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Against the Odds (2010) – Week 6

Vinnie is pretty excited about the line on a handful of games in Week 6. But first …

Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears (over/under 37.5 points)
: Seattle’s defense in road games has not been great. Jay Cutler is back in the lineup for Chicago, rather than Caleb Hanie or Todd Collins. Seattle is coming off its bye week, during which hopefully its offensive coaches got some things figured out. The final score in six of Chicago’s seven most recent October home games qualified as an over. Seattle has for 10 years in a row come out of its bye week to play in an over.

over 37.5 total points.

Now, on to the good stuff …

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos (+3):
Other than traveling to Buffalo and destroying the Bills two weeks ago, every one of New York’s games this season have been emotionally draining. Narrowly losing the defensive battle versus Baltimore in the opener; beating its nemesis, New England; winning on the road in Miami on Monday Night Football; and holding off a late charge from Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings this past Monday. Denver has been streaky, but in this case, Vinnie maintains, is poised to slow the Jets roll. Whether or not Darrelle Revis plays, Kyle Orton will do just fine – just as he has in recent weeks versus some other very good pass defenses. The Broncos will make the most of its homefield advantage, keeping this game well within reach throughout.

Gimme the Broncos plus the points.

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-14)
: This matchup spells disaster for the 1-4 Browns. Ben Roethlisberger is back from suspension, just in time to lead his teammates out of of Pittsburgh’s bye week and onto the grass at Heinz Field. Hines Ward and/or Mike Wallace will make Cleveland’s secondary pay, while Rashard Mendenhall could be just as effective with his touches. Oh, and then there’s the odds Colt McCoy, thrust into duty as the Browns rookie quarterback, will keep turnovers to a minimum against Pittsburgh’s terrorizing defense. Those are odds you don’t want to take.

Gimme the Steelers minus the points.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans (-4.5)
: In games wherein Arian Foster made the opposing defense pay, Houston has had no problem putting plenty of points on the board. But Foster isn’t completely healthy and Kansas City is defending the run quite well. Andre Johnson is again listed as questionable, and obviously hasn’t been himself lately. Houston has been so poor defending the pass, meanwhile, that even Matt Cassel will be able to inflict some damage against them. If nothing else, Vinnie likes Gary Kubiak to get outcoached this week.

Gimme the Chiefs plus the points.

Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers (Even)
: Injuries, injuries, injuries. It is difficult for Vinnie to envision Green Bay winning at home with inside linebacker Nick Barnett ruled out and a slew of defensive teammates (most notably, Clay Matthews) unlikely to play. Aaron Rodgers as of early Friday remains listed as questionable, although he has been cleared by the key neurologists required to run tests on him. But his best receiving option, tight end Jermichael Finley, was banged up in Week 5 and will be out for a while. Too much for the Packers to overcome, Vinnie thinks, especially against an above average Miami team coming out of its bye week.

Gimme the Dolphins outright.

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