Heading into Week 2 we have a significant number of injuries from last week. Michael Thomas is the big one as he could be out several weeks with a high ankle sprain (RIP to my Best Ball teams). Other players that could miss time or are out for the season include George Kittle (right knee), James Conner (ankle), DeVante Parker (hamstring), Marlon Mack (IR), Blake Jarwin (IR) and Le’Veon Bell (IR). We are also waiting to see what the status will be for players that missed week one such as Miles Sanders (hamstring), Kenny Golladay (hamstring) and Courtland Sutton (shoulder). These injuries have opened up a number of other players who will be value plays this week.
Heading into Week 2, the Falcons at Cowboys game has the highest implied total at 53 points with the Cowboys favored by 6 points. The Ravens at Texans have the second highest total with highest implied total at 52 points with the Ravens favored by 6.5 points. The game I am looking forward to fantasy wise is Football Team at Cardinals. It has the 5th highest implied total on the slate at 48 points with the Cardinals favored by a touchdown. I like stacking this game because I think it will go over the 48 points and you can play a good amount of players in this game because they are very cheap outside of DeAndre Hopkins who is the second highest priced wide receiver on the slate on DraftKings.
In week one, we had three quarterbacks go over 30 DraftKings points as Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen led all scorers. The highest ownership went to Lamar Jackson and Cam Newton who put up 25+ point games. The biggest bust was Drew Brees scoring 14.4 DK points. The best value was Mitchell Trubisky scoring 24.28 DraftKings points at $5,400.
$DPP Value Plays
Kyler Murray– ARI (DK: $6,100/$339 DPP — FD: $8,000/$444 DPP)
Murray performed well last week, putting up 27.3 DraftKings points in a win over the 49ers. He had a passing and rushing touchdown and rushed 13 times for 91 yards. I don’t expect him to run for almost 100 yards this week but 30-40 yards is a nice boost for a guy who sometimes goes under 200 yards passing. I like this matchup this week against the Redskins. People will overreact to the 8 sacks Washington had in Week 1. The sacks had more to do with the Eagles poor offensive line that has taken major hits due to injuries and the additional injuries to their receivers and running backs. The Cardinals have more weapons to work with and Murray has the ability to escape the pocket.
Mitchell Trubisky– CHI (DK: $5,500/$289 DPP — FD: $7,200/$379 DPP)
Last week Trubisky tossed 3 touchdowns, something he’s done in 3 of his last 6 starts going back to last season. Trubisky is inconsistent and can often disappear from week to week so there is some risk but the matchup this week is very good. The Giants last week gave up 3 touchdowns in Ben Roethlisberger first start since injuring his elbow. I like the matchups for Allen Robinson this week but I think Anthony Miller has the best matchup in the slot against the Giants’ bad secondary.
Tyrod Taylor– LAC (DK: $5,300/$408 DPP — FD: $6,800/$523 DPP)
Last week Taylor put up just 9.02 DraftKings points as he went scoreless. The more disappointing stat for Taylor was his 6 rushes for 7 yards as this is a guy that can rush for 30+ yards a game. The matchup last week was tough, as the Bengals have an underrated defense. This is going to be a fast pace game where Kansas City can get out ahead early. Taylor will have to throw more and make more plays with his feet. He has Mike Williams back and his running backs are good receivers out of the backfield. Expect Taylor to go almost unowned but the salary savings will be worth the risk, considering he had the second highest air yards per attempt at 11.17, I think he will have a better Week 2.
Running back ownership in tournaments was heavy on Boston Scott (32%) and Josh Jacobs (25%). Scott left the game with an injury scoring just 7.4 DraftKings points while Jacobs led the slate in scoring with 35.9 DraftKings points. The biggest bust was Austin Ekeler who was the 3rd highest owned running back at 18% scoring just 9.7 DraftKings Points. The best value play was Nyheim Hines at $4,000 scoring 27.3 DraftKings points at just 0.1% ownership.
$DPP Value Plays
Jonathan Taylor– IND (DK: $5,700/$408 DPP — FD: $5,800/$483 DPP)
Marlon Mack will miss the season with an Achilles injury opening the door for Taylor to step in. Nyheim Hines performed well last week but Taylor is the better back. The Colts have one of the best offensive lines in the league and they face a Vikings team that gave up 158 rushing yards last week. Taylor also saw 6 targets catching all for 67 yards in the game. Even though he only saw 9 rushing attempts in Week 1, we can expect him to get the 15-20 carries we saw Mack get last season.
Benny Snell Jr. – PIT (DK: $4,500/$433 DPP — FD: $4,600/$418 DPP)
Snell will be a great play if James Conner is unable to play. If Conner is in, Snell will still be a good play because the Steelers will look to keep Snell involved while limiting Conner. The Steelers have a good running matchup against the Broncos as the team lost Von Miller before the season. The Broncos last week gave up 130 yards on the ground but did manage to keep Derek Henry out of the end-zone.
Ronald Jones– TBB (DK: $5,200/$400 DPP — FD: $5,900/$492 DPP)
With all the additions the Buccaneers had this offseason with Leonard Fournette, LeSean McCoy and 3rd round pick Ke’Shawn Vaughn the team still gave Jones the bulk of the carries in Week 1. Jones carried the ball 17 times versus 5 carries for Fournette and only 1 carry for McCoy. Vaughn didn’t even play a snap. This week Ron Jones faces the Panthers, who should be the team to target running backs against every week. The team gave up 3 scores in Week 1 to the Raiders on the ground. Given the lack of value plays at the position under $5K, Jones makes for a good pivot off Snell if Conner is active this week.