Tuesday - Feb 19, 2019

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DFS: $DPP Analysis – Week 15

This is the week where the chalk finally hit for most of the guys we were targeting. Heavily owned guys such as Giovani Bernard, LeSean McCoy, DeAndre Hopkins and Todd Gurley produced well. There were some let downs from the top owned players such as Larry Fitzgerald, Lamar Miller and A.J. Green who all scored under 11 DK points. Overall it was one of the highest scoring weeks I’ve had all season.

This week as Fanduel is introducing a new game style which removes kickers and defenses and allows for Super flex play of using two quarterbacks. It will be interesting how many Patriots and Steelers stacks there will be in this contest type.

Quarterbacks

The ownership for quarterbacks last week was pretty evenly spread with only Jimmy Garoppolo above 10% owned. The big story was Carson Wentz, who was having one of the best games on the day, tore his ACL and will miss the remainder of the season. He still finished with the second highest DK points on the slate behind Dak Prescott who led all quarterbacks with 29.58 points. He was one of the best bargains under $6,000 along with Brett Hundley and Mitchell Trubisky who were both under 1% owned. The biggest busts were Jared Goff, Derek Carr and Cam Newton who all scored under 16 DK points. This week have both Russell Wilson and Tom Brady priced above $7,000. Aaron Rodgers who hasn’t played since breaking his collar bone back in Week 6 comes in at $6,800. Which is the cheapest he has been since week 16 last season against the Vikings. We all know what Rodgers can do when healthy but it is unknown how many pass attempts he will have or how rusty he is.

$DPP Value Plays

Nick Foles (DK: $5,500/$335 DPP — FD: $6,000/$375 DPP)
The last time Foles faced the Giants it was back in 2015 where he posted 248 passing yards and two touchdowns. He faces a greatly depleted Giants team this time that allows the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and is allowing 20.2 DK points per game. Foles is risky because the Eagles could easily run the ball all over the Giants but should still be able to do enough in this game to be considered this week.

Ben Roethlisberger (DK: $6,700/$394 DPP — FD: $8,000/$471 DPP)
I was surprised that Roethlisberger is the 5th most expensive quarterback on Draftkings and the 6th on Fanduel considering this game is supposed to be a shoot out and he could easily make value at his price. He had 31.75 DK points last week at the same price tag and now gets to face the Patriots who allow the 6th most DK points to quarterbacks at 19.1 per game. In his last game against the Patriots he thew for 314 passing yards and a touchdown in a playoff loss.

Running Backs

There is no better example of football in December than the Buffalo vs Colts game where we saw LeSean McCoy plow through the snow on a touchdown run in overtime. McCoy was the second highest owned running back in tournaments behind Giovani Bernard who was on average 60% and yielded a 6X return. The slate was heavy on Bernard, McCoy, Lamar Miller and Todd Gurley. Miller was the dud in that group posting just 8 DK points. Kareem Hunt finally had some redemption after 9 games of missing value. He scored his first touchdown since Week 3. Jonathan Stewart turned back the clock and had a monster day with 31.3 DK points. Rod Smith was the top scoring running back and 2nd highest scorer on the slate with 36 DK points.

$DPP Value Plays

Alex Collins (DK: $5,000/$385 DPP — FD: $6,600/$550 DPP)
Collins is one of my favorite plays this week. Last week he rushed for 120 yards and a touchdown. Although the Browns over the season haven’t given up a ton of points per game at just 22 DK points per game. They have been gashed over the last 6 allowing 27.4 DK points per game. Which over a season would ranked them 2nd behind Buffalo who allow 28.2 DK points per game. Lock him in for a big game.

Kenyan Drake (DK: $5,800/$387 DPP — FD: $6,500/$464 DPP)
As mentioned, the Bills give up the most DK points in the league against running backs with 28.2 per game. That is because they have allowed the most rushing touchdowns this season with 18. Drake is coming off back-to-back 110 yard rushing games and will add a 3rd one in this match-up. Take the savings at RB and spend up at wide receiver.

About Walter Collazo

Writer for Fantasy Sharks since 2006. Member of FSTA. Winner of 2014 Fantasy Football Article of the Year Online, awarded by FTSA.