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Against the Odds (2009) – Week 12

Boy last week was disappointing! The Colts pick worked out for Vinnie, but going with the Steelers sure didn’t. No four-star games featured this time, just a handful that Vinnie feels pretty good about.

Carolina Panthers @ New York Jets (-3): Mark Sanchez has been awful more of the time than not, since New York’s meteoric rise came to an abrupt end over six weeks ago. The Jets defense, Rex Ryan’s pride & joy, hasn’t been playing at nearly an acceptable level. In this game, Darrelle Revis will almost certainly be a thorn in Steve Smith‘s side. It would stand to reason that Jake Delhomme‘s effectiveness will take a significant hit if Smith often fails to get open, Sunday. Whenever the Panthers are able to supply DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart with plentiful carries, good things happen. Therein lies the problem for the Jets, who haven’t been showing up in run defense.


Gimme the Panthers plus the points.

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills (+3.5): The keys to this game have a lot to do with how dominant Ricky Williams will be and how often Bills offensive linemen miss assignments or else get grossly outplayed by Miami’s front seven. Like most people with a pulse, Vinnie liked what he saw in Terrell Owens‘ 98-yard touchdown in Week 11. But Vinnie isn’t buying the Ryan Fitzpatrick connection with … well, anybody against the Dolphins, who should fair better than what the numbers have indicated on their secondary’s behalf. And sure, Ronnie Brown is out. But just think, if Ricky Williams managed 96 combined yards and a score against Buffalo in their first meeting, how much more is he capable of now that he’s in the lead role and the Bills have since lost some key run defenders?


Gimme the Dolphins minus the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-12): Remember when Tampa Bay’s 2009 offensive coordinator was relieved of his duties, way back when? Well now veteran defensive coordinator Jim Bates has been fired, rookie head coach Raheem Morris to pile even more responsibilities onto his own plate. Vinnie sees this game getting ugly real quick, if mostly because of how badly Atlanta needs a win to remain in playoff contention. Matt Ryan should do pretty well for himself, with the help of Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez of course. And darn if Jason Snelling isn’t looking the part of a significant contributor again this week.


Gimme the Falcons minus the points.

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