Saturday - Apr 20, 2019

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DFS: $DPP Analysis – Week 2

Week 1 was by far the most bizarre start to an NFL season. There were so many let downs by stud players and lack of touchdowns from key players. The beauty of daily fantasy is that you can just shake off the bad lineups you had and move forward. You don’t have to worry about David Johnson‘s injury or the fact Andrew Luck is still not ready to go.

Looking ahead to Week 2 the Thursday night match-up between the Texans and Bengals features the lowest projected point total of the week. Fade that game altogether. The Monday night game between the Lions and Giants has a modest total of 43.5. The way the Giants struggled in Week 1, we won’t miss their offense for the main slate.

There are two games with totals over 50 this week. The Patriots at the Saints with a total of 54.5 and Packers at Falcons with a total of 53.5. Stack both sides of these games and expect some big points to be had but know that ownership will be high. Drew Brees at home is always a DFS must play option on one of your main lineups. He has been my top quarterback on my best weeks. I’m expecting Julio Jones to bounce back this week against the Packers, who he torched in the playoffs with 9 receptions for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Quarterbacks

Quarterbacks were a big disappointment in week 1. Alex Smith who led all quarterbacks with 34.02 DK points wasn’t even on the main slate. Only Sam Bradford and Matthew Stafford scored over 25 DK points. Hopefully this week we can get some better play from the quarterbacks.

$DPP Value Plays

Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers (DK: $5,800/$242 DPP — FD: $7,000/$333 DPP)

Rivers is the top $DPP value on DK and second to Matt Ryan on FD. Last week we saw Rivers reconnect with Keenan Allen as well as look to Antonio Gates when needed. The Dolphins gave up 10 touchdowns last season to tight ends so we could see a ton of targets going to Gates and Hunter Henry.

Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills (DK: $5,300/$312 DPP — FD: $7,400/$435 DPP)

Taylor’s salary drops $900 this week on DK but on FD he is priced $400 more than Rivers. The Panthers allowed the second most points to tight ends last season and Taylor leaned on Charles Clay in week 1. Although Taylor only threw to Jordan Matthews 3 times, Matthews still led the team with 61 yards. When looking at the cheap quarterback this week, Taylor is among the better options.

Running Backs

Running back is the position that killed a lot of lineups. Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson who were the highest owned backs failed to reach value as Bell was held to 32 rushing yards and Johnson left the game after only rushing for 23 yards. Of the top 15 salaried players, only 4 of them rushed for over 100 yards. Kareem Hunt and Dalvin Cook racked up 127+ yards but were not on the main slate.  LeSean McCoy and Ezekiel Elliott were the only backs on the main slate to go over 100 yards. Of the Top 10 running backs only Devonta Freeman and Jordan Howard rushed for a touchdown. Kareem Hunt is the only running back last week to rush for over 100 yards and score.

$DPP Value Plays

Kareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $6,800/$340 DPP — FD: $7,800/$411 DPP)

Hunt remains under priced as his salary only increased $400 on DK and $1,400 on FD. He ranks as the top $DPP on FD. The guy is coming off a monster performance and yet his salary doesn’t reflect it. Take the advantage before he is priced up to Le’veon Bell.

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints (DK: $3,500/$318 DPP — FD: $4,700/$522 DPP)

Last week Tarik Cohen was the best value at min salary scoring 25.3 DK points for 8X value. This week Kamara’s price remains unchanged on both sites. He outproduced Adrian Peterson and can be cheap exposure to the highest projected game this week.

Wide Receivers

Looking through the Top 15 priced wide receivers, only Antonio Brown and Golden Tate went over 100 yards receiving last week. Among these receivers only Jordy Nelson and Amari Cooper scored a touchdown. The position was dominated by the middle salaried players such as Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs. Kenny Golladay was the best value putting up 22.9 DK points at $3,600.

$DPP Value Plays

Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $3,800/$271 DPP — FD: $5,900/$492 DPP)

With Allen Robinson out for the season, Lee will be counted on to step in for those targets. Lee is the top player on the $DPP list for DK and 4th on FD.  His price has not increased on DK but has gone up $200 on FD. He needs just 12 points to make value.

Keenan Allen, Los Angel Chargers (DK: $7,400/$271 DPP — FD: $7,900/$321 DPP)

Allen’s price remains the same as Week 1 having played on Monday night the sites didn’t adjust it. Allen is the top $DPP on FD. A Rivers/Allen stack will be popular for those trying to save money to spend elsewhere.

About Walter Collazo

Writer for Fantasy Sharks since 2006. Member of FSTA. Winner of 2014 Fantasy Football Article of the Year Online, awarded by FTSA.