Thursday - Feb 21, 2019

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Bullseye! The Greatest Target Report on Earth

Welcome to the first addition of Bullseye! The Greatest Target Report on Earth. If you are familiar with the target statistic, feel free to skip the primer and dive right in. If targets are new to you, please allow me to explain.

Quite simply, a target is a pass intended for a specific player. Targets are important because they tell the true story about how involved a player is in his team’s offensive game plan. For example,

Kevin Curtis only had 4 receptions against the Redskins on Monday night but that doesn’t mean he played an insignificant role in his team’s passing game. Curtis was actually targeted 11 times. Meanwhile, teammate

Jason Avant caught 5 passes in the same game but he was only targeted 5 times. While raw statistics suggest Avant has been the better receiver so far, Curtis is actually the guy you want on your roster because more targets = more opportunities for fantasy points.

So whether you are trying to decide which free agent WR to pick up or which WRs to start this week, targets should always play an important role in the decision making process. Below you will find a target chart that ranks WRs based on weekly targets. Fantasy points (pts) are based on standard scoring (1 point per 10 yards, 6 points per TD) and Points per Reception (ppr) is the same, with 1 point per reception added. And if you are in the market for a free agent WR, don’t forget to check out the most in-depth free agent report anywhere, located just below the chart.   Enjoy!

Season

Week 2

Rk

Last

First

Tm

Tar

Rec

%

Tar

Rec

Yds

TD

pts

ppr

1

Johnson

Chad

CIN

24

16

.667

16

11

209

2

32.9

48.9

2

Chambers

Chris

MIA

27

15

.556

16

9

109

0

10.9

25.9

3

Housh

T.J.

