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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 08:25 
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Mako Shark

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Norseman056 wrote:
No? Stats tend to differ.

2010 season
(Stats for BJGE, Danny Woodhead, and Fred Taylor)

The first 8 games they averaged 89 rushing yards per game.

Last 8 games they averaged 125 rushing yards per game.

I think weather plays into the running game more than people realize.

Certainly an improvement, but I'm not sure it's more than people realize. 3.6 FFPPG divided three ways? :-k


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 08:26 
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BJGE had a huge majority of the yards. I think Taylor had 115 total for the year and Woodhead only had maybe 400, and most of that came early in the year.


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 08:50 
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Mako Shark

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Okay BJGE had the majority... w/e. It's still +36ypg and BJGE is STILL on the roster....with a bunch of other backs that will be mixed in. Might they run it more due to weather? Sure. Does it mean we know what BB will do with his backs? Not likely.

I'd be more willing to bet that the difference in the two 8 game samples from last season was outscoring opponents +174 in the second 8 compared to +31 in the first 8.


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 09:25 
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Mako Shark

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Norseman056 wrote:
No? Stats tend to differ.

2010 season
(Stats for BJGE, Danny Woodhead, and Fred Taylor)

The first 8 games they averaged 89 rushing yards per game.

Last 8 games they averaged 125 rushing yards per game.

I think weather plays into the running game more than people realize.



please explain how these #'s show how the weather affected them.

there are so many things that go into making a successful, or a more successful, running game. just stating they did better the last 8 games doesn't prove anything in regards to the weather.

i seem to remember the worst weather days were days they ended up passing for the win. i am not referring only to the last 8 games last year.


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 09:50 
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darksideofoz wrote:
Norseman056 wrote:
No? Stats tend to differ.

2010 season
(Stats for BJGE, Danny Woodhead, and Fred Taylor)

The first 8 games they averaged 89 rushing yards per game.

Last 8 games they averaged 125 rushing yards per game.

I think weather plays into the running game more than people realize.


please explain how these #'s show how the weather affected them.

there are so many things that go into making a successful, or a more successful, running game. just stating they did better the last 8 games doesn't prove anything in regards to the weather.

i seem to remember the worst weather days were days they ended up passing for the win. i am not referring only to the last 8 games last year.



I'm drawing conclusions from the data, a system which has served me very well over the years, and I thought to share it. If you don't agree with it by all means ignore it. Me? I'll continue to benefit from my methods. Obviously I'm not saying just because it's cold a RB is guarenteed to do better. If by some fluke happenstance they're down by 30 in a game, snow or not, they'll be throwing. However, the patten suggests that later in the season cold weather team RB's have posted higher numbers.


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 10:15 
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Whale Shark
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Norseman056 wrote:
darksideofoz wrote:
Norseman056 wrote:
No? Stats tend to differ.

2010 season
(Stats for BJGE, Danny Woodhead, and Fred Taylor)

The first 8 games they averaged 89 rushing yards per game.

Last 8 games they averaged 125 rushing yards per game.

I think weather plays into the running game more than people realize.


please explain how these #'s show how the weather affected them.

there are so many things that go into making a successful, or a more successful, running game. just stating they did better the last 8 games doesn't prove anything in regards to the weather.

i seem to remember the worst weather days were days they ended up passing for the win. i am not referring only to the last 8 games last year.



I'm drawing conclusions from the data, a system which has served me very well over the years, and I thought to share it. If you don't agree with it by all means ignore it. Me? I'll continue to benefit from my methods. Obviously I'm not saying just because it's cold a RB is guarenteed to do better. If by some fluke happenstance they're down by 30 in a game, snow or not, they'll be throwing. However, the patten suggests that later in the season cold weather team RB's have posted higher numbers.


Post more than one year and maybe a pattern develops. In fact I you brome it down to games in the cold I might really pay attention. Weather is still nice in some parts of the country. Using 8 games to create a hypothesis, sure. Using 8 hames to claim fact is just plain lazy. And any good researcher would have found games when they played in cold weather versus not cold. Wind? There are so many variables.

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RB/WR - Oliver/Hunter/Crowell
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TE - Kelce

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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 10:18 
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Mako Shark

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It's a sound strategy Norse. In the case of NE, it just doesn't apply the way it does to other cold weather teams. Yes, there was an increase in rushing yardage. Cold, snow, etc. had little, possibly nothing, to do with it. They crushed opponents and it happened to be cold out.....They'll crush a few this year when it happens to be cold out.....does either make one RB on NE better than the other or better than a RB with an opportunity on a different team? Maybe, but not because the elements forced NE to run more...last year.


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 10:20 
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Whale Shark
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Last 8 games of 2010 they played all east coast or cold weather games. Brady had 22 of his 36 TDs in the last 8 games. More than half. Also his pass attempts looked the same as the first half.

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Optimized Playoff Roster:
QB - Brees
RB - Forte
RB/WR - Oliver/Hunter/Crowell
WR - Julio
WR - Gordon
WR/TE - KBenj
TE - Kelce

6-1


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 Post subject: Re: Stevan Ridley
PostPosted: Wed 10.26.2011, 10:24 
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Whale Shark
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Also Brady had 233 pass attempts. Very nearly half of his year totals. See how you can use data to prove nearly anything you want.

_________________
16 Team PPR - IDP

Optimized Playoff Roster:
QB - Brees
RB - Forte
RB/WR - Oliver/Hunter/Crowell
WR - Julio
WR - Gordon
WR/TE - KBenj
TE - Kelce

6-1


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