It’s hard to believe that we are heading into Week 13 of the 2015 fantasy football season. Time certainly does fly by when you are having fun.
Well, we were having fun before we took a step back last week only posting two double-digit scoring defenses. To be fair, it was a bit of a down week in general for team defenses with only six teams scoring more than 10 points, and six teams were unavailable due to having played on Thanksgiving.
Does it sound like I am making excuses? Of course, I am. It’s part of the fun of this daily fantasy realm. There are always a bushel full of fine excuses to be had … weather, bad officiating and the sun getting in my eyes. Hey, it if an excuse worked for me back when I played high school baseball then it’s good enough for 2015. What can I say … Old Uncle Waldo has few scruples.
What he does have is some fine defensive bargains lined up for Week 13. Let’s get to it!
First we will look at the week that was.
KANSAS CITY vs. Buffalo – 5 points = MISS
DENVER vs. New England – 5 points = MISS
NEW YORK GIANTS at Washington – 3 points = MISS
HOUSTON vs. New Orleans – 11 points = HIT
BALTIMORE at Cleveland – 16 points = HIT
HOUSTON at Buffalo ($2,500): This is a nice price for a red-hot Houston defense. Over the last four games, Houston has racked up 15 sacks along with eight turnovers. J.J. Watt is leading the league with 13½ sacks and will be getting after Tyrod Taylor all day long. Buffalo has allowed 10 sacks in its last four games and 30 for the season. Look for Houston’s consistent pressure to force Buffalo into a costly turnover or two and a big fantasy week.
TAMPA BAY vs. Atlanta ($2,500): This matchup should be the perfect storm to propel the Tampa Bay defense to a Top 7 finish in scoring this week. Matt Ryan is turning the ball over at an alarming rate, having tossed five interceptions in the past two games. With Devonta Freeman on track to play this week, one would assume that Atlanta would try running the ball. Unfortunately, Tampa Bay is holding teams to 97 yards rushing per game so Ryan is going to have to throw the ball. Tampa Bay has nine sacks and four interceptions in the last three games. We like that.
MINNESOTA vs. Seattle ($2,500): Over its last three games, Minnesota has been riding the right mix of solid defense and special teams play. Minnesota has registered an average of two sacks per game while forcing five turnovers and scoring a special teams touchdown. Russell Wilson has been better at protecting the ball lately but has his struggles on the road. Six of Wilson’s seven interceptions have been thrown while away from home. Look for Anthony Barr and Everson Griffen to badger Wilson into some bad throws this week.
ST. LOUIS vs. Arizona ($2,800): The St. Louis defense has been struggling lately, having allowed more than 30 points in two of the past three games. We would really love this defense if we knew it would be getting Robert Quinn back but it’s at home and playing against an offense that it has had recent success against. Back in Week 4, St. Louis put up four sacks and forced three turnovers against Arizona. Look for St. Louis to ride some home cooking to a big Week 13 fantasy bounce back performance.
CHICAGO vs. San Francisco ($2,600): Here is something I never thought I would be writing this year. Blaine Gabbert hasn’t been terrible since being called upon to start. He hasn’t exactly been all that good either, having thrown only four touchdowns while tossing three interceptions. Something tells me that this could be the week the wheels come off for Gabbert as he travels across the country to play a Chicago defense that just held Aaron Rodgers in check. Over the past three weeks Chicago has put up eight sacks and forced four turnovers. Chicago is a very nice value that should pay off handsomely this week.
There we have it, folks. May the sun be at our backs and in the eyes of our opposing quarterbacks this week.
As always … have fun … and Good Luck!