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DFS VALUE PLAYS: Week 3

Week 2 was a lot of fun in the daily fantasy sports world. I myself managed to finish in the Top 1-3 percent of several contests this week, just missing some serious paydays. The way I put myself in position to potentially win was simply through opportunity. Just like in fantasy football, opportunity is king. You can’t put up points if you’re not on the field and you can’t win a big GPP (guaranteed prize pool tournament) if you aren’t laying out several different lineups. This past week we nailed some picks, had a few near misses, and flat out whiffed on one guy. This is why it’s important to put a few different hooks in the water just in case things don’t go exactly as planned.

Lets see how we did in Week 2

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers (23.52)

Losing Jordy Nelson right away sure didn’t help but Rodgers still found a way to get it done on Sunday night. Aaron Rodgers cares about your fantasy football team. (but please don’t @ him)

Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers (20.24)

At this price, I’ll take the 20-plus point effort from my quarterback. Quarterback is an area when you can usually save some of your budget and Rivers helped me stretch my funds in order to cash in several contests this week.

Jay Cutler, QB, Miami Dolphins (13.10)

Cutler had good rapport with Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker but one more touchdown would have been nice. Better days are ahead for my favorite quarterback who looks like he sleeps under a bridge.

Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints (8.40)

When is New Orleans going to realize Kamara is the best weapon in the backfield? Probably after Drew Brees goes to Jacksonville next year. Such a waste …

Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks (11.00)

He didn’t score but he did rack up 100 total yards and perhaps helped clear up this muddy Seattle backfield for future use. Stay tuned.

Marshawn Lynch, RB, Oakland Raiders (11.90)

So the question we had going into this game was “if Oakland is up big, will it rest Lynch?” We got our answer – good thing he scored early but I still would have liked a little more bang for my buck in this juicy matchup.

Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers (29.00)

Montgomery was on everyone’s list this week and he absolutely killed it. Deploying him in several primetime slate lineups put me in the Top 1 percent among finishers in a number of contests this weekend. Remember how he performed against this Atlanta defense for future reference.

Chris Hogan, WR, New England Patriots (18.80)

Tom Brady started lighting up New Orleans right away in this one. Thankfully Hogan reeled in his lone score before things got completely out of hand. The five receptions for 78 yards weren’t bad either.

Marqise Lee, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (14.60)

Seven receptions for 76 yards isn’t bad but it’s not going to win you the big bucks. He didn’t sink the ship but this could have been a much bigger day. That said, his usage certainly bodes well for future contests.

Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals (5.10)

This one was a big letdown. Not sure if Carson Palmer is washed up or the defense was focused on containing Fitzgerald. Either way this offense looks rough without David Johnson.

Ted Ginn Jr., WR, New Orleans Saints (5.40)

This would have been a lot better if Ginn Jr. could catch the football. Moving on.

Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams (0.0)

Well I was right about Washington being terrible against opposing tight ends, I just picked the wrong tight end! Gerald Everett caught three passes for 95 yards in this contest, proving my theory correct. Given Higbee’s dominance over Everett in the snap count through the first two weeks I’d get this call wrong nine times out of 10. Sometimes it just doesn’t go your way.

Eric Ebron, TE, Detroit Lions (15.20 points)

There wasn’t a ton of yardage but Ebron did catch five balls for 42 yards and a touchdown. I played him in countless primetime stacks and did pretty well. You’ve got to pick your spots but Ebron can be useful at times.

Let’s take a look ahead at some nice DFS values in week 3

Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins, QB, Washington Redskins (DraftKings $6,100 / FanDuel $7,600)

Remember that thing I said about saving your budget at the quarterback position? Well Cousins just might be the sweet spot this week. After his past two outings (11.9 and 13.6 points, respectively) he could also probably be deemed semi-contrarian. So why the start this week? The Oakland defense, that’s why! Oakland has been the seventh-most generous defense to opposing quarterbacks so far in 2017 and finished as the 9th most generous in 2016. I’ll feel that much more confident about this pick if Jordan Reed suits up but even if he doesn’t, this is still a prime spot for the Washington passing game to get on track. This game is the proud owner of the highest over/under of the week at 54, so fire up Cousins with confidence in this plus matchup and be sure to stack heavy on this Week 3 Sunday nighter!

Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $6,800)

Yeah, you read that right. Andy Dalton, on the road at Lambeau field running an offense that has yet to score a single touchdown this season is my second recommendation at quarterback in daily fantasy this week. This all comes down to value and opportunity. Spending $5,100 on your quarterback frees up so much budget to spend elsewhere and the matchup is very nice on paper. Green Bay should win this one and be up early, forcing the new Cincinnati offensive coordinator, Bill Lazor, to press the pass for the majority of the game. Lazor has stated this week that his foremost task is the get the quarterback in sync and I expect him to do just that. We saw two things this past Sunday night in the Green Bay/Atlanta game – 1) What a skilled quarterback can do when facing a huge deficit early, and 2) how very shreddable the Green Bay defense is. Matt Ryan did not have a great statistical day from a fantasy perspective due to a lack of multiple passing touchdowns, but he certainly had his way with the Green Bay secondary. This is not a popular pick but the math adds up. You have a quarterback who is likely to have a low ownership percentage, facing a Green Bay team favored by nine with a 45-point over/under. Cincinnati is a team with nothing to lose under new offensive management. If this Dalton pick hits and you spend the rest of your budget wisely it could be the difference maker for you in Week 3.

About David Olivarez

David has been writing fantasy football content steadily since 2012 on the web and has been a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association since 2014. He focuses on Daily Fantasy Sports and Trade Analysis. Feel free to ask him questions on Twitter!