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Super Bowl XLIV: Three Round Mock- First Glance

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Welcome to the final edition of the Brew Crew Corner for the 2009 football season. The stage is set for the New Orleans Saints and the Indianapolis Colts to battle it out for Super Bowl glory. This is the first time since 1993 that both No. 1 seeds will meet in the final round. For fans of other NFL teams, there is a consensus neutral balance of how everyone feels about each team. Most will pick the favorites to win - the Colts - while others will root for the story book season of the New Orleans Saints who are seeking their first Super Bowl title.

Saints vs. Colts - Sunday, 6:25 p.m.

As the media hype builds around the game, many are putting the game’s outcome on the status of Dwight Freeney. As good as he is for the Colts defense, this game will be decided on how many opportunities each quarterback gets. Many would argue, but I believe the games top two quarterbacks will be playing in this game. It has been a long time since we’ve seen this type of quarterback battle in the Super Bowl. I would go as far as saying that this is the best quarterback matchup since Super Bowl XXXII when John Elway faced Brett Favre. Make no mistake - this will be a very well-played chess match between the two. I look forward to seeing great throws and hope that this game comes down to the final seconds.

Prediction: Colts 24, Saints 23


2010 Three-Round Mock

As soon as your season ends, one of the first things you start thinking about is “OK, who’s No. 1 next year?” Adrian Peterson took over the No. 1 draft spot this season and finished second overall. For next season, there is still a ton of questions for every player, but I feel good about Chris Johnson moving up to No. 1. The first four players taken will be running backs and you can take their names, throw them in a hat and pick one with no regrets. After the first four selections, the rest of the first round becomes a mystery. Frank Gore and Steven Jackson can be studs but they can also disappoint. Still they are your next best bets at the position. Picking a wide receiver or quarterback early has never panned out. I’ve ran the numbers over the past five seasons and those who selected a wide receiver or quarterback with their first draft pick have won just 10 percent of the time. So 90 percent of the time, a running back is a strong enough indicator not to be fancy and stick to the script.

When setting up your cheat sheets, use an excel spreadsheet as you will need to move players up and down according to what happens during the offseason with the draft, trades and other factors. Your board will change as much as a leader board during a NASCAR race.  Just keep up with the news while you are off the Fantasy Football clock.

Round 1

1 Chris Johnson, RB, TEN
2 Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN
3 Ray Rice, RB, BAL
4 Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC
5 Frank Gore, RB, SF
6 Steven Jackson, RB, STL
7 Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT
8 DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR
9 Andre Johnson, WR, HOU
10 Michael Turner, RB, ATL
11 Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI
12 Drew Brees, QB, NO
 
  Round 2
13 Reggie Wayne, WR, IND
14 Peyton Manning, QB, IND
15 Knowshon Moreno, RB, DEN
16 Tom Brady, QB, NE
17 Ryan Grant, RB, GB
18 Randy Moss, WR, NE
19 DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI
20 Cedric Benson, RB, CIN
21 Brandon Jacobs, RB, NYG
22 Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB
23 Calvin Johnson, WR, DET
24 Vincent Jackson, WR, SD

Round 3
25 Brandon Marshall, WR, DEN
26 Marques Colston, WR, NO
27 Matt Forte, RB, CHI
28 Philip Rivers, QB, SD
29 Santonio Holmes, WR, PIT
30 Miles Austin, WR, DAL
31 Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR
32 Tony Romo, QB, DAL
33 Shonn Greene, RB, NYJ
34 Roddy White, WR, ATL
35 Jamaal Charles, RB, KC
36 Sidney Rice, WR, MIN

There are a few names that will fall from the Top 3 rounds and others that will move up. These names are the ones I feel most comfortable starting a team with. There will be owners that will reach and grab a tight end like Dallas Clark or Vernon Davis as well as the top defense in the league. For instance, if Nnamdi Asomugha got his wish and was traded to the Jets, which finished with the top pass defense. There will be owners looking to cash in and expect an even better season and grab the defense too early. You just sit tight and follow your draft plan and let those who are unprepared over spend on players.

Enjoy the Super Bowl festivities but please be safe. I look forward to the Super Bowl ads. They were disappointing last year but I think they will be better this weekend.

Cheers!



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