Three weeks is an eternity in fantasy football. For most leagues three weeks represents nearly a quarter of the regular season. Waiver wire adds are sparse, so often the best way to improve your team is by working a trade with another owner in your league. We all know the best trades allow both teams to better themselves, but sometimes a player’s value can be skewed by their early season performance.
So who are the early season “Buy low-Sell high” candidates?
Chris Johnson-The unusually slow start is all because of Johnson’s contract holdout…right? Johnson’s shear talent alone suggests that he will break out of his funk soon. The Titans appeared to be committed to getting Johnson involved by calling his number 24 times against a tough Ravens’ D in week two.
Week three only saw Johnson tally 13 carries against a Broncos’ defense that was allowing 135 YPG.
Johnson hasn’t even totaled 100 yards total this season. Gloomy enough for you? The Chris Johnson owner in your league may be feeling the same way.
Despite Matt Hasselbeck’s recent passing success the Titans know that they will have to get Johnson and the running game going as the season wears on. Make a move for Johnson, be patient and stash him away until he returns to the form that earned him first round status on draft day.
I expect Ingram to have plenty of opportunities to score in a potent Saints’ offense. Ingram has yet to explode for the huge rushing numbers that fantasy owners would like to see, but he did manage to get in to the endzone in week three. Darren Sproles was able to sneak in to the endzone in week two on a play that would have been reversed had the officials decided to review it giving Ingram a goal line opportunity that he was drafted to capitalize on. Ingram is an upside play who should develop in to a solid option for you as he gets more acclimated with the Saints’ offense.
The Bucs have had an odd start to the season. They have had some strange games where they have abandoned their game plan or strength in order to stay in the game and Freeman’s fantasy production has suffered. Don’t let the disappointment fool you, Freeman hasn’t put up a bad game either; he just hasn’t registered the stat lines we all envisioned. You could do far worse as injury insurance, a bye week fill in, or a situational starter regardless of your current QB situation.
I know I referenced the Saints’ high powered offense as a reason to target Ingram, but the Saints’ ability to spread the ball around makes Moore a weekly boom or bust type play. Moore missed week one with an injury and only had one catch in week two.
In week three Moore had a solid showing hauling in nine catches including a TD. Pair the good showing with Moore’s name recognition and you may have an attractive trade option. Moore will have his good weeks, but he will frustrate you regularly and his targets may take a hit when Marques Colston returns from an injury.
The Panthers notched their first win this week against Jacksonville, but the passing game we saw the first two weeks was mysteriously absent.
Weather conditions played a part, but rookie Cam Newton was looking for his tight ends Jeremy Shockey and Greg Olsen much more often. Fifteen of Newton’s eighteen completions were thrown to backs or tight ends. Smith will still be the Panther’s primary wide receiver option, but as teams get tape on him and Newton they will game plan to keep the play maker and his opportunities hemmed up.
Many owners with tight end woes may have added Davis based on his early season performance. Chris Cooley appears to be getting healthy and Davis’ use and value should slide as result. Davis has plenty of talent but the opportunity may just not be enough to justify him a spot on your roster. Maximize his early season scoring and trade him away before Cooley completely reclaims his normal role for the Redskins.
Much of the season still lies before us but by sorting out the suspects from the true busts and the sleepers from the comatose you can position yourself for a winning year.