What a tough start to the season. We thought going into the year that the biggest issue would be players testing positive for COVID-19 but injuries have been the real plague to the season. Saquon Barkley, Christian McCaffrey, Courtland Sutton and Sterling Shepard have all landed on Injured Reserve with the first two really impacting the slate. Add in Julio Jones, Davante Adams, George Kittle and Darren Waller who are all questionable for this week (Kittle is not OUT) and it makes Week 3 tough to navigate.
No one has more injuries this week than the New York Jets, who travel to Indianapolis with eight players on the injury report. They have seven wide receivers alone that are out. The only “healthy” pass catchers are Chris Hogan (who also hurt himself last week) and Josh Malone. So, we can expect a high ownership to Chris Herndon once again, but I will be avoiding anyone in a green uniform in this game and loading up on some Indianapolis stacks instead.
The field was sharp last week as Kyler Murray saw the highest ownership at the position at 18 percent. Dak Prescott was the only other quarterback to have double-digit ownership at 14 percent. Prescott also finished as the highest scoring quarterback with 43.8 DraftKings points. Gardner Minshew was best value scoring 28.46 DraftKings points. Lamar Jackson was the biggest bust with just 17.56 DraftKings points.
$DPP Value Plays
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati (DK: $6,200/$365 DPP — FD: $7,400/$435 DPP)
Many are going to overlook Burrow this weekend as his price increased $300 from last week and he didn’t play on the main slate. However, he has met or exceeded projections this season and now gets to face Philadelphia’s suspect secondary, who are allowing 31.1 DraftKings points to wide receivers per game. He has yet to connect with A.J. Green on a big game, but Burrow has targeted Green 21 times on the season.
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh (DK: $6,400/$376 DPP — FD: $7,500/$441 DPP)
It looks like Roethlisberger will have all his receivers this week which seems rare for most teams given the injury bug going around. Houston has had a brutal start to the season facing Kansas City and Baltimore. Many will look at how well the running backs have done against Houston, who have allowed 29.05 DraftKings points to the position per game, but wide receivers have scored higher at 34.25 per game. I might have to play both against this defense.
Derrick Henry was the highest owned running back at 38 percent and was the biggest bust. He scored just 8.4 DraftKings points. Aaron Jones was the top back scoring 48.6 DraftKings points. The best value was James Robinson scoring 30.9 DraftKings points at $5,200.
$DPP Value Plays
Jerick McKinnon, San Francisco (DK: $4,000/$500 DPP — FD: $5,700/$518 DPP)
San Francisco is another team dealing with a ton of injuries. The running back position has been hit hard with Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert both dinged. McKinnon will split carries with Jeff Wilson this week. Last week McKinnon had 77 yards rushing and a touchdown but only saw three carries. That should increase this week against the New York Giants, who are allowing 22.9 DraftKings points per game to the position.
Mike Davis, Carolina (DK: $5,100/$340 DPP — FD: $6,000/$500 DPP)
With Christian McCaffrey out, Davis takes over as the starting running back. I don’t believe the hype on Curtis Samuel stepping in for more carries. Sure, maybe a few plays here and there but Davis has 25 points on him. Davis saw extensive action back in 2017 where he had 21 rushes for 101 and two scores against Arizona. The Los Angeles Chargers have given up more plays to wide receivers, but they still give up 15.6 DraftKings points to the position.