One of the more ridiculous weeks in recent memory is in the books and we certainly weren’t short for surprise performances both good and bad. One week isn’t enough of a sample size to start making definitive statements about teams but we’ll certainly be taking that recency into account with this week’s picks. Before we move on lets take a look back at how we did in Week 1.
Jared Goff QB, L.A Rams (DraftKings $6,700/ FanDuel $7,500)
17.22 points – The Raiders put up a good fight in the first half defensively but Goff eventually got it going in the second half. Would have liked to see Goff connect on a few of the bombs he just missed on as well as a few more screens to Todd Gurley but the 2.5x value still proved just fine for the price.
Matthew Stafford QB, Detroit Lions (DraftKings $6,500/ FanDuel $7,800)
12.04 points – Words cannot express my disappointment in this man…
Alex Collins RB, Baltimore Ravens (DraftKings $5,600 FanDuel $6,700)
7.90 points – Well it started out right I just overestimated how bad of a pounding this game would be. Baltimore shared the wealth splitting the backfield snaps pretty evenly killing Collins’ potential for a big day.
Jamaal Williams RB, Green Bay Packers (DraftKings $6,000 FanDuel $6,100)
7.05 points – When Aaron Rodgers left the game all bets were off. The Bears ruined the projected game flow and the Packers played catch up on their way to a big comeback. Not exactly the clock killing workload that was projected.
Dalvin Cook RB, Minnesota Vikings (DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $7,300)
14.50 points – Expected better but we’ll take the 80% snap share and 22 total touches. Should have scored in this one but it just wasn’t meant to be.
Kareem Hunt RB, Kansas City Chiefs (DraftKings $6,900 FanDuel $8,000)
4.90 points – When teammate Tyreek Hill goes off for 3 total touchdowns there isn’t much room for anyone else to eat. The game script went heavily against the grain in this one – Better days ahead.
Keenan Allen WR, L.A Chargers (DraftKings $7,500 FanDuel $8,000)
27.80 points – Have to give some credit to Tyreek Hill for this one, that deep deficit surely played a role here. Nice outing for Allen in Week 1.
Chris Hogan WR, New England Patriots (DraftKings $6,100 FanDuel $6,700)
2.10 points – The Patriots “WR1” in a match up this juicy? Yeah I’ll get this one wrong 10 times out of 10. That said, the recommended pivot to Phillip Dorsett wasn’t so bad.
Keelan Cole WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (DraftKings $3,800 FanDuel $4,500)
8.40 points – Showed promise early on but never quite got there. Better days ahead for the young wideout. These things happen when you dig this deep at WR, but sometimes it pays off!
DeAndre Hopkins WR, Houston Texans (DraftKings $8,300 FanDuel $8,800)
15.10 points – Disappointing outing considering the cost. The formula for success was right with 11 targets we just didn’t quite get the value needed for success here.
Ricky Seals-Jones TE, Arizona Cardinals (DraftKings $3,000 FanDuel $5,100)
4.90 points – He had a 92% snap share and dropped a sure touchdown on 6 targets. The read was right, we just got unlucky.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE, Jacksonville Jaguars (DraftKings $3,200 FanDuel $4,600)
5.50 points – Speaking of unlucky. Having a touchdown called back due to penalty certainly qualifies. Again, the read was just fine just didn’t hit pay dirt. For what its worth, these two TE’s outscored David Njoku, Jimmy Graham, Evan Engram, Austin Hooper, Trey Burton and Travis Kelce – just to name a few. Better days ahead, we just need to stick to the playbook!
OK, so not my finest week – I’ll be the first to admit that. That said, week one is always very tricky to nail down! We are forced to go off of mostly 2017 data which can sometimes lead us astray. A catch here, a missed tackle there and some of these scores turn around completely!
On to Week 2!