CIN

27

17

.630

15

8

69

2

18.9

35.9

4

Edwards

Braylon

CLE

22

11

.500

14

8

146

2

26.6

37.6

5

Williams

Roy

DET

19

11

.579

13

7

111

1

17.1

28.1

6

Bruce

Isaac

STL

22

11

.500

13

8

145

0

14.5

25.5

7

Branch

Deion

SEA

16

7

.438

13

7

122

0

12.2

19.2

8

Walker

Javon

DEN

28

17

.607

13

8

101

0

10.1

27.1

9

Fitzgerald

Larry

ARI

22

10

.455

13

7

87

0

8.7

18.7

10

Driver

Donald

GB

24

14

.583

12

8

73

1

13.3

27.3

11

Harrison

Marvin

IND

18

10

.556

12

6

87

0

8.7

18.7

12

Mason

Derrick

BAL

24

15

.625

12

8

54

0

5.4

20.4

13

Cotchery

Jerricho

NYJ

20

13

.650

11

7

165

0

16.5

29.5

14

Coles

Laveranues

NYJ

19

13

.684

11

6

57

0

5.7

18.7

15

Curtis

Kevin

PHI

15

6

.400

11

4

28

0

2.8

6.8

16

Johnson

Andre

HOU

20

14

.700

10

7

120

2

24.0

38.0

17

Colston

Marques

NO

18

14

.778

10

8

70

1

13.0

27.0

18

Johnson

Calvin

DET

16

8

.500

10

4

61

1

12.1

20.1

19

Moss

Santana

WAS

17

9

.529

10

6

89

0

8.9

14.9

20

McDonald

Shaun

DET

17

13

.765

10

7

71

0

7.1

20.1

21

Smith

Steve

CAR

22

15

.682

9

8

153

3

33.3

48.3

22

Moss

Randy

NE

18

17

.944

9

8

105

2

22.5

39.5

23

Owens

Terrell

DAL

17

8

.471

9

5

97

1

15.7

23.7

24

Welker

Wes

NE

18

14

.778

9

8

91

0

9.1

23.1

25

Ward

Hines

PIT

15

8

.533

9

5

55

0

5.5

13.5

26

Ferguson

Robert

MIN

9

3

.333

9

3

29

0

2.9

5.9

27

Boldin

Anquan

ARI

15

8

.533

8

4

83

0

8.3

16.3

28

Wayne

Reggie

IND

20

12

.600

8

5

70

0

7.0

19.0

29

Jones

Brandon

TEN

11

6

.545

8

5

57

0

5.7

11.7

30

Parrish

Roscoe

BUF

11

8

.727

8

6

56

0

5.6

13.6

31

Bennett

Drew

STL

8

3

.375

8

3

42

0

4.2

7.2

32

Brown

Reggie

PHI

14

3

.214

8

2

27

0

2.7

4.7

33

Colbert

Keary

CAR

10

4

.400

8

3

25

0

2.5

6.5

34

Booker

Marty

MIA

13

7

.538

7

4

79

1

13.9

20.9

35

Porter

Jerry

OAK

10

3

.300

7

1

46

1

10.6

13.6

36

Marshall

Brandon

DEN

15

10

.667

7

5

82

0

8.2

18.2

37

Engram

Bobby

SEA

10

8

.800

7

5

71

0

7.1

15.1

38

Patten

David

NO

11

4

.364

7

2

66

0

6.6

10.6

39

Berrian

Bernard

CHI

17

10

.588

7

5

65

0

6.5

16.5

40

Randle-El

Antwaan

WAS

13

9

.692

7

4

44

0

4.4

8.4

41

Wade

Bobby

MIN

11

6

.545

7

5

34

0

3.4

9.4

42

Evans

Lee

BUF

12

4

.333

7

2

17

0

1.7

5.7

43

Holt

Torry

STL

16

13

.813

6

5

74

1

13.4

26.4

44

Williams

Roydell

TEN

6

4

.667

6

4

72

1

13.2

17.2

45

Burleson

Nate

SEA

9

4

.444

6

2

39

1

9.9

13.9

46

White

Roddy

ATL

11

8

.727

6

4

81

0

8.1

16.1

47

Northcutt

Dennis

JAC

15

9

.600

6

5

75

0

7.5

16.5

48

Furrey

Mike

DET

12

10

.833

6

5

60

0

6.0

16.0

49

Holmes

Santonio

PIT

9

5

.556

6

3

53

0

5.3

10.3

50

Jackson

Vincent

SD

11

7

.636

6

4

53

0

5.3

12.3

51

Carter

Drew

CAR

9

6

.667

6

3

50

0

5.0

11.0

52

Toomer

Amani

NYG

16

11

.688

6

2

48

0

4.8

15.8

53

Davis

Rashied

CHI

7

3

.429

6

3

20

0

2.0

5.0

54

McCareins

Justin

NYJ

9

2

.222

6

1

10

0

1.0

3.0

55

Galloway

Joey

TB

13

9

.692

5

4

135

2

25.5

34.5

56

Jurevicius

Joe

CLE

11

6

.545

5

4

44

2

16.4

22.4

57

Jackson

Darrell

SF

13

7

.538

5

3

61

0

6.1

13.1

58

Webb

Jeff

KC

6

4

.667

5

4

59

0

5.9

9.9

59

Avant

Jason

PHI

9

8

.889

5

5

55

0

5.5

10.5

60

Moore

Lance

NO

5

3

.600

5

3

46

0

4.6

7.6

61

Mix

Anthony

NYG

5

3

.600

5

3

39

0

3.9

6.9

62

Jones

Matt

JAC

7

3

.429

5

3

36

0

3.6

6.6

63

Price

Peerless

BUF

7

4

.571

5

3

33

0

3.3

7.3

64

Williamson

Troy

MIN

8

4

.500

5

2

23

0

2.3

6.3

65

Parker

Samie

KC

11

7

.636

5

3

20

0

2.0

9.0

66

Williams

Demetrius

BAL

14

4

.286

5

1

13

0

1.3

5.3

67

Hagan

Derek

MIA

4

2

.500

4

2

33

1

9.3

11.3

68

Jones

James

GB

12

8

.667

4

4

75

0

7.5

15.5

69

Washington

Nate

PIT

5

3

.600

4

3

60

0

6.0

9.0

70

Gonzalez

Anthony

IND

5

3

.600

4

3

49

0

4.9

7.9

71

Horn

Joe

ATL

7

3

.429

4

2

34

0

3.4

6.4

72

Morey

Sean

ARI

5

2

.400

4

2

23

0

2.3

4.3

73

Stallworth

Donte’

