DISCOUNT DOUBLE CHECK vs. TOM TERRIFIC

BRADY
19
32%
RODGERS
40
68%
 
Total votes : 59
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Great White Shark
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Pretty straightforward here guys. Seems the previous year's #1 rarely repeats, so the odds that somebody other than Rodgers wins the scoring title seem pretty good.
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bluemist wrote:Pretty straightforward here guys. Seems the previous year's #1 rarely repeats, so the odds that somebody other than Rodgers wins the scoring title seem pretty good.

I like Greenbays overall balance better.Younger(28) qb vs older(34) and brady has been injured.Rogers can move on down the field where as brady wont do that.Dont get me wrong I like Brady,I have him in 2 other leagues.Corner me on the choice of the 2 and I would THIS year take Rogers.
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Rodgers has been #1 or #2 in PPG the last three seasons with only Vick's huge 2010 campaign nudging him out of a clean sweep. Even in '08 he was #2 after Brees. So in four years of starting he's either #1 or #2 in PPG. That's consistency you want for a first round pick. Give me Rodgers, the only real concern is him surviving the season.
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Not exactly on topic, but Rodgers has been getting sacked 35-40 times a season lately and I'm not expecting that number to decline this season. At that rate one of these days he may miss games due to injury. It's a factor I consider if to spend a first rounder on him. Basically, if you draft him and he goes down, that hurts.
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stafford
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getdownmmmkay wrote:stafford


There's always one! :lol:
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I think Tom Terrific is going to light the league up this year. All the pieces are in place, #1 overall scorer.
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bluemist wrote:
getdownmmmkay wrote:stafford


There's always one! :lol:


i'll own it.
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The BlueBeards wrote:Not exactly on topic, but Rodgers has been getting sacked 35-40 times a season lately and I'm not expecting that number to decline this season. At that rate one of these days he may miss games due to injury. It's a factor I consider if to spend a first rounder on him. Basically, if you draft him and he goes down, that hurts.


..applies to any first round pick lost to injury.
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Before that preseason game, I would have given Brady the edge, based on the potential that's there with the additions of Lloyd, McDaniels and the continuing maturation of Gronk and Hernandez.

But unless leaky Nate Solder and the rest of the line show more promise going forward, I'll have some reservations.
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newmancrew wrote:I think Tom Terrific is going to light the league up this year. All the pieces are in place, #1 overall scorer.


I used to be of this opinion, then I dug into some numbers that even made me more pro Rodgers.

2011:

Attempts:
Rodgers: 502
Brady: 611

Fantasy Points:

Rodgers: 385
Brady: 352

Brady had 109 more attempts than Rodgers & ended up with 33 less fantasy points. Now look at the # of attempts for all of the top 5 QB's in 2011 other than Rodgers:

Stafford: 663
Brees: 657
Brady: 611
Newton: 517
Rodgers: 502

In terms of the top QB's being drafted, Rodgers had 161 attempts less than Stafford, 155 less than Brees, & 109 less than Brady.

What's are the Shark's opinions on this? To me it indicates he actually has some room to grow his fantasy totals. Not saying it is terribly likely that his attempt numbers will increase, and while Rodgers only had 475 attempts in 2010, he did have 541 in 2009 & 536 in 2008. If he plays at his 2011 level with 30-60 more attempts in 2012, he could easily blow by his 2011 fantasy numbers IMO.
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While I am a huge Pats fan and a big fan of Tom Brady, if it was between Rogers and Brady, I take Rogers. However, I think those guys will finish #1 and #2. I'd definitely take Brady over Brees, Newton, Stafford, etc.
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Plechazunga wrote:Before that preseason game, I would have given Brady the edge, based on the potential that's there with the additions of Lloyd, McDaniels and the continuing maturation of Gronk and Hernandez.

But unless leaky Nate Solder and the rest of the line show more promise going forward, I'll have some reservations.


Apparently you missed the Packers preseason 'game'...
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Also clearly worth considering the schedules for this upcoming season.

The difference in performance between the two is likely to be minimal anyway (barring injury, but you really can't predict that with any accuracy).

btw...

GB last 4 games (you know playoffs and all...)
vs. Det
@Chi
vs. Tenn
@Minn

Assuming they are meaningful games there's only one there (@chi) which projects to be potentially 'poor' for Rodgers.

NE last 4...
vs. Hou
vs. SF
@JAx
vs. Mia

Probably slightly more difficult? 3 home games though, but weather, but Brady doesn't seem to be bothered by those conditions anyway.

Can't see a real edge, maybe slight edge to Rodgers. @chi is easier than vs. SF?
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