licker wrote:Great, thanks.
Let me ask another question though, not so general.
It's a 10 team league and I'm sitting with:
2:04 (and so on at 4... not a snake draft)
I'm near 100% certain that they in 1:01 is taking Richardson, as he took Newton last year, and is unlikely to take Luck given his current stable of QBs.
So I nab Luck at 1:02 since my QB situation is Ryan and a poo-poo platter of junk (Kolb/Cassel/Locker).
Then if I'm lucky Martin goes to 1:04 and I get him, if not then I get whatever WR/RB looks best at that spot (we draft in 2 weeks so more preseason to see what happens).
Alternatively, I take Martin at 2 (or Richardson if 1:01 takes Martin or a WR), and am guaranteed of either Luck or RGIII at 4. My concern there is that I'm not super high on RGIII, but absolutely think Luck is a lock for studness over his career, yet the risk of not getting Martin at 1:04...
My WR situation is nice, Megatron, Julio, StevieJ, McCluster and Simpson (well those last 2 are mostly irrelevant, but I can replace them with whatever). My RB situation is ok if I get Martin, my TE situation is Vernon Davis.
No knock on Vernon, he's great I think, but I do need to be thinking about shoring up that spot, and am wondering if Fleener is worth the spot at 2:04 (assuming he's even there).
So I guess the question is, would you rather have Luck and Blackmon or Wilson or RGIII and Martin. Now... I'd rather have Luck and Martin, and that's not off the table, but it's not a given. RGIII and Martin is a given at worst.
My draft strategy. I would Draft 1.2 Martin / T Rich and leave the 2 QB's sitting there. Now he is in a quandary. If he needs a QB he has two sitting there. Now jump in and offer a 3.4 plus your 1.4 for his 1.3 and take Luck. If he doesn't bite and drafts Luck look at the 1.5 guy if he needs a QB and offer 1.4 3.4 and simpson for his 1.5 and 2.5. Some people have crazy love for RG and he might bite. Then draft Blackmon.
If you fear 1.5 would move up and take Blackmon. Ride out the picks. Talent fall off is huge if you don't take RG.
IMO your back up QB's are fine.
Simpson is complete garbage. He has shown nothing in camp to disway me otherwise. Plus he has a one year deal in minny and minny is the only reason he has value.
Fleener imo is garbage. Glorified blocker. also Tom Brady wants his hair back. That o line is so bad they need all the blocking help they can get. Colby Fleener come on down.
With a 10 team league 17 keeper there should be decent back up TE's to use each season. Unless your league awards TE's with crazy scoring i would worry out them.
If you take luck 1.2 he drafts martin. Then you get RG or blackmon.
If you can pick up Rudolph do so he will be amazing this year.