We are nearing the end of our league wide Draft Day Value series. This week we’ll take a look at the NFC West. If you are just tuning in check out last week’s article covering NFC South Draft Day Values!
Seattle Seahawks – RB C.J. Prosise (Average Draft Position: 107)
The Seattle backfield looks like to a situation to steer clear of but if I’m picking one guy to bet on it’s C.J. Prosise. The second-year running back showed us what he could do in limited action last season beginning in Week 8 when he hung 103 yards with only eight touches on New Orleans. Well, New Orleans has a bad defense, you say? What about the 153 yards he dished out in Foxboro in Week 10? New England has been a Top 10 defense two years in a row. He is the best pass catching back on the Seattle roster by far, so while Eddie Lacy and Thomas Rawls cannibalize one another the first two downs, C.J. Prosise should dominate third down and passing situations (17 receptions on 19 targets last year in limited action). He showed us how amazing he can be when given the opportunity, and at this price I’ll be looking him up again in 2017 especially in point per reception leagues!
Arizona Cardinals – WR John Brown (Average Draft Position: 134)
Let me start this one by saying no, I don’t think this is the year Larry Fitzgerald completely falls apart (his current average draft position is 50). That said, he is 33 years old and his yards per reception average has dwindled three years in a row (12.1, 11.4 and most recently 9.6 yards per reception in 2016). On the other hand, Brown’s yard per reception average is hovering in the low- to mid-teens over the past three seasons (14.5, 15.4, 13.3) despite missing a good bit of time last year due to sickle cell complications. Michael Floyd is now with Minnesota, leaving the door wide open for John Brown to take the reins in this potentially high-flying Bruce Arians offense. Draft strategy is all about finding the best value, and when it comes to John Brown, in the 11th-13th round is easily the best bang for your buck. If he can stay on the field he should prove to be a very nice WR3 flirting with WR2 numbers especially if Fitzgerald continues to show his age this year. He is on a lot of radars so don’t be afraid to reach up a round or two for Brown. He’s proven he can be a dynamic playmaker and now he has more opportunity than he’s ever had!
Los Angeles Rams – WR Robert Woods (Average Draft Position: 165)
I’m not thrilled about investing in the Rams offense this season but when I see 190 targets and more than 1,500 total receiving yards up for grabs it raises my eyebrow a bit. I am of course referring to the combined void left by the departures of Kenny Britt (111 targets, 1,002 receiving yards) and Brian Quick (79 targets, 564 receiving yards). With the Top 2 wide receivers gone there should be plenty of opportunity for Robert Woods to earn every bit of his $39 million contract. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again – Robert Woods has an amazing agent! This is a receiver who has shown good flashes but has never surpassed 700 yards in a single season. I say that changes this year; heck, mathematically it almost has to! This is a recommendation based on opportunity and price. I don’t think Woods is an amazing talent but he is above average and dirt cheap. Any time you get a chance to grab a team’s WR1 in the 13th round you should probably look into it.
San Francisco 49ers – RB Joe Williams (Average Draft Position: 183)
He banged the table! I am of course referring to the story regarding the 49ers new head coach, Kyle Shanahan banging the war-room table with excitement when the team drafted the 23-year-old rookie. For those who don’t know, that is pretty old for a rookie and for all we know, Joe Williams might turn out to be nothing special. That said, the tape looks good and this late in the draft he sure is a solid flyer. Shanahan joined the Atlanta staff in January of 2015. This coincidentally is the same year Devonta Freeman became awesome. The RB2 in that scheme (Tevin Coleman) was also pretty useful in Shanahan’s offense which indicates to me that there is room for both Carlos Hyde and Joe Williams in San Francisco. I don’t think Hyde goes away this season but his current average draft position is 42. I’m not spending that much on a questionable option when I could get his potentially more talented counterpart 141 picks later. Joe Williams is creeping up draft boards so you may have to reach a little to ensure you get him but adding him could be a calculate move that pays off big time.