Richardson isn't even worth a 4th round pick.
Sooooooo, who is carrying the ball for the Browns then?
If he isn't even worth a 4th rd pick, it must be a RBBC, right?
Him being the primary back doesn't mean he's worth a high draft pick. RBBC, injury past and rookies all deserve special consideration. Rookies to me are the worst of that grouping because they're entirely unproven. They have to deal with NFL offesnive gameplans, defensive athletes like they've never imagined before, and a longer schedule than they're used to. Everything is stacked against them and as a drafter, you have nothing to even make a projection off of. The risk-reward is highly stacked against taking a rookie early.
Even the great AP, who exploded for that 300 yard game his rookie year, fizzled out to finish the season. I draft for the playoffs and let the other fools (chum
) in the league reach on rookies.
This has always been my philosophy on rookies, too. At least in the first couple rounds.
I don't mind taking a flyer on a rookie later. Four years ago, I got Matt Forte in the 8th and Chris Johnson in the 13th.
But if I'm sitting at 11-14 in a 12-team PPR (and I am) and I have a choice between Brees and Trent . . . how could I possibly pass up a sure thing for an unproven rookie?
This is one of the reasons the Top 3 QBs are so high on the ADP lists this year. At least for now.
As EndzoneView contended previously, maybe Richardson shoots up the board after three exhibition games.