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Week 5: West is Best

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It was just a few seasons ago that NFL fans mocked the NFC West division as their playoff seed generally hovered around .500 or just over. The AFC West was slightly more impressive and was generally won by the San Diego Chargers with most of the other competitors struggling along. 

Through four weeks of the 2013 season, the West divisions are without a doubt…. the best! With a combined record of 20 wins and 12 losses the NFC and AFC West divisions are playing well early on against other divisions. In addition, the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos are the clear favorites thus far for the Super Bowl.

Hopefully, your teams are off to quick starts as well.  If not, there is still a lot of season left to pull together a win streak and contend. 

Quarterback

The Manning brothers’ seasons have been absolutely polar opposite. Older brother Peyton is posting career highs with his undefeated Denver Broncos, while younger brother Eli Manning has eleven turnovers and remains winless.
Eli Manning will rebound in Week 5 against the division rival Philadelphia Eagles. Philadelphia allows the most passing yards to opposing quarterbacks and has managed only two interceptions. Neither team’s defense is playing well, so expect a lot of touchdowns in this NFC East shootout. If you have a consistent tier one quarterback, then play him.  However, if your starter is hindered with injury or on a bye, have some faith in Eli to finally rebound this week.

Week 5 Forecast: 275 passing yards and two touchdowns

Running Back


Owners of Maurice Jones-Drew are undoubtedly disappointed, but generally aware that the lack of production is not completely on the back of their veteran running back. Labeling the Jacksonville Jaguars offense as “dismal” is truly an understatement. MJD has yet to top 50 rushing yards and is averaging 2.4 yards per carry. If you own MJD, you need to start him in Week 5 as the matchup couldn’t be more favorable against the St. Louis Rams who have allowed the most rushing yards to opposing running backs. Don’t expect a monster game especially if the pass offense struggles again, but anticipate MJD’s best game of the early season.

Week 5 Forecast: 100 total yards and one touchdown

Wide Receiver

I understand how difficult it is starting a New York Jets’ receiver in your lineup. Nonetheless,
Santonio Holmes and Stephen Hill have both been relatively productive with a few big performances already this season. Both receivers are projected to be sidelined this weekend with injury, which should generate plenty of opportunities for Jeremy Kerley. Kerley and the Jets visit the Atlanta Falcons who have surrendered the fourth most fantasy points to wide receivers and have actually defended the pass much worse at home.

Week 5 Forecast: 80 receiving yards and one touchdown

Tight End

Greg Olsen is considered a tier two tight end, but will earn top tier numbers this weekend. With an average of nine targets per game and an extra week of rest, look for Cam Newton to target Olsen against the Arizona Cardinals this weekend. Arizona has allowed the second most targets and most receiving yards to opposing tight ends. 

Week 5 Forecast: 70 receiving yards and one touchdown

Defense/DST

I hate to sound like a bully here, but plugging and playing the weekly defense against the Jacksonville Jaguars is too much of a temptation. The Jags offense has averaged less than eight points per game and has turned the ball over five times over the last two games. With the struggling St. Louis Rams looking to rebound and with extra time to prepare for Week 5, grab them for this attractive matchup.

Week 5 Forecast: 13 points

Week 4 Results:


QB Alex Smith
Week 4 forecast: 225 passing yards, 30 rushing yards, and 2 touchdowns
Week 4 results: 288 passing yards, 37 rushing yards, and 3 touchdowns (GREAT CALL)

RB Isaiah Pead

Week 4 forecast: 75 total yards and 1 touchdown
Week 4 results: Pre-game scratch. Did not play.

WR Ryan Broyles
Week 4 forecast: 75 receiving yards and 1 touchdown
Week 4 results: 0 receiving yards (bad call)

TE Heath Miller
Week 4 forecast: 60 receiving yards and 1 touchdown
Week 4 results: 70 receiving yards (Good Call)

Defense/ST Kansas City Chiefs
Week 4 forecast: 15 points
Week 4 results: 13 points (Good Call)

Good luck in Week 5!