Surviving Week 4
Sep 30, 2010
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The New England Patriots got a scare from Buffalo, which wouldn’t go away in that game. However, they were able to survive and we can move on to next week. The byes begin as we have entered Week 4, which means there are fewer games and fewer teams to choose from. Check out my entire game-by-game analysis for the upcoming week …
Week 1 – New York Giants – WIN
Week 2 – Green Bay Packers – WIN
Week 3 – New England Patriots – WIN
On to the games…
Broncos @ Titans – Tennessee did not exactly outplay the New York Giants on Sunday, they were just able to force turnovers and induce Giants penalties. Chris Johnson was held in check for the most part for the second straight week. He had just 27 carries for 70 yards until his last five-minute garbage time stats after the Giants turned the ball over on downs. On the other hand, Denver held its own with the Colts for a good portion of that game, but eventually Indianapolis was too much for them. I’m going to pass on this game.
Ravens @ Steelers – For the fourth consecutive week, the oddsmakers have not given any respect to Pittsburgh. The Steelers have been underdogs twice and were just a 2.5-point favorite last weekend. Pittsburgh is 3-0 this year against the spread and I feel they are on a mission with Ben Roethlisberger suspended. They want to complete the run to 4-0 with him out and show that they are back. Stay away from this rivalry in survivor, though.
Bengals @ Browns – Cincinnati has not been able to get rolling on offense and Carson Palmer is mainly the blame. He has not been able to get going thus far, but with the Bengals sitting at 2-1, they can get a big road win in Cleveland to quietly improve to 3-1. Not taking a risk on a road team in the division.
Lions @ Packers – The Packers are coming off a loss on Monday night where they outplayed the Bears on paper, but unfortunately for them, that means nothing. No one expects Green Bay to drop to 2-2, but the Lions have not been push-overs this season. Nevertheless, you have to like the two-touchdown favored Packers, especially if the Lions’ most explosive player, Jahvid Best, is out.
Panthers @ Saints – The Saints are not losing two straight at home. The Panthers are on deck. End of story. New Orleans is a top pick this weekend.
49ers @ Falcons – The Falcons are tempting, but all of that 49ers preseason hype is swirling around in my head. At this point of the season, I don’t like going against teams that are winless who are: 1) playing hard (example: Lions (unless Jahvid Best is out); or 2) a team with the talent but just not performing (49ers). Is this the week the 49ers turn it around? Atlanta’s coming off a big win on the road and I’m going to pass for now.
Seahawks @ Rams – This is an interesting game. The Rams are another bad team from 2009 who is playing hard this season. Sam Bradford has played well in his first three games as a NFL quarterback. Seattle is one team at home and another on the road. If I knew Steven Jackson was 100 percent healthy and playing, I definitely would pick St. Louis to win. I’m not touching the divisional matchup in elimination pools, but I like the Rams at home.
Jets @ Bills – The Jets have won two straight divisional games after dropping the opener to Baltimore. They have the other team in the AFC East this week in the Buffalo Bills. I’ll hold off on the Jets until they’re a heavy favorite at home.
Colts @ Jaguars – Same goes for the Colts as it does for the Jets. I’ll wait until they’re at home or not playing a divisional team.
Texans @ Raiders – Staying away from the road teams. Oakland has played better with Bruce Gradkowski and should give the Texans a fight, especially if they are without Andre Johnson. However, I would expect the Texans to focus on the run game with Arian Foster. Stay away in survivor.
Cardinals @ Chargers – Everything lines up for the Chargers in this game, but my gut tells me not to pick them. The Cardinals are 2-1, but easily could be 0-3. They did not play well in St. Louis Week 1 and could have lost. The same goes for last week. Their one loss was against a quality team in a blowout in Atlanta. San Diego needs a win to get back to .500 and they should be able to do that. I won’t make the Chargers my top selection, but probably need to make them an option.
Redskins @ Eagles – Donovan McNabb returns to Philadelphia. This one will be a must-watch. If Washington loses, it will seem like Week 1 was a long time ago as the Redskins were flying high at 1-0 and the Eagles looked like they were in for a long season starting 0-1 and dealing with tons of injuries.
Bears @ Giants – The Bears are coming off a big Monday Night Football win and the Giants’ season is riding on this game. I think the Giants will rebound and pick up a much-needed win at home. If not, they could be looking at a 5-11 season. Glad to have used Big Blue in Week 1.
Patriots @ Dolphins – The winner moves to 3-1 in the division and can keep pace with the Jets. The loser will have two division losses just four weeks into the season, which never bodes well. Miami needs to defend their home field in this one and pick up a win. Another good primetime game …
SELECTION: The Panthers are 0-3 and will continue to start their rookie quarterback. They cannot get anything going on the ground and now enter New Orleans, which is coming off a home loss. I don’t see the Saints losing back-to-back home games, but it probably would not matter where this game was being played. Give me the SAINTS.
Other possible selections: Packers, Chargers
Be cautious with Atlanta. Not betting against the 49ers until they get that first win. I don’t know when they will turn it on. Atlanta could be picked off after a big road win.