groin injury, and Champ Bailey figures to make his season debut for Denver. Nonetheless, I think Henne could hit the numbers we’ve projected: 260 yards and two touchdowns.
Brandon Weeden vs. Detroit – 33 percent. While the Detroit pass rush has been improved this season, the Lions still give up yards. This will be Weeden’s first start with Josh Gordon in the lineup, and the offensive scheme will emphasize downfield throws to Gordon, Greg Little and Jordan Cameron . I know it sounds crazy, but I think Weeden can put up some decent numbers this week and should hit the Fantasy Sharks projection of 240 yards passing and a touchdown. I actually think he scores twice.
Mike Glennon vs. Philadelphia – 7 percent. Glennon is a fairly raw rookie, probably needing more time on the sideline to learn the system and adjust to the speed of the game. But if there was any doubt about Josh Freeman not getting the starting gig back before, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have left no doubt. Glennon faces an Eagles defense that has been a mess (putting it kindly), and I think Glennon will benefit from the extra reps over the bye week with Vincent Jackson , Mike Williams and the rest of the offense. He’s projected for 220 yards and a score, and, as an Eagles' fan, I can assure you he will do just fine.
Robert Turbin vs. Tennessee – 6 percent. Seattle will be playing at home (where the Seahawks are fantastic) against Ryan Fitzpatrick (who is not). Add the fact that Seattle lost last week to Indianapolis, and I think this may wind up a beatdown. With Turbin’s role as the clear No. 2 behind Marshawn Lynch , I see him putting up solid numbers as Seattle rests players late in the game, and I see him surpassing the 40 yards we’ve projected.
Zac Stacy at Houston – 36 percent. Stacy ran well last week in his first real action against Jacksonville, rushing 14 times for 78 yards. But the key word there was “Jacksonville,” and I doubt that Houston will roll out the red carpet. In any case, St. Louis rarely commits to the run, and with good reason. I think Stacy will get enough volume to hit the projected 50 yards rushing, but any real value is tied to a scoring chance.
Andre Ellington at San Francisco – 30 percent. As I mentioned last week in this space, Ellington is gaining ground on Rashard Mendenhall . Last week against Carolina, he rushed for 52 yards on just seven carries, while Mendenhall picked up just 43 yards on 17 rushes. Ellington is clearly the better, more explosive back. This may come down to his blitz pickup, but the coaching staff in Arizona will eventually have to give him top billing in the backfield. This week, he’s projected for just 30 yards rushing, and another 15 receiving, but I think he’s better as a stash for the stretch run.
Terrance Williams vs. Washington – 30 percent. Williams had a breakout game last week against Denver, catching four passes for 151 yards, including an 82-yard touchdown. However, Miles Austin has been practicing this week, meaning Williams will be, at best, splitting time with Austin on Sunday. But that’s OK, because Washington has been pretty generous against opposing offenses. We’ve projected Williams for six receptions, 80 yards and a score. I don’t know about the catches, but that yardage number is pretty realistic.
Keenan Allen vs. Indianapolis – 20 percent. Philip Rivers has looked more like his old self this year, and Allen has made the most of his opportunities. With Danario Alexander and Malcom Floyd out for the season, Allen has stepped up into a major role for the pass-heavy offense. In the past two weeks, Allen has caught 11 passes for 195 yards and a score, and I look for him to continue to post numbers for the Chargers. We’ve projected four catches for 55 yards and a touchdown, and I think those numbers are low.
Harry Douglas BYE – 17 percent. Julio Jones is out for the year, and Roddy White is now nursing both a high ankle sprain and a hamstring injury. Matt Ryan will rely heavily on Tony Gonzalez , but he’ll need to target Douglas as well, who’s stepped into the starting lineup and filled in admirably in the past. The Falcons are on a bye this week, but this may be the time to grab Douglas before the rest of your league thinks to do so.
Good luck in Week 6.
Drew Magyar is a FantasySharks.com staff writer and member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He can be reached at drewmagyaratgmail.com.