No one ever said picking bargains at the D/ST position for DFS purposes would be an easy task. If you managed to finish in the money with one our Week 1 selections then congratulations because we struck out like Willie Mays Hayes on a curve ball. If you don’t get the reference that’s alright it just means I am old.
Look up the name and then watch the movie. You can thank me later.
A rough opening weekend only strengthens our resolve to hit one out of the park this week. We now have a small sample size of what defenses look like and more importantly what offenses look like. Sure it’s a very small sample size but when you’re shopping at the dollar store any and all information is greatly appreciated. So let’s get right back in that batter’s box and start swinging for the fences this week!
PITTSBURGH STEELERS vs. Cincinnati, cost-$2900: This is not the best time for the Bengals to be heading into the ‘Steel City.’ Yes, they did manage to beat the New York Jets but the offense didn’t look very good outside of A.J. Green. Cincinnati had a rough time protecting Andy Dalton as he was sacked seven times and threw one interception. These teams know each other very well and as we know familiarity breeds contempt. One thing that is apparent is that over the last four regular season contests, the Steelers are very familiar with how to beat the Bengals having won three times. Along the way, they have allowed only an average of 18 points per game while averaging three sacks and just over two turnovers. Pittsburgh also added one D/ST score in that time span. Oh yeah, they also ended QB Andy Dalton’s season last year in their Week 14 meeting. You get the picture folks. Look for another big day from the Steelers D/ST in Week 2.
DETROIT LIONS vs. Tennessee, cost- $2800: After struggling on the road but managing a win against Andrew Luck and company, the Lions will be happy to get back home after managing merely two sacks last week. They were awarded a safety late in the game but that was on the multi-lateral failed kickoff return to end the game so we really can’t count on that again. Detroit will look to benefit from the generosity of others as the Titans were very generous in their loss to the Vikings. How generous you ask? Well, Titans QB Marcus Mariota threw a pick-six and saw a botched handoff fumble returned for a score as well. All in all, Tennessee turned the ball over three times and allowed two sacks. After a quiet Week 1, look for DE Ziggy Ansah to put pressure on Mariota from the jump creating big-play opportunities for the Lions D/ST.
OAKLAND RAIDERS vs. Atlanta, cost- $2700: There is no way that head coach Jack Del Rio will fail to light a fire under his defense after they were torched in the opening weekend shootout with New Orleans. Of course, it also helps that the Raiders will be home this week and the Falcons get to make the long trek to the West Coast. It will also help that the Falcons offense isn’t exactly the Drew Brees–led Saints. One would also think that Oakland took notice of how Atlanta is using their RBs (Tevin Coleman as the outside running, pass-catching threat and Devonta Freeman as the between the tackles option) and will make the adjustments. Coleman won’t sneak up on Oakland for 95 receiving yards and you can bet Khalil Mack will make his presence known early and often. Atlanta allowed three sacks to the Buccaneers last week and the Raiders should easily match that total.
MIAMI DOLPHINS at New England, cost-$2700: They may have lost the game out in Seattle last week but the Dolphins D/ST won my respect. In a hostile environment in what appeared to be a mismatch, Ndamukong Suh played one his best games since joining the Dolphins. He was a disruptive force and the rest of the defense fed off that energy on their way to 3 sacks, a fumble recovery along with an interception. While the Dolphins D/ST did little against the Patriots last season, that was under a different regime and they were facing a much different New England offense. There is a chance that ‘Dolphins killer’ Rob Gronkowski misses another game and we know that Tom Brady will not be playing. Last week, the Pats turned the ball over twice and Jimmy Garoppolo was sacked two times. A rejuvenated Miami D/ST will be stunting all day long to confuse the kid and that could lead to some untimely throws and big plays.
SAN DIEGO vs. Jacksonville, cost $2500: Our cheapest D/ST is also the riskiest. Working in the Chargers’ favor is that Jacksonville will have to travel cross country and will likely be without RB Chris Ivory once again. Another factor working in the ‘Bolts’ favor is that Blake Bortles has a tendency to turn the ball over at times. While he has been better since a rough rookie season, Bortles has still turned the ball over 42 times in 31 career games. In his only regular season trip to the West Coast, Bortles played at San Diego back in 2014 where he threw for 254 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. The Chargers defense put up three sacks last week (Jacksonville allowed three) and had one interception. Some home cooking and Bortles playing fast and loose with the ball could be all the Chargers D/ST needs for a big week.
That’s it for this week folks. Start making some plans to go shopping because we are bringing home some ‘moolah’ this week.
Hey, if we don’t have confidence then what’s left?
As always…have fun!