Thursday - Apr 25, 2019

Home / Commentary / Against the Odds – Week 8 (Thursday Edition)

Against the Odds – Week 8 (Thursday Edition)

This week’s lines are from (as of Wednesday night).


ATS – Against the Spread
SU  – Straight Up
O/U – Over/Under

Tampa Bay at Minnesota (-6.5)

Tampa Bay is coming off a 35-28 loss to the New Orleans Saints last week. The offense finally showed some life, but who doesn’t against the Saints defense nowadays? Teams have been able to throw all over the Buccaneers defense, which ranks 31st in the league against the pass, giving up 323 yards a game. The run defense has played well, holding teams to 76 rushing yards a game (third in the NFL). Vikings running back Adrian Peterson may not have a big game but he will get his touches. After the Vikings establish the run, look for quarterback Christian Ponder to run some play action and connect on a few big plays down field. Wide receiver Jerome Simpson will be the main deep target who has drawn a few big pass interference plays in the limited time he has played this season.

I really don’t see an edge in this game. The Vegas odds makers think the Vikings are for real this season and it reflects it in the spread. I’m not a believer and need to see more from the Vikings before buying in. If you feel that you need to have something on the game, make sure to buy the half-point so that you don’t get burned if the Vikings win by a touchdown.

Tampa Bay is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games with Minnesota.

Gimme the Buccaneers plus the points.

Please make sure to check back Friday for my four-star picks and my take on the rest of the NFL schedule.


: 9-8-1

     : 13-10

            : 7-6-1

                  : 5-9

Total Record: 34-33-2

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