Wednesday - Jun 19, 2019

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Against the Odds – Week 8

After nice results from his Week 7 picks, here’s where Vinnie stands at this point in the season:

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52.1% correct overall

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85.7% correct among four- and five-star picks, not missing since opening weekend

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37.5% correct among two- and three-star picks

Vinnie keeps saying he’s going to turn things around in the not-a-lock department, that is, his three-star picks. We’ll see, Vinnie. We’ll see. On to Week 8 …

Cleveland 

@  

Jacksonville (-6.5):  T

he one surprisingly stellar game against the New York Giants aside, Cleveland has been one of the huge disappointments of 2008. Jacksonville, meanwhile, has won three of its last four, on the legs of Maurice Jones-Drew. The Dawgs are ill-equipped to slow down the human pinball much. If Derek Anderson can come out firing with better accuracy and less passes get dropped by Braylon Edwards & company, maybe the final score in this one will be closer than I think. But I like the Jags, here – and I mean a lot.

 

Gimme Jacksonville minus the points.

Tampa Bay

 

@  

Dallas (Even): 

Nice matchup on paper between a 4-3 NFC East team and a 5-2 NFC South team. In this case, though, the Bucs have been playing really good ball, while the Cowboys are struggling to remain competitive. Without Tony Romo, it doesn’t matter how great the receivers are. And as good as Marion Barber has been, the Bucs shouldn’t have all that difficult a time bottling him up (they’ve allowed zero rushing TDs to date) and forcing Brad Johnson to do something. Look for the Cowboys to struggle against the balanced

Tampa

Bay

offense.

 

Gimme Tampa Bay.

Oakland 

@  Baltimore (-6.5):  The Raiders got that first win with a new coach, which makes for a nice story, but this one’s a boon for Baltimore. I see the Ravens defense terrorizing JaMarcus Russell, Justin Fargas and Darren McFadden for three long hours. Don’t underestimate the terrible combined record west-coast teams have had versus east-coast teams this season.

  

Gimme Baltimore minus the points.

Indianapolis  @  Tennessee (-4.5): 

You never know what’s in store when these AFC South teams face off. At this point, the Colts have shown sparks but aren’t nearly the same this year. The Titans have a can’t lose formula: run the ball, run the ball, run the ball some more, then beat your opponent into submission on defense. Can Indy stop the run? That’s where I’m coming from.

 

Gimme Tennessee minus the points.

 

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