Monday - Aug 19, 2019

Home / Commentary / Against the Odds – Week 11 (Thursday Edition)

Against the Odds – Week 11 (Thursday Edition)

This week’s lines are from (as of Wednesday night).

ATS – Against the Spread; SU – Straight Up; O/U – Over/Under

Miami at Buffalo (-1)

Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill is coming off one the worst games of his short career, throwing three interceptions and zero touchdowns against the Tennessee Titans last week. He’s facing a Bills defense which ranks last in points allowed at 31.7 points per game. Running back Reggie Bush was benched last week after losing a fumble early in the game. Look for him to rebound against the Bills rush defense which ranks last in the NFL.

Buffalo is also coming off a loss. They lost to the New England Patriots 37-31. They had a chance at the end but quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick was intercepted deep in New England territory. Running back Fred Jackson suffered a concussion and has already been ruled out for this game. C.J. Spiller will finally get a majority of the carries and show that he should be the man in Buffalo.

I don’t see any value in the side or total but lean towards the better offense and the home team. For you action junkies out there, go with the Bills and keep your fingers crossed.

Gimme the Bills minus the points.

Please make sure to check back Friday for my four-star picks and my take on the rest of the NFL schedule.


 : 15-13-1

       : 19-14

             : 14-10-1

                   : 11-13-1

Total Record: 59-50-3

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