Personally, I would take K Smith over Stewart since I think he'll be more valuable early and can possibly be trade bait while I dont think much of Stewart again this year. Benson is still a wild card to me. Tate is a lottery ticket and that feels awful early for him. I probably would have taken Rivers over all them though as you did and use it as a package later to downgrade the backup QB.
A word of caution on your projections, as I do not see Bush close to 10 (unless he happens to stay healthy and 5-10 backs ahead of him all get hurt for a stretch). Stewart at 20 is even more hard to see. I think he'll be lucky to crack top 30. For the WRs, Welker is likely not to break 120 catches nor 11-12 ypc (will be back to old routes with Lloyd/Brach running the deeper routes). And those TDs won't be there either. I just don't see 110-1200-6 as 3rd best. Colston is good there. Stevie could get there too.
Something has to break right for your RBs (which was your point) and I don't see it here at the moment unless MJD stays out or is traded. But if you can package Rivers and/or possibly Stevie or Amendola once ppl see he's putting up 6 catches a game for a solid back...you should be in a good position. It's a boom/bust strategy that with some cleverness can dominate.
Stewart finished 19th in 1PPR leagues last year.
I think I'd rather have Cutler + Smith over Rivers + Stewart. I think the difference between Rivers and Cutler this year is going to be marginal where as the difference between Smith and Stewart, barring an injury to someone in the CAR backfield, might be the difference between a RB2 and RB3.
Welker will revert back to 09 numbers.
If both Colston and Stevie are healthy they are good for a state line close to 80/1000/8.
If we were playing fantasy football 2011, I'd take back what I said about Stewart
I was stretching it some as I have him in the 26-32 range...but that assumes 16 GP and similar role to last year. With Dwilly, Cam, and now Tolbert there...I just don't see him improving on last year. Not for lack of talent but lack of touches. Guys who finished behind him last year that will finish ahead of him this year: McGahee, Gore?, Murray, DMC, Charles, D Brown....maybe Hillis, KSmith....chance with Quizz, Spiller, Benson.
I can see the argument there with Cutler/Smith vs Rivers/Stewart, but it takes on a lot of assumption on the health and reliability of Smith and that tenuous RB situation. Don't get me wrong, I was a huge advocate for Smith last year and have been all offseason/preseason. But to think Cutler and Rivers are close is just foolish. Getting Marshall/Jeffery and utilizing Davis more will help his numbers a little but will most likely affect his efficiency more than anything. Expecting more than 3600 yds and 24 TDs is dangerous. Rivers on the other hand is more in the 4500 yd 30 TD category; starkly different.
_________________Bottom-Dweller League 34 9-2QB
Gio, Bell, Denard, L Murray, HerronWR
Wallace, G Tate, Martavis, Mi Floyd, ShortsTE
the allure of the unknown potential vs the available mediocrity