Saturday - Feb 23, 2019

Home / Commentary / Buy, Sell, Hold – Week 16

Buy, Sell, Hold – Week 16

Lloyd

:
You’re it.


Harry:


You’re it.

Lloyd
:

You’re it, quitsies!


Harry:



Anti-quitsies, you’re it, quitsies, no anti-quitsies, no startsies!

Lloyd
:

You can’t do that!


Harry:



Can too!

Lloyd
:

Cannot, stamp it!


Harry:



Can too, double stamp it, no erasies!

Lloyd
:

Cannot, triple stamp, no erasies, touch blue make it true.


Harry:



No, you can’t do that … you can’t triple stamp a double stamp, you can’t triple stamp a double stamp! Lloyd!

Lloyd
:

[hands over ears] LA LA LA LA LA LA!


Harry:



LLOYD! LLOYD! LLOYD!

Harry was wrong.

When in a heated debate like the one above, or making someone aware of their true identity (
calling them something), you call stamps to assert your absolute correctness or merely the fact that you called it first. This can be countered by double stamps, triple stamps or quadruple stamps, but going beyond the quadruple stamp is completely off limits and out of bounds…because most people don’t know what to say after four.

Important rule:
if you call stamps, you can’t call the next stamp until the other person has countered. In other words you can double stamp a triple stamp; you just need to follow the proper procedures. Harry called double, opening the door for Lloyd to follow suit with the triple. Done.
Stamp it!

Why the lecture on stamps? Good question. Educational Purposes? Partly, that is what I do around here. Declaring my devotion to all things Dumb & Dumber? Always (
except for the sequel…what were they thinking?) But, most importantly, because everyone is now double-checking and triple-checking their starting lineups…every five minutes.


I cannot tell you how many texts, emails, posts and certified mailings I got last week from people going over the same decisions they’ve been making on their own for the last three-and-a-half months. Fine, maybe not the certified mailings, but only because I’m unlisted. Big Brother doesn’t need to know everything about me. And yes, by “Big Brother” I do mean my real-life older brother. He has too many kids to just pop in whenever he wants.


Yes, I know it’s all on the line here. It’s the playoffs, and you either win or season’s over. But don’t go overboard. Deep breaths, count to 10, say “woosah,” “ohm,” “chimichanga,” or whatever else calms you down. Treat it the same as you did two months ago when you were winning games handily enough to make the playoffs. Capice?


Here’s some plays this week to help you weigh your options: some good, some bad and a little bit of everything else for Week 16.




Week 16
BUYS


 

Matchups I like this week


  • QB Tony Romo vs. New Orleans.

    Having Romo on your fantasy roster can be just as maddening has having him on your favorite team’s roster (I know more than a few Dallas Cowboy fans that will attest to this). Twenty-five points last week against a good, albeit nicked up Pittsburgh Steelers defense was a strong performance. The 14 points the previous week was not. But that’s what you get with Romo. Consistency? Not quite. Unbelievable play followed by … well, unbelievable play of the other kind
    is what you get. He’s as likely to amaze you as he is to baffle you. This week against the lowly Saints defense. Let’s hope it’s more treats than tricks. Wrong holiday? Crap! More candy canes than lumps of coal? Oh…and if your league plays through Week 17, he’s got a cozy matchup against Washington next week, too.

(
Other favorable matchups:
Sam Bradford at Tampa Bay, Matt Schaub vs. Minnesota, Andrew Luck at Kansas City, Ryan Tannehill vs. Buffalo
.)

  • RB Stevan Ridley at Jacksonville.
    I know what you’re thinking. And yes, I forgive you. All I did was mention his name, how dare you? I’m aware he scored zero points last week. The way he kept losing the ball, it looked like his hands were frozen solid…then chopped off with an axe and replaced with spaghetti noodles (
    overcooked ones at that). So why would I recommend playing him this week? Because he’s playing the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville has given up more than 20 points in three straight weeks to Buffalo, the New York Jets and Miami. If coach Bill Belichick doesn’t have him anchored to the bench, he’s going to get you points.

