Survivor - Week 4
Sep 27, 2012
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I stated before Week 3, if New England is not safe in their home opener, then no one is. This proved to be true last week as the New Orleans Saints fell to 0-3 and even more surprisingly to 0-2 at home, eliminating me from the knockout pool. I recommended you avoid the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers, who both fell to 1-2 on the season. If you escaped the first three weeks and went with my second option of the Dallas Cowboys, check out my full analysis of every game in Week 4.
Week 1 : Bears – WIN
Week 2 : Giants – WIN
Week 3 : Saints – LOSS
Week 4 :
Thursday Night Football
Cleveland at Baltimore – It is a divisional game, but Cleveland traveling to Baltimore on a short week is not an easy task. The Ravens are about a 12.5 point favorite in this game and they should be able to control the game from start to finish. The Ravens are a top pick in Week 4.
New England at Buffalo – Divisional game that I would avoid. New England can’t go to 1-3, right?
Minnesota at Detroit – The Lions should bounce back after a tough overtime loss in Tennessee. Matthew Stafford should play, but if he cannot Shaun Hill would make the start. He can play well enough for the Lions to win. I would pass in survivor.
Carolina at Atlanta – The 3-0 Falcons look very impressive thus far with Matt Ryan leading the way. However, it is their defense that has propelled them to the next level. They’ll take on their first NFC opponent of the season as they host Carolina. Avoid this divisional matchup which should showcase a lot of offensive firepower.
San Francisco at New York Jets – The 49ers will enter New York with a bad taste in their mouths after losing to Minnesota handedly. I expect Mark Sanchez to be in for a long day, but I cannot force myself to take a road team, so I will pass again.
San Diego at Kansas City – San Diego took a big step back after last week’s blowout loss at home to Atlanta. Kansas City had a great comeback win led by Jamaal Charles in New Orleans. It’s an AFC West divisional game, so I’ll avoid.
Tennessee at Houston – Houston should be a fine choice this week against Tennessee. It is disappointing that Chris Johnson still cannot figure out how to run the ball, especially since Jake Locker has looked good through three weeks. The Texans are clearly the favorite in the AFC right now, and they’ll handle their business at home.
Seattle at St. Louis – I always repeat the differences between Seattle at home and on the road. The Seahawks play phenomenal in front of that home crowd, especially on defense where they feed off of the noise. Now they travel to St. Louis in a tough game to predict since the Rams have looked better this year. It’s an interesting game in the much improved NFC West.
Miami at Arizona – Could this be a letdown game for the 3-0 Cardinals? Two huge wins against Super Bowl contenders in New England and Philadelphia. Kevin Kolb was strongly motivated last week to beat his former team, as well. Good teams do not let these games slip by, but I could see Miami hanging around if Arizona does not put the Dolphins away early. If Reggie Bush is out, that would be a tough loss for the Dolphins offense to endure. Arizona is a third option this week.
Oakland at Denver – Peyton Manning needs to lead his team to a win this weekend. He should against Oakland. This is Denver’s third home game already, through four weeks of the season. Pass on this game.
Cincinnati at Jacksonville – Maurice Jones-Drew had one of those games last week where he takes over. He has done this many times in his career against the Indianapolis Colts. I’m not so sure he matches it this week, but through three weeks of the season, he has looked good after holding out this summer.
New Orleans at Green Bay – One combined win through three weeks for these two teams is not what the schedule-makers had in mind. A Saints upset in Green Bay would really stir the pot in the NFC, but the Packers should find a way to move to 2-2 and send the Saints home at 0-4. Wow.
Washington at Tampa Bay – The Buccaneers will face an NFC East team for the third straight week. This time it will be at home, and I expect them to pick up a victory this time since they match up better against Washington. Their head coach will keep them fighting. I like the Buccaneers, 17-14.
Sunday Night Football
New York Giants at Philadelphia – Avoid this NFC rivalry that makes for great primetime television.
Monday Night Football
Chicago at Dallas – Another good primetime game on Monday night. The Bears are 2-1, but they handled Indianapolis and St. Louis at home for their two wins, which is nothing too impressive. On the other hand, Dallas hasn’t looked good since Sept. 5.
Week 4 Selections :
My Week 4 selection is the BALTIMORE RAVENS followed by the HOUSTON TEXANS. These are the top two teams in the AFC, and they should not disappoint in Week 4. Good luck if you are still alive!
Avoid : Seattle Seahawks