Survivor Pool Analysis - Week 3
Sep 23, 2011
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Two weeks are in the books, and the Baltimore Ravens were the top team who knocked out survivor hopefuls last week. I was wary about Baltimore after their big win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, so check out which big favorite in Week 3 should be primed for an upset.
The Week 3 game-by-game analysis …
San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals – The 49ers take on the Bengals after a game they let slip away at home. The point spread is less than three in this one and you can go either way in this one. Pass.
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills – The 2-0 Patriots enter 2-0 Buffalo, but they are once again a big favorite. I am going to pass on the divisional game because I want to see how Buffalo plays in this one.
Houston Texans @ New Orleans Saints – This should be a high-scoring contest in the dome. I would lean towards the Saints to pick up the win, but in a potential shootout like this one, anything can happen.
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles – The Giants continue to lose players and are on a short week while the Eagles have questions surrounding Michael Vick. Anything can happen in the NFC East, though, especially with these two rivals.
Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns – Another pick’em game in Week 3 that you can go either way with. When this is the case, I usually go with the home teams.
Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans – I liked Tennessee to upset Denver at home last week as I figured Baltimore might have a letdown after their big Pittsburgh win. This week, I like the Broncos getting the seven points in Tennessee. The Titans should win, but I think Denver keeps it close.
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings suffered a bad home loss to the Buccaneers last week, blowing a double-digit halftime lead and then losing in the final minute. It will be interesting to see how they respond. In Week 3, I look for teams who are desperate for a win and that mostly includes 0-2 teams. However, I don’t think much was expected out of Minnesota this year and they’re in for a six-to-seven win season. This won’t be one of them, but don’t risk Detroit on the road in survivor.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Carolina Panthers – Every week there is a team you can take a risk on if you have a hunch. Last week, I chose Denver. This week, I’ll go with Carolina. I don’t advise taking risks early in the year because if you save your big teams for later in the season and you get eliminated in Week 3, you go home with the elite teams left in your pocket. The Jaguars will be starting rookie Blaine Gabbert, but they will likely feature the run anyway. Carolina should win this one at home with Cam Newton playing well thus far, but this would not be my top selection.
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers – Speaking of top selections, the Chargers will host Kansas City, who has a 4-12 season staring them in the face after an AFC West title a year ago. The Chargers are a two-touchdown favorite in this one and they should be. Forget the divisional game, this should be an easy win for San Diego. Top pick.
New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders – The Raiders are coming off a wild game in Buffalo where they had their chance to pick up a win, but failed to do so. The Jets will travel across the country. I think this game will be decided by a field goal. Look elsewhere.
Baltimore Ravens @ St. Louis Rams – The Rams got a tough draw by the schedule makers this season. Home against Philadelphia, then at New York on Monday night, and now hosting the Ravens in Week 3. A team that was expected to be improving could start 0-3 and I think they will. However, 0-3 in the NFC West doesn’t bury you.
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Tough game to predict because you wonder how Tampa Bay will respond after that comeback win that had Josh Freeman and company fired up in Minnesota. People were beginning to question the Buccaneers, but they earned a gritty win on the road and now will host a divisional opponent. The loser will drop to 1-2. I think that will be Tampa Bay. The line is virtually a pick‘em in this one, which makes you question yourself since you would think Atlanta would be a road favorite.
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks hve looked pathetic thus far, but they’re home in the division so I would not go against them. Look elsewhere.
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears – Stay away from the rivalry.
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts – Indianapolis is in for a long season and fantasy owners who have Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark or any other Colt must be cringing. Pittsburgh is ready to make a big statement in primetime after their embarrassing Week 1 loss to Baltimore. The Steelers are another pick if you still have them available.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys – A lot of questions regarding the injury report in Dallas. The Redskins will aim to go 3-0 and stay atop the NFC East. I would avoid this primetime matchup.
SELECTIONS: The CHARGERS are your best bet at home this week followed by the STEELERS. Since I used Pittsburgh as my top option last week (Houston in Week 1), I will give you another option if you do not want to choose San Diego. The PANTHERS should be able to stop the run game and force Gabbert to beat them. I see Newton having another big day and finishing this one off with a win.
AVOID : Stay away from the CARDINALS because even though Seattle looks terrible, you never know when they will pull it together for a home game. The TITANS are coming off a big win at home while Denver will go on the road for the first time this season where Kyle Orton will not have to hear the Tebow chants. I expect Denver to keep this one close and possibly pull off the upset.