(
Other favorable matchups: DeMarco Murray vs. New Orleans, Reggie Bush vs. Buffalo, Knowshon Moreno vs. Cleveland, Vick Ballard at Kansas City.)


  • WR: Demaryius Thomas vs. Cleveland.

    This
    should be one of the biggest no-brainers of the week. I say “should” because I know his four receptions for 13 total yards last week has a few of you feeling skittish. Even after that dud of a performance, there are still only five receivers that have more points than Thomas. What is more, the Browns give up more points to wide receivers with the exception of only five other teams. Weird. What’s the deal with fives? Does that mean he’s going to catch five touchdowns? If he does, I expect all of you to give me high fives…wait no, five dollars. With my
    billions of readers, that could start to add up.

(
Other favorable matchups: Danny Amendola at Tampa Bay, Jeremy Maclin vs. Washington, Anquan Boldin vs. the New York Giants, Steve Smith vs. Oakland.)


Week 16
HOLDS


 

Tough matchups for studs this week


  • QB Drew Brees at Dallas.

    Would you still be playing this week if he wasn’t on your squad? The guy is second only to Tom Brady in all of fantasy scoring. Does it matter that Dallas has a good secondary? If you own Brees, I doubt you have a better option this week.

  • RB Adrian Peterson at Houston.

    He’s the No. 1 running back in the galaxy. Your argument is invalid.
  • WR Vincent Jackson vs. St. Louis.
    Remember when Tampa Bay backed up the Brinks truck to Jackson’s house filled with cash and prizes for signing as a free agent with them last spring? Remember how just about everyone said it was a good decision for his pocketbook but not necessarily for his production? Yeah…all he’s done this season is have the most receiving yards of his career. He’s even one touchdown away from tying his career best in that category as well. Turns out, maybe it wasn’t that bad of a decision for his career. I doubt he’s missing duck hunting with Philip Rivers about now.

Week 16
SELLS

 

Matchups to avoid this week

  • QB Ryan Lindley vs. Chicago.
    I wouldn’t start Lindley if I was in a 32-team league. If that doesn’t tell you something…wow.

(
Other difficult matchups: Colin Kaepernick at Seattle, Jay Cutler at Arizona, Matthew Stafford vs. Atlanta, Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cincinnati.)

  • RB Chris ‘Beanie’ Wells vs. Chicago. Wells w

    as like the anti-Stevan Ridley last week, scoring three touchdowns. That trend could continue (the anti-Ridley part, not the three touchdowns). Wells is facing the Chicago Bears this week. I’m not starting Arizona’s quarterback, I’m not starting their running back, I’m not starting anyone who lines up within 50 feet of that offensive line. The Bears will not only crush the Cardinals offense, they will devour their souls. Such a pity this time of year.

(
Other difficult matchups: Trent Richardson at Denver, Frank Gore at Seattle, BenJarvus Green-Ellis at Pittsburgh, Shonn Greene vs. San Diego.)


  • WR Danario Alexander at the New York Jets.

    No, I’m not just saying this because he got me zero points last week. OK, maybe that’s not the
    only reason. In real life, I’m a fan. Spending the better part of my life in St. Louis, I want to see a Missouri guy do well, especially one that has had to overcome as much as Alexander has. But I don’t like his matchup this week. The Jets might not have a clue on what they’re doing offensively, or what a quarterback is supposed to do, but they do know what a cornerback is supposed to do. They are still near the tops in the league when it comes to stifling wide receivers. Good luck this week Alexander, I’ll be cheering for you this week…on my bench. Hope you prove me wrong.



(
Other difficult matchups: Michael Crabtree at Seattle, Sidney Rice vs. San Francisco, Mike Wallace vs. Cincinnati, Josh Gordon at Denver.)

Until the next go-round.

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