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Against the Odds (2010) – Week 5

His Week 4 picks not panning out by any stretch, Vinnie is going in a slightly different direction this time. At least there are far fewer intradivisional games to consider in Week 5.

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (over/under 45 points)
: Peyton Manning is scorching opposing defenses for 341 passing yards per game (a low of 255 yards), and until traveling to Jacksonville last week (at which point he managed only two) had passed for three touchdowns in each case. For being undefeated and generally improved on the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have been mediocre against the pass. This contest could easily get away from the Chiefs real quick. Fortunately for them, A) Indianapolis

secondary is riddled with injuries at the present time, and B) the Chiefs coaching staff has been preparing for this game for nearly two weeks, on account of their Week 4 bye. Interesting stat: in six of the last seven games Kansas City played following its bye week, the final score qualified for an over. Vinnie has no trouble seeing a scoreboard scorcher resulting from this matchup, and so should you.

over 45 total points.

New York Giants at Houston Texans (over/under 47 points)
: Vinnie doesn

t have any weird numerical trends to point to in this case. What is hard to figure out, actually, is how for the Giants’ Eli Manning and Hakeem Nicks, and for the Texans’ Arian Foster and Andre Johnson can realistically be stopped by each defense represented. Make no mistake, thinks Vinnie, there

ll be more offense than you can shake a stick at when these teams face one another Sunday. Remember, as dominant as New York

s front seven was against the Bears’ offensive line a week ago, the results won

t quite be the same against Houston

s blocking.

47 total points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5)
: While Tampa Bay has the better win-loss record, here, popular opinion holds that it wasn

t the stiffest of competition the Buccaneers competed against early on, therefore their true colors will be shown through an abundance of losing soon enough. Maybe. But Vinnie is taking note of overall disappointing play from Carson Palmer and Cedric Benson given the offensive weapons and usually stifling defense of which Cincinnati boasts. Rested and prepared for a tough road test on Sunday, the ever-improving Josh Freeman will be able to muster at least enough firepower to keep the lead well within reach – perhaps even challenge to extend its win total at Cincinnati

s expense. Interesting stat: in six of the last eight games Tampa Bay played following its bye week, the Buccaneers were able to beat the spread.

Gimme the Buccaneers plus the points.

New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals (+7)
: Pierre Thomas or not, New Orleans has way more playmakers than the Cardinals are equipped to deal with. And for all the deficiencies the Saints defense has, rarely can it be said that defensive coordinator Gregg Williams is too conservative in playcalling to exploit problems on the opposing team

s offense. Vinnie cannot emphasize this enough: undrafted rookie Max Hall will be making his debut as the starting quarterback for Arizona.

    Gimme the Saints minus the points.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills (+1)
: For Buffalo, gone is Marshawn Lynch and reprising his role as starting running back is Fred Jackson. Ryan Fitzpatrick continues on as the Bills’ quarterback and has shown mettle and determination. These are qualities the Jaguars as a whole have largely seemed devoid of, particularly on the road. All the conditions seem right for Maurice Jones-Drew to bust off more than one big play, and he may, but Vinnie honestly just feels more confident in Jacksonville

s probability toward failure in more cases than not.

Gimme the Bills plus the point.

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