NE

6

3

.500

4

2

19

0

1.9

4.9

74

Battle

Arnaz

SF

13

7

.538

4

2

17

0

1.7

8.7

75

Davis

Chris

TEN

6

4

.667

4

3

17

0

1.7

5.7

76

Curry

Ronald

OAK

16

12

.750

4

2

12

0

1.2

13.2

77

Muhammad

Muhsin

CHI

8

2

.250

4

1

7

0

0.7

2.7

78

Stokley

Brandon

DEN

8

6

.750

3

3

43

1

10.3

16.3

79

Williams

Reggie

JAC

3

2

.667

3

2

41

1

10.1

12.1

80

Bowe

Dwayne

KC

10

5

.500

3

2

22

1

8.2

13.2

81

Hilliard

Ike

TB

9

6

.667

3

2

51

0

5.1

11.1

82

Floyd

Malcom

SD

3

1

.333

3

1

19

0

1.9

2.9

83

Hurd

Sam

DAL

5

3

.600

3

2

18

0

1.8

4.8

84

Baskett

Hank

PHI

3

2

.667

3

2

16

0

1.6

3.6

85

Davis

Craig

SD

5

2

.400

3

0

0

0

0.0

2.0

86

Henderson

Devery

NO

9

3

.333

3

0

0

0

0.0

3.0

87

Moss

Sinorice

NYG

3

0

.000

3

0

0

0

0.0

0.0

88

Burress

Plaxico

NYG

13

10

.769

2

2

32

1

9.2

19.2

89

Wilford

Ernest

JAC

5

3

.600

2

1

33

0

3.3

6.3

90

Johnson

Bryant

ARI

5

3

.600

2

2

23

0

2.3

5.3

91

Green

Skyler

CIN

2

1

.500

2

1

18

0

1.8

2.8

92

Moulds

Eric

TEN

5

3

.600

2

2

18

0

1.8

4.8

93

Wilson

Cedrick

PIT

2

1

.500

2

1

12

0

1.2

2.2

94

Smith

Brad

NYJ

4

1

.250

2

1

8

0

0.8

1.8

95

Copper

Terrance

NO

2

1

.500

2

1

6

0

0.6

1.6

96

Lewis

Greg

PHI

2

1

.500

2

1

2

0

0.2

1.2

97

Crayton

Patrick

DAL

6

3

.500

2

0

0

0

0.0

3.0

98

Ginn Jr.

Ted

MIA

2

0

.000

2

0

0

0

0.0

0.0

99

Hester

Devin

CHI

2

0

.000

2

0

0

0

0.0

0.0

100

Clayton

Mark

BAL

4

1

.250

2

1

-1

0

-0.1

0.9

LEAGUE AVERAGE

11.53

6.65

.577

6.5

3.74

52.74

0.32

7.2

13.7

WR Free Agent Watch:

Brandon Marshall, DEN

OK, I know. 

Marshall

was drafted in every league you play in. Save the hate mail. But according to Yahoo he is still available in over 30% of the leagues hosted at their site. If you happen to play in one of these leagues, stop reading and go pick him up. After you do that, visit the Shark Tank and find yourself a more fulfilling fantasy football league for 2008.

