Cody Pagels
The Weekly Barometer - Week 10

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This week, I’m going to do something a little different. Ordinarily, I pick between two and four players at each position whose performance was far from expectations and give them lengthy analysis. However, Week 9 had a number of outlier performances that were absolutely ridiculous even by the volatile and unpredictable standards set forth by fantasy football. For that reason I’m going to broaden the scope to a much larger number of players with a shorter analysis for each.

Every week of football has many surprising and unexpected occurrences, but there’s a fine line between a normal week and a week where Nick Foles ties an all-time passing record in his ninth career start.

There’s too much to talk about, so let’s forgo the 600-word preamble and get straight to it:

Quarterbacks

Nick Foles (Week 9 at Oakland: 406 yards, 7 TD, 0 INT, 14 yards rushing)

So far this season, Foles has given us Sunday’s record-tying masterpiece, an absolute stinker against Dallas, an excellent performance against Tampa, and a solid relief appearance against the Giants. He’s batting 3-for-4, and he doesn’t face a single top-10 pass defense the rest of the way. Matt Ryan owners may have found a late-season savior.

Add and Start

Tom Brady (Week 9 vs. Pittsburgh: 432 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INT, -1 yard rushing)

After all of the fantasy experts officially lost all confidence in him as an every-week starter and facing down the defense that’s allowing the 4th-least points to QBs, Brady decided to go off for 33 points because he has trolling down to an art form. This is still only his second 20-point game of the season, and he scored in the single digits in three out of four games before Sunday. His remaining schedule is tough, culminating in two difficult road games in weeks 15 and 16.

Sell High

Case Keenum (Week 9 vs. Indianapolis: 350 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT 26 yards rushing)

He’s probably locked down the starting job the rest of the way since Houston’s season is lost and they’re going to want to take a good look at what they have in Keenum. There are too many more established options available to seriously consider a start in one-QB leagues, but he immediately enters the starting conversation in two-QB formats and should be owned in 12-team leagues.

Add

Jason Campbell (Week 9 vs. Baltimore: 262 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 20 yards rushing)

Ever notice that anyone not named Brandon Weeden does really well under center for Cleveland? Crazy at it sounds, it would appear that a mobile quarterback with experience running a competent NFL offense gives the Browns a better chance to win than a statue with Vince Young -caliber passing efficiency. I wouldn’t add Campbell in anything less than a 14-team league, but keep an eye on him, because he has looked good and has a good core of young receiving talent to work with.

Watch Closely

Jake Locker (Week 9 at St. Louis: 185 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT, 10 yards, 1 TD rushing)

A trend I noticed in lots of fantasy columns last week was suggesting Jake Locker as an alternative to desperate Tom Brady owners. The reasoning was very sound, but because fantasy football’s only function is to be a migraine inducing carnival of misery masquerading as a fun game, Locker scored 10 points to Brady’s 33. On the plus side, Sunday was the first time in five games that Locker failed to score multiple touchdowns, and he has Jacksonville next. Keep the faith, my brothers.

Usable Spot Starter

Matt Ryan (Week 9 at Carolina: 219 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 2 yards rushing)

It’s easy to sour on Ryan as a stud after throwing seven picks and only two TDs in the last two games. Worse yet, the Seahawks are on deck. However, the schedule softens considerably after his Week 10 nightmare. I would recommend him as a buy low if there was any kind of definite timetable on Roddy White’s return, but for now, keep him out of your lineup next week and stand pat.

Bench

Andy Dalton (Week 9 at Miami: 338 yards, 0 TD, 3 INT, 12 yards rushing)

That was a massive disappointment after throwing 11 touchdowns over the previous three games, but Dalton has always been a very streaky player. Last week, I regarded him as a high-upside fill-in, and that opinion hasn’t really changed.

Usable Spot Starter



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