Sunday - Sep 27, 2020

Home / Commentary / DIARY OF A FANTASY VIRGIN: Week 4


Before we start out this week, keep all the inhabitants of Puerto Rico and those affected by Hurricane Maria in your thoughts and prayers.  The company I work for has a presence in Puerto Rico and power and overall infrastructure are decimated.

It is week 4 in Fantasy Football and my only escape from the real world is the NFL.  It is a place where thousands get together and celebrate the NFL.  This week the NFL was put in the forefront of all things.  And now it appears that we live in the Divided States of America instead of the United States of America.  I am grateful for this country because of the freedom of speech and the freedom of the press.  As you can well imagine that means I have a Fantasy Football article to write so let’s get on with it.  And it begins with my analysis of scoring through the first two weeks.

I begin this article with my annual look at the scoring in the league.

Scoring Is Down.. Down.. Down..

So I continued the tradition which I started in 2012.  I have entered into a spreadsheet every score for the first 2 weeks of the 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 2016 and 2017 seasons.  The result which every fan knows is that scoring is down.  Since we are missing a game this year from Hurricane Irma I can compare apples to apples by getting the average score per game.

In 2012 when I started this, the average score was around 24 points per team for the 32 teams and the 64 scores achieved over two weeks.  The actual result was 1,533 points but you get the overall picture.  Fast forward to this year and the results for 31 teams and the 62 scores by each team over two weeks is an average of about 20 points per team.  The actual result was 1,249 and even if you throw in a mythical game score of 30 – 10 in the opening week between Miami and Tampa, you have only 1289.  That is what can be referred to a a sea change my friends.

Where Has All The Offense Gone?

There are all these rules in the NFL to help a team score points.  But increasingly it is becoming more difficult to score and even more difficult scoring in the Red Zone.  So what gives?  What has changed?  The only thing that has changed is the amount of time offenses spend with each other in real live game play before the season starts.  For example the Hall of Fame game didn’t really have any current starters on the field.  You only get what you practice and if you do not practice, you seem to not get…points.

It appears that Offensive Lines bear the most burden when it comes to being able to control the timing of the Quarterback.  If the defense disrupts the Offensive Line the result seems to be fewer and fewer opportunities to move the football down the field resulting in fewer and fewer points.

So that means it is only up from here!  Speaking of up I have to report on my results this week.

What Does A -3 Burger Look Like?

My team struggled again this week.  But sometimes your opponent struggles more.  My opponent played Joe Flacco who has been decent.  But this week he put up a negative 3 point performance.  That is 28 passing yards and 2 interceptions before being benched.  But that benching came in the 4th quarter.  My QB Cam Newton did not do much better but I am thinking he is going to have to be benched as well.  For Cam to only get 9 points against the New Orleans “Swiss Cheese Defense” Saints at home means something has gone horribly wrong.  I am 2-1 and looking for more help on my team.  I picked up Alex Smith.  It may be time to give him a go.

This week’s diary entry is about saying an official goodbye to Summer.

Dear Diary

Summer has officially ended but you would not know with temperatures in the high 80s across southern New England.  Do you think because the Red Sox just had a 8-1 road trip Mother Nature responded with H.E.A.T. across New England?  Who can predict the weather?  Just like predicting the stock market it is a fool’s errand.

Be on the lookout for Pumpkin Spiced everything at everywhere you buy ice cream, cake, coffee, pie, donuts, and shakes just to name a few.  Welcome harvest and goodbye to Summer.

Master D.

Tim can now be reached at tdavoll@fantasysharks.comand welcomes your opinions on the Diary of a Fantasy Virgin Articles.

About Tim Davoll

Author of the Weekly Series "Diary of a Fantasy Virgin" since opening day of That particular date? It was September 12, 2002 when my first article was published on this site. It has been a great ride ever since.