Wes Welker, NE

Like

Marshall

, Welker shouldn’t even be listed here, but believe it or not he is currently the #1 added WR according to Yahoo. If you play in one of these leagues, pick him up. With Moss and Stallworth stretching the secondary like taffy and the running backs peeling off in the flat, Welker is going to be a force at the second level all season long. He has the perfect skill set for a slot receiver: quick separation, fearlessness, and a mercurial array of open field moves to gain yards in traffic. As an added bonus, the Patriots passing schedule is arguably the most favorable of

Tom Brady’s career. There is no reason to expect fewer than 85 receptions from Welker in 2007.

Bobby Engram/Nate Burleson, SEA

A bit of risk here as it’s anyone’s guess who will get the majority of targets on the left side of the field, but both receivers proved useful last week and *queue circus music* the Bengals are coming to town. In fact,

Seattle

’s passing schedule is pure gravy until their week 8 bye. Of the two, I prefer Engram’s consistency regardless of format. However, if you need big numbers and are feeling frisky, Burleson is the one with big points potential.

Shaun McDonald, DET

He might be the Lions 4th WR but consider his situation for a minute.   McDonald is a smooth and efficient route-runner who is guaranteed to be better than the nickel or dime back covering him. No defense has the cornerback depth required to match up favorably with all four Lions WR’s and no defensive coordinator is going to make McDonald a priority in his game plan. The Lions schedule isn’t great, but stiffer match ups for Roy, Calvin, and Furrey could actually work in McDonald’s favor. There is a good chance McDonald is better than your current 4th or 5th WR, and like all possession/slot receivers he carries extra value in ppr leagues.

Derrick Mason, BAL

24 targets in the first two weeks are impossible to ignore. I realize

Mark Clayton has been a non-factor and McNair is playing with a fork in his back, but Mason has legitimate value in ppr leagues until further notice.   Surprisingly, the Ravens currently rank 8th in pass attempts per game (37.5) and their passing schedule is one of the league’s best. Expect a low-scoring dogfight this weekend, but the Cardinals underrated front seven should force Coach Billick to call more pass plays than he would like, resulting in more mid-range targets for Mason.

James Jones, GB

I’m not sure what to make of Jones at this point. The return of

Greg Jennings will cut into his targets… but the Packers use a ton of three-receiver sets and

Jennings

might help open things up for Jones. The Packers upcoming schedule is extremely tough (SD, @MIN, CHI, WAS, bye, @DEN)… but this might lead to even more pass attempts (80 so far) for

Brett Favre. Despite the uncertainties, we know two things for sure: Jones has serious talent and Favre will throw until his arm falls off. Jones has the kind of upside you want on your bench, but only if you compliment him with a more dependable option.

Jacoby Jones, HOU

Jones has been invisible but that is about to change, because unless the Texans are pulling our leg,

Andre Johnson will miss this weekend’s game against the Colts and possibly more. Like Johnson, Jones is a big target (6-2/210) so

Matt Schaub should have little trouble finding him. Getting open will be another story, but what Jones lacks in experience he can make up for with phenomenal athleticism. In addition to football, Jones ran track and played basketball in college. Jones was due to see his value increase as the season progressed, but his timetable has just warped forward a few weeks. Similar to James Jones, Jacoby Jones is another raw receiver with lots of upside.

Marty Booker, MIA

I picked up and started Booker in a couple of leagues last weekend after watching the Cowboys secondary get abused by the G-Men the previous week. Booker will not be a consistent performer but he could be a decent spot starter in ppr leagues as you fill byes during weeks 5 through 10: @HOU, @CLE, NE, NYG, bye, BUF.

Joe Jurevicius, CLE

I know… it’s temping. Viscous has a knack for the end zone and a history of red hot streakiness. He even has chemistry with QB Derek Anderson that dates back to last season.  But don’t get too excited. What you witnessed between the Browns and Bengals was not a real football game and

Cleveland

‘s schedule is about to get nasty: @OAK, BAL, @NE, MIA, Bye. Joe makes a risky play until week 8 which limits his roster value, but his fantasy playoff schedule is juicy so he might be worth tucking away if you have the depth.

