Let’s begin by reviewing how accurate Vinnie has been against the spread, through Week 9:
picks have gone 12-5 (
picks have gone 8-10-1 (
Now that that’s out of the way, on to Vinnie’s Week 10 picks …
New York Jets at Cleveland Browns (+3)
: Cleveland has had a tough schedule to date – losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens, beating the Cincinnati Bengals, losing to the Atlanta Falcons and Pittsburgh Steelers, then beating the New Orleans Saints and New England Patriots. Head coach Eric Mangini has worked wonders. This team is riding a two-game winning streak presently with what many consider a mediocre roster from a talent standpoint. Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan is getting a lot of buzz for the job his 3-4 defense has done against some usually very good offensive teams. Peyton Hillis is having a sensational year running the ball and as a receiver out of the backfield. The Jets defense doesn’t match up as well against Cleveland as Rex Ryan would like. LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene have not been contributing as much to the Jets ground game as had been the case early in the season. And Mark Sanchez? Let’s just say New York would be playing significantly better on offense were it not for Sanchez’s struggles.
Gimme the Browns plus the points.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5)
: At least things can’t get any worse, right? Panthers fans are getting tired of hearing that line. Not that Carolina was doing much of anything on running plays before all the injuries, but DeAngelo Williams is again unlikely to play and now Jonathan Stewart is ruled out. With Matt Moore placed on Injured Reserve, it’s left up to Carolina’s rookie quarterbacks to put their team in position to score. Tampa Bay’s defense hasn’t been among the league’s finest, but will force Panthers drives to stall all afternoon. Josh Freeman, Mike Williams and LeGarrette Blount will easily chip in enough points between them to put this game away.
Gimme the Buccaneers minus the points.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (+1): What Denver has going for it is the ever-dangerous Kyle Orton to Brandon Lloyd connection, and … well other than returning from its bye week to host this division rivalry game at home, not much else. What does Kansas City has going for it? Why, the No. 1 running game in the NFL, coupled with the cupcake matchup that is the Broncos run defense. And with Dexter McCluster more likely to be back in the lineup than in recent weeks, the already decent Chiefs defense and special teams will also have its chance to shine.
Gimme the Chiefs minus the point.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Indianapolis Colts (-7.5)
: Injuries have slammed the Colts as much as any team this season. Be that as it may, Peyton Manning will find Jacob Tamme or whomever he needs to downfield, enough so that his 17-2 record in Lucas Oil Stadium is in little peril. Ordinarily Vinnie would be quick to point out Cedric Benson‘s matchup against the normally soft Colts run defense, but Cincinnati has rarely been able to establish its running game to the extent it would prefer. So as much as the prospect of the Bengals falling behind early and Carson Palmer passing to Terrell Owens often may excite fantasy owners, Indianapolis is a safe bet to cruise to another AFC victory.
Gimme the Colts minus the points.