Tuesday - Jul 16, 2019

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DAILY BLITZ: DraftKings Thanksgiving Edition

Each week this season in the Daily Blitz, fantasy analyst Nick Pagliuca will list what players he is targeting at each position. He will also mention players that should be avoided. Price and projected stats will be considered into analysis. The key to daily fantasy is fitting players into your lineup based on price/production.

Week 12 will be focusing on the Draftkings Thanksgiving Specials!

With Andrew Luck most likely out, that eliminates about all of the Colts and unfortunately narrows down the player pool. If you are looking to go against the grain, you could hope for a Thanksgiving miracle and load up on the Colts who will have low ownership.

Favorite Play of the Week:

Le’Veon Bell ($9,000) in the dome is someone I want to find a way to get into my lineups this week. Antonio Brown is priced $200 higher, but I would rather have Bell as he receives more touches. If you can squeeze both in, go for it, but the rest of your roster may suffer. If you take a chance with an entry and load up on Colts and their QB, you may be able to stack all players from this game.

Best Values of the Week:

After his monster performance in Week 11, you can be certain that Rob Kelley will be heavily owned at just $4,200. The value is definitely there, but it may be worth fading him in a big tournament on the short week. The Colts should lean more on Frank Gore ($5,200) with Andrew Luck injured , but I like Theo Riddick ($5,400) in the pass catching role at home.

Positional Notes

The value plays at QB come down to the Dallas and Washington signal callers. Kirk Cousins ($5,900) or Dak Prescott ($6,300) would be the two best value plays. I would probably lean towards Cousins if choosing between the two. Ben Roethlisberger ($7,300) is the most expensive play, but he should put up the most points. It is difficult to project who will be the highest owned QB, but it will come down to these three. Matthew Stafford ($5,700) is cheap and probably won’t get much love vs. the Vikings, but he usually excels at home.

With Stefon Diggs banged up, Adam Thielen ($4,000) should enter your radar as a cheap play. He has scored in back to back weeks and while his targets seem to average right around 4-5 per game, he takes advantage of each of them.

Jordan Reed ($6,200) stands out as the top tight end this week, but if you fade him the price drops dramatically. Jason Witten on Thanksgiving always seems like a decent play and he costs just $3,200. It is too tough to trust either Colts TE, especially now with Scott Tolzien. Ladarius Green is a strikeout or home run play. Eric Ebron ($4,000) has been the most consistent for his price the last three weeks and is likely the safest play for your dollar.

Defensively, the Steelers D/ST have become the obvious choice with Luck injured. I may fade that play and use the Lions D/ST.

Contrarian Stack: Lions

Ultra-Contrarian Stack: Colts

Gambling: Thanksgiving Tease

6.5 teaser: Steelers -2.5, Cowboys PK

Good luck to all and Happy Thanksgiving!

About Nick Pagliuca

Nick has been competitively playing fantasy sports for over ten years and has recently become very active in daily fantasy in the last three years. Nick participates mainly in fantasy football followed by fantasy baseball and basketball.