Welcome to the summer edition of the Brew Crew Corner. It is almost time for teams to enter training camp so we will need to start analyzing positions. We will take a look at each teams QB situation and see where the battles are for a starter as well as which QBs will be fantasy gold.
Let’s start by looking at QB facts.
- In 2010, there are 13 teams that will start the season with a QB that did not start week 1 of 2009. Keep in mind that includes Ben Roethlisberger that will be sitting out at least 4 games this year.
- Older vs Younger QBs. In 2010, 11 starters will be 30 years or older while 9 starters will be 25 years or younger.
- Last year, Matt Schaub was 1 of 10 QBs to pass for over 4,000 yards. He led the way with 4,770 PaYDs.
- Kyle Orton was 1 of 9 QBs to pass for 3,000 yard or more and he just missed making the 4K group with 3,802 PaYDs.
- In comparison, the number of 4,000 yard passers has doubled since 2006. An increase from 6 to 10 from the previous year.
- TDs throw in 2008, 3 QBs over 30TDs. 9 QB 20-29TDs. 8 QBs 15-19 TDs.
- TDs thrown in 2009, 4 QB over 30TDs. 14 QBs 20-29TDs. 4 QBs 15-19 TDs
- 7 QBs with double digit passes of 40 yards or more in 2008.
- 10 QBs with double digit passes of 40 yards or more in 2009.
- In 2008, Drew Brees was the only QB who averaged more than 20 FPTs at 20.8 with 13 other QBs averaging 15.1 FPTs to 19.7 FPTs. in Shark Leagues.
- In 2009, the number of fantasy points for QBs increased with Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees scoring over 20 FPTs per game and 16 QBs finishing between 15 and 19 FPTs.
- Despite the increase in numbers at the QB position. The draft value has not changed for QB selected in the first 3 rounds as 6 QBs are still being selected.
Ok. Now that you have some facts to think about, we can now look at the QB situations for each team.
New England Patriots
Tom Brady is another year removed from his ACL surgery and you can tell last season that the knee wasn’t 100% which affected his stats. He finished as the 7th best QB. Keep in mind this is the same guy that through for 50 TDs in 2007 and could very well do it again. He has no threat to his starting job. Your concerns should be if you are an owner of Patriot receivers. In the event that Brady were to miss time for an injury that the QBs on the bench in Brian Hoyer and Mike Teel have no NFL experience.
New York Jets
Mark Sanchez led his team to the AFC Championship game but his stats were erratic all year. He had his growing pains that come with being a rookie and finished as the 23rd QB in Shark Leagues. In 2010, the team has added Santiono Holmes to improve the passing game and have a good group of WRs. Still I would be cautious about selecting Sanchez too early in drafts where he won’t be a fantasy starter just yet. Grab him as a back-up to fill in bye weeks such as week 4 against Buffalo, week 9 against Detroit and week 10 against Cleveland. Backing Sanchez up is Kellen Clemens and Erik Ainge which you wouldn’t start in any league format.
Chad Henne will have the opportunity to run this team in 2010. The addition of Brandon Marshall will make him an interesting pick up, but like Sanchez, only as a low QB2 for a spot start but not as a bye week replacement. The schedule is tough for Henne as he faces The Patriots, Packers, Steelers, Benglas, Ravens and Titans in weeks 4-10. If he were to get injured or benched he has Tyler Thigpen and Chad Pennington behind him who could win you a fantasy game if needed, but not as an every week starter.
I was disappointed that the Bills did not address their need at QB during the offseason. Trent Edwards was awful last year. The Bills were near the bottom of the league as they ranked 30th in PaYDs per game with 157.2 and threw just 17 TDs. The Bills will have one of the worst offensive lines which will make it difficult for Edwards to have enough time to throw. The addition of C.J. Spiller will not improve the passing attack and I recommend not drafting a Bills player this season as the team will struggle to put up points. The other options at QB for Buffalo are Ryan Fitzpatrick and Brian Brohm.