I saw a guess that Arizona might try to trade with Oakland to the 3 spot for a QB ... Geno Smith sliding was the guess.
One thing I wondered is whether the new salary structure for rookies changes the old draft value chart. The top of the draft has a steep value drop and that doesn't make as much sense now. Or maybe it is the opposite that the 1st round picks have higher value with the 5th year option.
The 5th year option looks like it makes the 11th pick worth more than the 10th pick:
As for first round draft picks, the amount of salary they’ll receive in their fifth year of play if their option is picked up by their respective team, depends upon where they were selected in the first round.
If a player is picked 1-10, then the 5th year option is going to be the average of the top-10 players at the respective player’s position. So, if you’re quarterback and go number-two in the Draft, then your fifth year option salary will be the average of the top-ten quarterbacks. The option is exercised after the third season, so it would be based upon the top-ten quarterback salaries at that time.
If you’re picked 11-32, then the 5th year club option is the average salary of the top 3rd through 25th player in that position.
To me, trading back from the top-10 picks has some advantage so the value chart should be lower
Here is a the standard draft value chart:http://www.draftcountdown.com/features/Value-Chart.php
By the chart, Detroit could trade the 5th pick (1700 points) for the 12th pick (1200 points) plus the 2nd rounder the 44th pick (460 points), but to me that seems in Detroit's favor, with the new contract. Any thoughts on the value of the picks? I think it is pretty clear that it also depends on the player available ... RG3 was considered a rare talent for the 2nd pick (or for any pick).