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 Post subject: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Tue 10.09.2012, 09:37 
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Great White Shark
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This looks like a tricky week where I'm going to change my mind a lot.

-Atlanta home vs. Oakland seems like an obvious choice, and I'll probably go here, but the Raiders will be coming off a bye and will probably travel in such a way that the "west coast team going east and playing at 1:00" thing isn't a factor. And this is around the time of the season where I get wary of undefeated teams. They're all going to lose sometime. The Raiders still have some playmakers. Maybe they figured out the zone blocking a little more over the bye, make a few big plays and somehow find a way?

-New England should travel to Seattle and crush the Seahawks, but it's a road game and there are better chances to use the Pats ahead.

-Tampa Bay home against KC is interesting. The Bucs aren't good, but they're home coming off a bye and KC is awful regardless of their starting QB.

-Arizona home against Buffalo could be a sneaky play. The Cards come off the long break since last Thursday, and how much offense will they really need to beat the Jills at home anyway? This looks like 13-3 Cards.

Anyone else stand out?


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Tue 10.09.2012, 10:20 
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Great White Shark
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Im rolling with Atlanta. Maybe Oakland puts up points but no way their defense stops Ryan Gonzo White and Julio.


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Tue 10.09.2012, 10:33 
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Dolphins hosting the Rams is another one to look at. AccuScore has the Dolphins a 69% probablility favorite to win the game based on their simulations.

Curiously, Atlanta while about an 8+ point favorite over Oakland is only a 73% probability favorite to win the game at AccuScore.


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Wed 10.10.2012, 12:21 
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Anyone taking any team besides ATL??? I always hate when everyone is on the same team...like NE a few weeks ago.


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Fri 10.12.2012, 08:24 
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taoist wrote:
Anyone taking any team besides ATL??? I always hate when everyone is on the same team...like NE a few weeks ago.


When I dive into my survivor picks I have the same mindset. That's why this week I'm also looking at the possibility of Ari. This week is not so clear cut as other weeks...that's why I'm slighty, atm, still leaning towards Atl though.


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Fri 10.12.2012, 08:43 
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Great White Shark
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Two of the remaining 8 guys in my pool dropped out with Pitt last night. I'm tempted to go with Tampa to avoid having the same pick as everyone else, but I think I need to play it safe with Atlanta. I think Oakland will make a game of it, but I think it's the best lock.


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Fri 10.12.2012, 12:19 
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Two more guys dropped out of my pool last night with Pitt.

What about NE? Could they burn me 2x's in the same season!?!?!?!?


Anyone think that Seattle could pull off the upset this weekend?


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Fri 10.12.2012, 12:26 
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Would have said Pittsburgh yesterday.

After ATL and NE, I like Baltimore this week.

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"If you can't spot the sucker in your first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker."
-Mike McD, Rounders


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Sat 10.13.2012, 23:49 
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Apes wrote:
This looks like a tricky week where I'm going to change my mind a lot.

-Atlanta home vs. Oakland seems like an obvious choice, and I'll probably go here, but the Raiders will be coming off a bye and will probably travel in such a way that the "west coast team going east and playing at 1:00" thing isn't a factor. And this is around the time of the season where I get wary of undefeated teams. They're all going to lose sometime. The Raiders still have some playmakers. Maybe they figured out the zone blocking a little more over the bye, make a few big plays and somehow find a way?

-New England should travel to Seattle and crush the Seahawks, but it's a road game and there are better chances to use the Pats ahead.

-Tampa Bay home against KC is interesting. The Bucs aren't good, but they're home coming off a bye and KC is awful regardless of their starting QB.

-Arizona home against Buffalo could be a sneaky play. The Cards come off the long break since last Thursday, and how much offense will they really need to beat the Jills at home anyway? This looks like 13-3 Cards.

Anyone else stand out?


I dont think any team is going into seattle and crushing them this year. The pats may beat them but i doubt they will crush them. I wouldnt start any team at seattle unless u have to.

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QB: Brees,palmer,cassel
RB: (we start one a week) Rice,wilson, Pearce
WR:White,amendola,j jones,givens,broyles
TE: Sudfeld,pettigrew
k: walsh,feely
DEF:Texans,chiefs
LB: Greenway,weatherspoon
DE/DT: wake,campbell
Sec: Burnett,jenkins


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Sun 10.14.2012, 03:11 
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I'm going with TB, even with Talib out.

I already used ARI, and I'm saving up ATL and NE for when I feel like I really need them.


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 Post subject: Re: Survivor week 6
PostPosted: Sun 10.14.2012, 05:38 
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I would roll with TB. Atlanta could have let down (I doubt it) but KC is a stinks.......


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