Anthony Gonzalez,

IND

Adding Gonzalez to your roster would be premature at this point, but two of the three passes he reeled in last weekend were tough and crucial, which will only serve to boost Manning’s confidence in the polished rookie. TE Dallas Clark has been excellent from the slot, so Gonzalez has limited value, but if Clark,

Reggie Wayne or

Marvin Harrison ever miss a game, Gonzo instantly becomes starter material.

Dennis Northcutt, JAC

As promised, Northcutt is the Jags #1 option at WR… but picking up Northcutt is sort of like taking home the hottest fat chick at the bar. To make matters worse, he will be locking horns with Champ & Dre’ this weekend before the team regroups during what promises to be a much needed bye week. Avoid Northcutt for now but keep his name on the back burner for Week 5.

Roydell Williams/Brandon Jones, TEN

Someone has to catch the ball for the Titans, right? Not necessarily.   The Titans will only throw as much as they have to which, if Coach Fisher had it his way, would be almost never. Brandon Jones leads the team in targets but he also dropped a key pass during what could have been the Titans game-winning drive against the Colts. Roydell made some nice plays but he lacks the physical ability to create consistent separation from defenders. Of the two, I reluctantly prefer Roydell in hopes that he and

Vince Young can prolong the magic.

Roddy White, ATL

The former first rounder always possessed the physical tools, but now he has two years under his belt and the confidence of his quarterback. In fact, White has been Harrington’s favorite target since the Falcons first preseason game. Now that it has carried over to the regular season he is officially

Atlanta

’s undisputed WR1. Regardless, White should be an easy pick-up this week in deep leagues so resist the urge (powerful, I know!) to place him anywhere near the top of your waiver queue. In fact, you might be able to wait until after this weekend’s meeting with

Carolina

before making your move. 

Atlanta

will be tough to predict on weekly basis, but it’s safe to assume they will be throwing late in most games and their schedule is passer-friendly. White has untapped potential and makes a nice stash in deeper leagues.

Muhsin Muhammad, CHI

Mush will be dumped like crazy this week, but now might be the time to pick him up. The Cowboys come to town after allowing #2 WRs

Amani Toomer and

Marty Booker to combine for 13/170/1 the previous two weeks. He makes a risky play even in deeper leagues, but Mush will be a key target for

Chicago

as they try to move the chains.

Jason Avant, PHI

Avant has actually looked pretty good. He moves well and works hard to get open. The Eagles even have a pair of nice games on the schedule (DET, NYG).But

Donovan McNabb’s throws have been all over the place, so the fact Avant has hauled in eight of his nine targets and currently ranks as his team’s leading WR is, in all likelihood, an anomaly. It’s not like

Reggie Brown and

Kevin Curtis are struggling to get open. McNabb is just dealing with the mechanical issues that generally follow major knee surgery. When he gets the courage to really plant his weight and follow through with a firm release, his throws look great. But more often than not, he has been light on his surgically repaired back leg which results in high throws. In other words, McNabb is suffering from a temporary case of Grossman Syndrome. It’s a mental obstacle that will improve as McNabb gains more confidence in the stability of his knee, and when that happens, Brown and Curtis will rise from the ashes while Avant,

Hank Baskett and

Greg Lewis exchange their forgotten tales of early season glory.

 

Dwayne Bowe, KC

Perhaps he should be ranked higher but this reflects my general feeling of malaise toward the entire Chiefs offense, LJ included. Sure, the team will need to throw late in games and Bowe has probably solidified a “significant” role in the offense even after

Eddie Kennison returns, but the Chiefs are just plain bad and so is their schedule. The other three teams in their division all specialize in defense and you can add JAX, GB,

IND

, and even TEN to the list of defenses KC will likely struggle against.

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