Saturday - Feb 23, 2019

Home / Commentary / BREW CREW CORNER: Week 2 (Don’t Over React to Week 1)

BREW CREW CORNER: Week 2 (Don’t Over React to Week 1)

Welcome to Week 2, and now that the season is rolling the weeks will fly by. It was a great opening week for the Brew Crew Corner as we went undefeated in Week 1 as well as took home some nice winnings on DraftKings. If you didn’t win your season opener, not to worry, because Week 2 can get you back in the win column. The Week 2 waivers are key for helping you fix some area on your roster or to replace injured players such as Keenan Allen and Robert Griffin III.

There are some owners out there that actually prefer to lose Week 1 in order to get a higher waiver priority in Week 2. I don’t like that strategy because fantasy football season are very limited in the chances you have to make the playoffs. Most leagues run 14 weeks while some may even shorten the season to 13. I have done the research over the years and found that the average amount of wins needed to get in the playoffs is 7. If you are intentionally losing your first game just to move up and grab a player such as Will Fuller or Theo Riddick, if available, then you are more than likely going to mismanage your season and miss the playoffs.

Don’t overreact to what happened in Week 1. Some players disappointed while others surprised. It is a long season and if you drafted a good player, he will come around and produce. Don’t fall into the trap of accepting lopsided trades because you lost Keenan Allen. Do not overreact because you own Jamaal Charles and someone else has Spencer Ware. Charles will be back in the mix, we just don’t know how quickly it will be. The NFL week one is notorious for having one week wonders that come out of the gates hot and then fail to produce the rest of the season. Players such as Eli Rogers, Quincy Enunwa and Phillip Dorsett went undrafted in leagues but could fail to put up significant numbers in Week 2 and beyond.

The Golden Mug Award
Awarded to the fantasy players who came through for their team.

DeAngelo Williams– 26 carries for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns, 6 receptions for 28 yards. Just like 2015, Williams filled in for a suspended Le’Veon Bell and produced fantasy gold. The 6 receptions was the equivalent of scoring another touchdown. He’ll have another good matchup coming up against the Bengals who surrendered 137 rushing yards in Week 1.

A.J. Green– 12 receptions for 180 yards and 1 touchdown. Green is by far the most underrated receiver in fantasy. He slipped to the 2nd round in most drafts and wasn’t considered a good play in Week 1. He caught all but 1 of his targets and produced well.

Spencer Ware– 11 carries for 70 yards 1 touchdown, 7 receptions for 129 yards. Ware owners were gifted with the news that Jamaal Charles was inactive for week one. Ware stepped in and put up a huge fantasy day. Not bad for a guy taken in the 11th round.

The Urinal Cake Award
Awarded to the fantasy players who you would like to, well you know.

Dez Bryant– 1 catch for 8 yards. Bryant failed to catch a would-be touchdown which could have change the game and his production on the day. For the second straight year Bryant disappointed owners in Week 1 of the season. If Bryant lines up on the right side of the filed this week, he could avoid facing Josh Norman and have a bounce-back game.

Brandon Marshall– 3 catches for 32 yards. Marshall had a good matchup but was held to just three catches. The next three matchups could keep him quiet for a while. Look to target him in a trade before Week 5.

Todd Gurley– 17 carries for 47 yards. The Rams displayed one of the ugliest games of the week. The offense was horrible and Gurley had nowhere to carry the ball. It doesn’t get any better this week against the Seahawks who gave up just 47 yards last week on the ground to the Dolphins.

MATCHUPS

Good quarterback matchups this week:

Eli Manning against the Saints. All Aboard the Eli train this week. It is going to be a good week to start your Giants. The Saints lost Delvin Breaux who suffered a broken fibula. That will force them to start 3 cornerbacks that had zero snaps last season. Eli will feed Odell Beckham Jr. a ton in this game. The Saints defense allowed 319 passing yards to the Raiders. I don’t expect a 6-touchdown performance like last year, but we could see 3 or 4 scores.

Marcus Mariota against the Lions. Last week was not a good week to start Mariota but this week things are better. They need to feed the ball to Delanie Walker as the Lions are one of the worst teams against the tight end. Last week they allowed 7 catches and 88 yards with 3 touchdowns to the Colts tight ends. They also gave up the most fantasy points to Andrew Luck. Mariota is not Andrew Luck by any means but this is a plus matchup in his favor.

Sleeper Pick of the Week: Joe Flacco against the Browns. Flacco is often over looked in fantasy but in the right matchups he can be serviceable. However, if you are nervous about starting Andrew Luck this week against the Broncos or trying to stream quarterbacks until Tom Brady returns, then Flacco is your guy this week. The Browns lost to Eagles rookie quarterback Carson Wentz who threw for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Ravens will attack more and I see Steve Smith and Kamar Aiken having a solid day. Flacco ran in two touchdowns last season in his only meeting against the Browns.

