Ok... not quite the target that Chad Johnson was, but Mr. Armon Binns is #85 and will post 100 yards and a TD in week 5.... against none other than the Miami Dolphins.
If you've seen some of my other threads and think I'm just "sticking to what I know." You're exactly right! I'm going for 3 straight break out picks... why not pick on the Dolphins league's worst pass defense? I've been preaching about the Red Rifle all season and reaping the rewards on my own fantasy team. Last week the Dolphins played the Cards exactly how I thought they would... lots of press coverage and blitz packages. Except where I thought they'd double up on Fitz a ton, they actually TRIPLE teamed him on many plays when they weren't doubling him and still couldn't stop him. Sean Smith is their big/physical cornerback that they like to match up with their foe's top WR. Marshall... he was who we thought he was. Reckless and burnable pretty much sums him and the rest of the Dolphins secondary up accurately. The Dolphins rely on QB pressure and when they don't get it they get dinged for a 1st down. As for the Dolphins run D, pretty solid... Ryan Williams went 13 carries for 26 yards. The Phins have been doing this all season long folks! The Cards had no choice but to pass pass pass. The fact of the matter is... the Dolphins have now given up 1,271 passing yards in 4 games to QBs like Schaub, Palmer, Sanchez and Kolb! Eye popping numbers to par/sup-par QBs! Dalton, in my opinion, is a better QB now than all 4 of the previously mentioned QBs and with MUCH better weapons. The Bengals at home? Well they love to pass pass pass and they have the weapons to do it. This matchup plays right into the Bengals offense strengths and the Dolphin's weaknesses. The Dolphins will make a game of it, as the Bengals D is not as stout as the Dockettless Cards... and the Phins took the Cards to overtime. Because the Phins made it a close game, I don't expect them to change their defensive scheme what so ever against the Bengals (which they've ran all season long). Which is "music to my ears" (for you Jon). More of the same in this matchup. Double and triple teams on AJ Green, Binns in single coverage. Lots of blitzing and jam/press coverage. If anything, the Phins will slightly alter their defensive scheme to try to contain the shifty slot receiver Hawkins. Other than that, same song different dance. The Law Firm will be shut down.
Armon Binns, starting WR accross from pure stud AJ Green, is 6'3", great hands, great leaping ability and "plucks" balls out of the air. Owned in just 5% of CBS Leagues. Only one TD on the year, Gruden has called his number in the endzone in three of four games this season. Jay Gruden loves Binns... he snatched him off of the pratice squad from last year and has been grooming him to be a starter opposite Green ever since. One knock on Binns, I've read he has trouble with press coverage. Which is exactly what the Phins are going to do. But, his size over Marshall and the fact that Marshall is a bucket of gasoline waiting on a match, Binns will overcome. Binns is averaging 4.5 targets per game. If you look at his receiving average it was steadily going up until last weeks game in Jacksonville where Binns had 5 targets, no catches. BUT... 4 of those passes were poorly thrown and 1 was nearly a 20 yard TD (which would have been his 2nd in a row). Image below...
Jay Gruden is force feeding Binns a starters opportunity and he gets open a lot. So after last week's let down, expect Gruden to cook up everything he can for Binns in this matchup. Especially after seeing what the Card's #2 WR did to the Phins. 6 catches 100 yards and a TD should come easy for Binns in this game. With average QBs carving up the Phins for 300+ yards... and the Phins ablility to move the ball... Dalton has a shot at 400+ yards 4 TDs this week (Maybe more). 400 and 4 can go a long way between AJ Green, Binns, Hawkins and Tate (I rank in this order). Green will get his this week, he always does. BJGE has had only 6 receptions in 4 games, so he won't eat into Dalton's numbers... and the Phins run D will shut him down. Gresham may get a small piece of the pie, but he's not going to run away with a huge game and may be asked to block since the Phins will be blitzing a ton. Dalton clearly favors his WRs based on 4 weeks of play. Dalton may throw an int, but he'll be
down range all day to gamebreaking WRs. Any Bengal recieving option has a good chance to score this week.
* I'm actually starting Dalton, Green and Binns in this game
** So if Binns fails to make an impact, I'm rowing the same boat
*** Good Luck!