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Vinnie's Pick$ and Pa$$es - Week 4


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Definitely a rough week last week, let’s do a quick review.

 

Last Week

Jets +6.5 @ New England.  New England’s Home opener.  Jets haven’t shown much lately with Vinnie at the Helm.  The Line of 6.5 almost teases you to take NE.  but, I think Herm Edwards team does NOT pack it in for the popular coach.  I like Vinatieri to win a close game, so I like a TEASE here from 6.5 to –5 on the Pats.  The Pats have too many offensive, WR weapons for Jets to diffuse, and Ted Washington can stop the run.  Can’t play on the Jets here (as they really do stink), but I don’t think they will go down without a fight (So, I can’t lay the lumber 6.5 with the Pats).  So, this is the first part of a Teaser.

 

GB –8 @ AZ.  Newsflash, The Arizona Cardinals stink.  Yep, if Detroit’s Joey Harrington can throw 4 TD’s against the AZ defense, and Seattle’s Hasselbeck can tear it up, what do you think Favre will do???  But, a Home Dog can bite, maybe not win this, as Favre is famous for his 4th Qtr comebacks, so just ‘Tease’ this game to GB –2, and even if GB wins by a FG, you win your teaser bet.

 

So, Bet #1 (And Strongest bet on the board) 

NE – 6.5 (+6) =NE – 1/2

GB –8 (+6)  =GB –2

 

Ouch, What is up with Favre and the Pack, were they looking past the Cards ??  Definitely, a tough game to lose…

 

St. Louis +3 @ Seattle.  Seattle is coming off a smoking win over the Lowly Cardinals, and St. Louis escaped the 49ers.  Seattle heads into a bye next week as well.  Seattle’s defense has been playing very well, and St. Louis starts Marc Bulger on the road.  Lay the points here, Seattle will be 3-0 heading into their bye.  Seattle –3

 

Ouch again!   Marshall Faulk is out and the Seahawks still can’t cover.  Yikes.

 

Tampa –4 @ Atlanta.  Normally, I’d like the home dog here, but I’ve been on the right side of TB all year.  This time, Gruden gets in their heads, and they play a near perfect division game.  Tampa has a bye the following week, and I’m sure the players don’t want on Gruden in their face screaming for the next two weeks. Tampa –4 

 

Easy win as Tampa Dominated the Vick-less Vikings.

 

Buffalo +3 @ Miami.  Another road team here, Buffalo.  Drew Bledsoe looks comfortable, and is familiar with the Miami Defense.  3 points is 3 too many here. Miami beat the hapless Jets, let’s see what happens here.  Buffalo +3

 

This smelled like a trap game, and I fell in the trap.  Bills played hard, but gave up the cover late.

 

 

Kansas City –7.5 @ Houston.  More than a TD.  Home opener for Texans.  David Carr is not that bad, and KC is due for a letdown.  Take the Points.  Houston +7.5

 

Houston was never in the game.  Period.

 

New York Giants +2.5 @ Washington.  I still don’t think Washington is that good, and the Giants have a bye week the following week.  You get some value with the +2.5 as division games are normally close.  Take the points.  Giants +2.5

 

Giants almost blew this game, but held on.

 

 

 

On to this weeks plays…A quiet week for Vinnie this week.

 

This Week

AZ +10.5 @ St. Louis: If Arizona can beat Green Bay, maybe they can just keep it close enough to win here.  Blake is making some gutsy plays AZ +10.5  Also, play the Over 44.5

 

Dallas +3 @ Jets: Parcells guys will be ready, Jets are in trouble, but 0-3 teams are desperate… Dallas +3

 

Plays for the week

AZ +10.5

Over 44.5 (AZ/Rams)

Dallas +3

 

No big plays this week, a lot of star injuries and unknowns…  Probably a good time to check the status of my account at Sportsbetting.com.  Maybe take a look at some of baseball play-off games!

 

Vinnie!



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