Good running back matchups this week:

C.J. Anderson against the Colts. Last week the Colts gave up 116 yards and two scores to the Lions’ running backs. The Broncos will want to chew up as much time on the ground as possible to keep Andrew Luck on the sideline. Last season the Lions were 25th in run defense. We can all agree that Anderson played well against a better Carolina defense. Add in the fact that Demaryius Thomas has been limited this week and may not be a full go for this game.

Lamar Miller against the Chiefs. Miller was not the top running back in Week 1 but he was the only back to rush for over 100 yards. This week he faces the Chiefs who are not as good as they were last year. They lost some players this offseason and have a few working their way back from injury. Last week, the Chiefs allowed Melvin Gordon to score twice after he went all last season without a touchdown. They also allowed Danny Woodhead to rack up 89 yards rushing with 31 yards receiving and a score.

Sleeper Pick of the Week: Jeremy Langford against the Eagles. Langford was a forgotten man during drafts this season as he went in the 5th and 6th round on average. He had a decent week one performance with 57 yards on the ground and a touchdown. The Eagles were 32nd last year in run defense and in Week 1 they allowed the Browns to rush for 120 yards and a touchdown.

Bad quarterback matchups this week:

Brock Osweiler against the Chiefs. Osweiler was good in his season debut passing for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Chiefs defense meanwhile held the Chargers to just 233 passing yards and 1 score. The Chiefs last season had the 2nd most interceptions in the league with 22 and were 3rd in sacks with 47. As I mentioned earlier, I like Lamar Miller and his matchup better than the passing matchup against this defense.

Andrew Luck against the Broncos. I was thrilled this year to be able to draft Luck in all of my leagues. Some drafts he fell to me in the 4th round, other drafts I had to pull the trigger in the 3rd. Still I made sure to have him everywhere. In DFS, he was the top scoring quarterback on DraftKings. So this week the matchup is going to be tough as he faces a good Broncos defense. The Broncos opened the season with a close win over the Panthers while limiting Cam Newton to 194 yards passing and a score. Newton did add another score on the ground but that is because he is Cam and made a spectacular play. Hopefully, Luck will not get head-hunted like the Broncos did in Week 1 to Cam Newton. I am going to play Luck as usual but will have to rely on other players to pick up the slack. Last season, Luck threw for 252 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Broncos.

Ryan Tannehill against the Patriots. This is a very tough week to predict matchups as most of the good passing defenses are playing quarterbacks that are considered to be QB2s in most leagues. Tannehill had success last season against the Patriots passing for 300 yards without a score in Week 8 and then closing out the season with 350 yards and two scores. You would think with that success he would be considered a good matchup this week, but it is an average matchup at best. The Dolphins did not look good offensively in the preseason and in Week 1 struggled against the Seahawks with 186 yards and no touchdowns. Here is the key stat for this matchup, Tannehill was sacked 5 times last week and will be facing a Patriots defense that lead the league with 49 sacks in 2015.

Bad running back matchups this week:

Todd Gurley against the Seahawks. I was wrong on the matchup with 49ers last week as Gurley had good success last season against this unit but he was shut down in Week 1. Most of that was due with the quarterback play and the awful play calling on offense. Gurley had nowhere to run the ball. This week could be the same scenario because I don’t believe the Rams can fix their issues in just one week. The fact that they drafted a quarterback #1 overall and he isn’t starting over Case Keenum is ridiculous. Last week, the Seahawks held Miami to just 64 yards on the ground.

Adrian Peterson against the Packers. Peterson was a candidate for this week’s Urinal Cake Award but since Todd Gurley was a higher pick, he got the honors. Peterson was limited in Week 1 to just 31 yards on the ground and was only targeted twice in the passing game. In two meeting last season against the Packers he had 45 and 67 yards rushing but did manage to score a touchdown in each. Last week, the Packers limited T.J. Yeldon to just 39 yards on the ground. The Vikings might switch to Sam Bradford who is not yet up to speed on the offense which will allow the Packers to key in on run plays.

Doug Martin against the Cardinals. The Cardinals entered the season as the 6th-best run defense, but in Week 1 they allowed 70 yards and a score to LeGarrette Blount. Still, this is a tough unit that was stingy all last year in allowing rushing touchdowns. I don’t like his chances on the road. Keep an eye on the distribution of touches between Martin and Charles Sims as he could cut into Martin’s production as the season goes on.

About Walter Collazo

Writer for Fantasy Sharks since 2006. Member of FSTA. Winner of 2014 Fantasy Football Article of the Year Online, awarded by FTSA.