1. Indianapolis – Andrew Luck. Duh.
2. Washington – Robert Griffin III. In the end Washington offers two first-round picks while Cleveland offers only one, so the St. Louis Rams take the Redskins’ deal.
3. Minnesota – Matt Kalil. If Griffin goes No. 2 as suspected, this is a no-brainer. While the Vikings’ secondary is a mess they must protect their franchise quarterback, Christian Ponder.
4. Cleveland – Justin Blackmon. Don’t be surprised if they go Mo Claiborne instead here and look at wide receiver with Pick 22.
5. Tampa Bay – Mo Claiborne. A no-brainer if he falls, as he and Trent Richardson are the last of the elite in this class. Richardson doesn’t play a premium position, and Tampa Bay has a glaring hole at cornerback.
6. St. Louis – Reilly Reiff. This was the downside to taking Washington’s deal as Reiff isn’t an elite player, whereas the Top 5 are.
7. Jacksonville – Melvin Ingram. Jacksonville values character, and Ingram is safer than Quention Coples in that regard.
8. Miami – Quentin Coples. This could be Ryan Tannehill’s spot. It depends on free agency. In the meantime the Dolphins are transitioning to a 4-3 defense so they need defensive ends. Coples has the highest ceiling in this defensive end class.
9. Carolina – Dontari Poe. A huge reach, but someone’s going to do it. Don’t be surprised if Carolina trades down to someone wanting a pass rusher.
10. Buffalo – Courtney Upshaw. A telegraphed pick.
11. Kansas City – Jonathan Martin. The Chiefs badly need to address the tackle position. Martin is the last good one available.
12. Seattle– Nick Perry. A putrid pass rush needs to be addressed, and Perry is a hell of an athlete.
13. Arizona – David DeCastro. The Cardinals have lots of directions they can go. DeCastro is the best available player outside of Richardson, and Arizona’s historically bad offensive line is … well, bad.
14. Dallas – Janoris Jenkins. Dallas’ dreams were dashed when DeCastro fell from the board, but the secondary is hideous … and if it weren’t for Jenkins’ (huge) character flaws we’d be talking about him in the Top 6.
15. Philadelphia – Luke Kuechly. Even though Andy Reid hates drafting linebackers early, it’s a need and Kuechly is that good. Still tough for us to believe that they’ll pass on Kuechly if he’s there, but something tells us that Reid still drafts another lineman.
16. New York Jets – Trent Richardson. Someone will trade up five spots to get him, but if he falls the Jets will snatch him up. This just goes to show how devalued running backs are in the draft at this current time. Both of us are adamant that Richardson is the best running back prospect to come along in a very, very long time.